Fortunate-Cupola — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.29K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

13,158

Trades

47,100

lifetime

Volume

$400.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-13 10:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 142 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 65% -$2,317

Other

2% 77% +$81

Tech

0% 50% -$55

Sports

0% 33% +$1

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 2308 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 20:15 UTC	2	$1.1K	553	552	+1	Up	+$14	04-09 20:29
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 4pm et	5	$1.0K	529	529	+1	Up	+$6	04-09 20:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 23:50 UTC	70	$828	1,695	0	+1,695	Up	+$20	08-19 23:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:40 UTC	190	$817	1,584	0	+1,584	Up	-$27	08-21 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	217	$813	1,599	0	+1,599	Up	-$13	08-23 07:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 21:00 UTC	4	$766	449	448	+1	Down	-$104	04-09 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	108	$719	1,382	0	+1,382	Up	-$13	08-24 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 02:30 UTC	168	$655	1,251	0	+1,251	Up	-$29	08-20 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	95	$639	1,209	0	+1,209	Down	-$20	08-24 03:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 21:40 UTC	275	$623	1,184	0	+1,184	Up	-$44	08-18 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	155	$601	1,173	0	+1,173	Up	-$10	08-23 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	93	$592	1,130	0	+1,130	Down	-$12	08-24 03:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 00:50 UTC	155	$591	2,578	0	+2,578	Down	-$12	08-20 00:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 10:45 UTC	6	$581	298	298	+0	Down	+$3	04-12 10:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 02:30 UTC	11	$577	294	294	+0	Down	+$6	04-13 02:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 04:15 UTC	8	$575	296	296	+0	Up	+$1	04-13 04:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 00:45 UTC	14	$564	288	288	+0	Up	+$5	04-13 00:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 10:30 UTC	8	$563	290	290	+0	Down	+$0	04-12 10:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 02:30 UTC	15	$560	284	284	+0	Up	+$3	04-12 02:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 00:00 UTC	9	$560	286	286	+0	Up	+$6	04-13 00:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 07:30 UTC	3	$559	285	285	+0	Up	+$1	04-12 07:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 21:45 UTC	241	$555	1,067	0	+1,067	Up	-$28	08-18 21:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 23:00 UTC	3	$554	284	284	+0	Down	+$3	04-12 23:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 10:00 UTC	6	$550	282	282	+0	Up	+$3	04-12 10:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 05:00 UTC	5	$547	281	281	+0	Up	+$3	04-12 05:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 02:00 UTC	3	$546	281	281	-0	Up	+$2	04-12 02:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 04:45 UTC	5	$545	276	276	+0	Down	+$3	04-12 04:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 14:30 UTC	11	$543	276	276	+0	Down	+$3	04-12 14:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 15:30 UTC	7	$542	278	278	+0	Up	+$3	04-12 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	84	$541	1,060	0	+1,060	Up	-$6	08-24 02:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 10:29:55	Solana Up or Down - October 13, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x10b247…
10-13 10:27:56	Solana Up or Down - October 13, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x08e1ac…
10-13 10:25:55	Solana Up or Down - October 13, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x823820…
10-13 10:17:11	Solana Up or Down - October 13, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	44	59¢	$26	0x785a7e…
10-13 00:11:08	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	191	6¢	$11	0x731ae4…
10-12 22:41:36	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0xc2a445…
10-12 19:17:26	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	16	59¢	$10	0x478d54…
10-12 19:10:06	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x46122c…
10-12 19:10:03	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x909187…
10-12 18:56:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	17	68¢	$12	0x1f0ea5…
10-12 18:49:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x42c9f7…
10-12 18:15:03	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe82849…
10-12 17:58:32	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x7b9a04…
10-12 17:56:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x10ddda…
10-12 17:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x5dfcdd…
10-12 17:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0xbb49dc…
10-12 17:52:18	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0xb64256…
10-12 17:25:48	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x194380…
10-12 17:20:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x714af5…
10-12 17:19:06	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x3a9970…
10-12 17:18:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$4	0xffcf3c…
10-12 17:16:44	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x1af702…
10-12 16:35:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	19	67¢	$13	0x56a042…
10-12 16:34:08	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8c836d…
10-12 16:25:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x08500c…
10-12 16:20:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc7fbba…
10-12 13:30:11	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xc7e0d7…
