Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$556

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$225

6 positions

First seen

2026-09-19

last 11-03 08:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

53% 100% +$15

Other

47% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	No	+95	$90	96¢	$91	+$1	11-02 22:19
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+62	$53	88¢	$55	+$2	10-31 09:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+48	$40	90¢	$43	+$3	11-03 00:11
Iran leadership change by November 30?	No	+22	$20	96¢	$21	+$1	11-03 00:13
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by November 30?	No	+16	$13	88¢	$14	+$1	11-03 08:15
Will Ivica Dačić win the next Serbia presidential election?	No	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	10-01 17:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 08:15:42	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by November 30?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$3	0x2d93ab…
11-03 00:19:01	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by November 30?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x4c5631…
11-03 00:13:27	Iran leadership change by November 30?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xa4b999…
11-03 00:11:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x9823b7…
11-02 22:19:10	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x8d6f0c…
11-02 14:06:45	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xcf2622…
11-01 17:35:49	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x69ddcd…
11-01 17:22:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6b5157…
11-01 13:46:10	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x05fa61…
11-01 12:44:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6e9c44…
10-31 09:22:36	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xc43619…
10-31 09:21:21	Will US win 55% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xbbc442…
10-31 09:20:28	Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x945d50…
10-31 09:18:19	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	171	98¢	$168	0xa72c10…
10-31 09:17:48	Will US win 50-55% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x1879f8…
10-20 11:40:00	Will US win 50-55% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x63d7e8…
10-19 11:42:51	Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb84f90…
10-06 17:29:47	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xc8488c…
10-06 13:24:43	Will US win 55% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x79554d…
10-06 08:53:36	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x19a81b…
10-06 06:14:16	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xd90929…
10-06 06:11:27	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6fbcda…
10-04 07:30:58	Will US win 55% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xdc99b0…
10-04 07:30:23	Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xab970d…
10-04 07:28:22	Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb85aa8…
10-02 20:15:48	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xef215c…
10-02 20:15:18	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x2de5e3…
10-02 20:14:53	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x83862d…
10-02 07:49:30	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb156e5…
10-01 17:32:57	Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd60e93…
10-01 17:32:33	Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe5dd9d…
10-01 17:20:27	Will Ivica Dačić win the next Serbia presidential election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc3f74e…
10-01 17:16:48	Will US win 55% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x0d759c…
10-01 14:56:44	Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a73a4…
10-01 14:56:09	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x88a993…
09-21 17:47:34	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2a9b24…
09-21 17:47:16	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x187047…
09-21 13:35:20	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa95d88…
09-21 12:28:30	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xa12be8…
09-20 00:47:30	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7e6456…
09-19 11:01:02	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xaba491…
09-19 10:21:23	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xc12e6d…
09-19 09:56:05	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x85ec4e…
09-19 09:35:19	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xbb913c…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	9	$241	171	171	+0	open	—	10-31 09:18
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	4	$90	95	0	+95	open	—	11-02 22:19
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	3	$53	62	0	+62	open	—	10-31 09:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$40	48	0	+48	open	—	11-03 00:11
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	4	$23	13	13	+0	No	+$1	10-06 08:53
Will US win 55% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	4	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	10-31 09:21
Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?	3	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$0	10-31 09:20
Iran leadership change by November 30?	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	11-03 00:13
Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	10-04 07:28
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by November 30?	2	$13	16	0	+16	open	—	11-03 08:15
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	3	$5	14	0	+14	Yes	+$9	10-06 06:11
Will US win 50-55% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$0	10-31 09:17
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	1	$3	7	0	+7	No	+$4	10-06 17:29
Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	10-19 11:42
Will Ivica Dačić win the next Serbia presidential election?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	10-01 17:20