(anonymous) 0x217ab2…e086db
7W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$282
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
95.4%
Resolved
120
Trades
760
lifetime
Volume
$67.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$89
Open exposure
$4.13K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-26 15:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
69% 89% -$279
Politics
28% 93% +$9
Crypto
3% 92% -$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 132 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +973 $920 94¢ $919 -$1 10-21 21:14
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +530 $510 96¢ $510 $0 10-26 14:54
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +375 $360 95¢ $357 -$3 10-16 23:21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +250 $210 85¢ $212 +$3 10-19 10:50
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +232 $220 92¢ $212 -$8 10-13 11:05
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +245 $220 86¢ $210 -$10 10-26 14:54
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +162 $139 92¢ $150 +$12 10-26 14:55
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +133 $120 90¢ $120 +$0 10-26 14:55
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +108 $105 96¢ $104 -$1 10-21 21:12
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? No +103 $100 97¢ $100 $0 10-05 14:46
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +103 $100 97¢ $100 $0 10-05 16:30
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +111 $100 88¢ $98 -$2 10-05 16:35
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +105 $100 93¢ $97 -$3 10-05 14:45
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +96 $66 88¢ $84 +$19 10-26 14:53
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? No +83 $80 97¢ $80 $0 10-16 16:31
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +61 $55 91¢ $56 +$1 10-14 21:09
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +57 $55 97¢ $55 +$0 10-24 00:12
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +58 $55 95¢ $55 $0 10-16 21:24
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +56 $55 96¢ $54 -$1 10-24 00:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +52 $50 98¢ $51 +$1 10-23 17:32
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +53 $50 95¢ $50 +$0 10-20 15:11
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +59 $50 86¢ $50 +$0 10-05 14:46
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +56 $50 90¢ $50 +$0 10-06 00:30
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +51 $50 99¢ $50 +$0 10-21 21:09
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +51 $50 99¢ $50 +$0 10-14 21:09
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +51 $50 98¢ $50 +$0 10-14 21:09
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +51 $50 98¢ $50 +$0 10-24 00:09
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +52 $50 97¢ $50 +$0 10-14 21:09
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +51 $50 98¢ $50 $0 10-21 21:09
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +51 $50 97¢ $50 $0 10-05 14:56