10-12 13:26:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x4efd9e…
10-12 13:25:30	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0x34ea77…
10-12 13:21:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x505b15…
10-12 13:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x02f9bf…
10-12 13:19:35	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x19fe31…
10-12 13:19:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xcd6159…
10-12 13:18:17	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xe63170…
10-12 13:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xbcc5df…
10-12 13:15:38	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x2e4b0d…
10-12 13:15:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xdec15e…
10-12 13:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x19fd2a…
10-12 13:12:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xa3329b…
10-12 13:12:56	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x557f2b…
10-12 13:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xcaef1b…
10-12 13:10:26	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xc2b1f8…
10-12 13:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x725291…
10-12 12:25:41	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x147d0b…
10-12 12:23:29	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	21	69¢	$14	0x48c7db…
10-12 12:20:29	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	22	70¢	$15	0x6cfb81…
10-12 11:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0x25622d…
10-12 10:55:05	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	45	25¢	$11	0xc26b32…
10-12 10:55:05	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5d8584…
10-12 10:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0x437869…
10-12 10:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	23	27¢	$6	0x3270ba…
10-12 10:49:02	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x3dea23…
10-12 10:49:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x3bf3c6…
10-12 09:57:34	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x3dcc5d…
10-12 09:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xacd960…
10-12 09:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	23	29¢	$7	0x654aa8…
10-12 09:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x3a8fad…
10-12 09:25:46	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7e69aa…
10-12 08:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x06e67e…
10-12 07:58:21	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	24	31¢	$7	0x348fea…
10-12 07:51:43	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0xf88a71…
10-12 07:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x935d1c…
10-12 06:56:07	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x11fcf7…
10-12 06:54:40	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	50	29¢	$15	0x663372…
10-12 06:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x691cbc…
10-12 05:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	28	21¢	$6	0xe38923…
10-12 05:54:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	25	26¢	$6	0x7449d2…
10-12 05:54:02	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x6ec163…
10-12 05:47:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x2ae6a9…
10-12 05:38:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x200a1b…
10-12 04:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x89af67…
10-12 04:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xf6a237…
10-12 04:13:42	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xef66a1…
10-12 04:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x715cfd…
10-12 03:52:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0xec1b4e…
10-12 03:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x92a211…
10-12 03:30:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x5cdd99…
10-12 03:30:17	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x26eb01…
10-12 03:22:48	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xd9f1aa…
10-12 03:22:48	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x05d018…
10-12 02:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x0daca7…
10-12 01:13:24	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa1990b…
10-12 00:52:54	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x20fec7…
10-12 00:46:23	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x54df08…
10-12 00:43:44	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	33	82¢	$27	0x1743da…
10-12 00:42:30	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	60	88¢	$53	0x097ffb…
10-12 00:41:21	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	55	74¢	$41	0xd6baa5…
10-12 00:40:32	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	60	74¢	$44	0x1dff6a…
10-12 00:32:53	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0739b7…
10-12 00:30:27	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0xd68879…
10-12 00:27:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x24f3d5…
10-12 00:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	31	75¢	$23	0x1a41d3…
10-12 00:25:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	43	73¢	$31	0x42bd74…
10-12 00:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	46	59¢	$27	0x579b15…
10-12 00:23:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xfe12fb…
10-12 00:19:48	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x3fd24a…
10-12 00:15:06	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xcaea5f…
10-12 00:14:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	127	62¢	$78	0xe0e8c0…
10-12 00:12:57	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x35f5da…
10-12 00:12:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa0ccf7…