Amusing-Maybe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$149

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

94.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$88

Open exposure

$599

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 10-29 17:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

53% 100% +$88

Crypto

21% 100% +$18

Politics

20% 86% +$16

Sports

6% 100% +$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+200	$191	97¢	$194	+$3	10-21 07:37
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	+169	$163	97¢	$164	+$2	10-11 08:45
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$97	98¢	$98	+$1	10-10 08:03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	+100	$93	94¢	$94	+$0	10-21 07:38
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-130	-$50	38¢	$-50	+$1	05-07 10:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	2	$397	200	200	+0	No	$0	05-13 12:26
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$319	331	0	+331	No	+$12	06-28 08:39
highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 21corbelow	1	$301	301	0	+301	No	+$0	04-21 23:00
highest temperature in hong kong on april 20 2026 27c	1	$301	301	0	+301	No	+$0	04-20 07:15
greater tunb island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720012832781	1	$276	280	0	+280	No	+$4	07-23 02:43
will xrp dip to 0pt9 february 9 15	1	$261	261	0	+261	No	+$1	02-15 07:46
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?	1	$255	255	0	+255	No	+$0	07-23 02:44
Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?	2	$254	263	0	+263	No	+$9	04-03 04:09
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on August 27?	1	$242	242	0	+242	No	+$1	08-27 13:08
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in October?	3	$213	108	108	+0	No	+$2	10-29 17:33
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	1	$206	206	0	+206	No	+$0	09-24 08:40
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	1	$199	200	0	+200	Yes	+$1	09-21 12:14
will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	3	$198	200	0	+200	No	+$2	08-11 00:04
will ethereum dip to 1100 in june 2026	2	$192	100	100	+0	No	+$5	06-26 02:46
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$191	200	0	+200	open	—	10-21 07:37
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	1	$163	169	0	+169	open	—	10-11 08:45
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 10°C on August 28?	2	$155	100	100	+0	Yes	+$39	08-28 05:30
will dogecoin reach 0pt25 in february 2026	2	$144	145	0	+145	No	+$1	02-23 06:15
Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$125	140	0	+140	Yes	+$15	05-13 12:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$124	130	0	+130	No	+$6	05-28 07:13
will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 25	2	$120	60	60	+0	No	+$0	02-25 02:47
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	1	$106	107	0	+107	No	+$1	09-21 12:46
will israel or the us target tehran 812	3	$101	58	58	+0	Yes	+$1	02-25 02:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	1	$100	111	0	+111	No	+$11	05-03 14:53
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	02-16 09:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$100	103	0	+103	No	+$3	05-03 14:51
will trump meet with kim jong un in march 2026 215	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-20 10:28
will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	03-20 10:28
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 17	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-16 09:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	09-21 12:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:33:50	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in October?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x5413f9…
10-21 07:39:41	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in October?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x0c4876…
10-21 07:39:17	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in October?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x500d37…
10-21 07:38:14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xb9ed80…
10-21 07:37:51	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0x9236bd…
10-11 08:45:06	Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	169	96¢	$163	0x1d915a…
10-10 08:03:28	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x8893a7…
10-10 08:02:13	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x910256…
10-10 08:01:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x38deff…
09-24 08:40:53	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0xc966ac…
09-24 08:40:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x4a648b…
09-21 13:00:21	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in September?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x466e8e…
09-21 12:56:50	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in September?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x4dd36b…
09-21 12:54:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 21?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x41cb72…
09-21 12:48:08	Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x6eba8f…
09-21 12:46:51	Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0x7de3db…
09-21 12:40:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7795b9…
09-21 12:15:33	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x4adef5…
09-21 12:14:14	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x17cfbf…
09-03 09:31:54	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4d6641…
09-03 09:30:39	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xf2ada8…
08-28 05:30:49	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 10°C on August 28?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x3a3cdc…
08-28 02:43:37	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on August 28?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xdf49b7…
08-28 02:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x39699e…
08-28 02:38:36	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 9°C or below on August 28?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xe736a0…
08-28 02:38:22	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 10°C on August 28?	No	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x0d5171…
08-28 02:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8d77d8…
08-28 02:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 28?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x68e0c1…
08-28 02:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0xbf8f59…
08-28 02:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xb1db13…
08-28 02:33:09	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfbe22b…
08-28 02:31:01	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on August 28?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x461527…
08-28 02:22:42	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 28?	No	BUY	76	99¢	$76	0x65ef94…
08-27 13:09:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xa89782…
08-27 13:08:49	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x637c15…
08-27 13:08:33	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on August 27?	No	BUY	242	100¢	$242	0x47cf86…
08-11 00:04:57	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0xf0c373…
08-07 12:05:04	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x71cc19…
08-07 08:21:21	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xc21a68…
08-05 13:11:20	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe596a1…
07-23 02:47:15	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x3f164c…
07-23 02:44:55	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?	No	BUY	255	100¢	$255	0xba5e47…
07-23 02:43:39	greater tunb island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720012832781	No	BUY	280	99¢	$276	0xee22be…
07-23 02:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C or higher on July 23?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xa8c011…
06-28 08:39:38	Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x5d15d6…
06-26 03:22:04	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xd3d401…
06-26 02:46:22	will ethereum dip to 1100 in june 2026	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xb6ddd5…
06-26 02:45:11	will italy send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x8b0717…
06-26 02:43:35	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 26?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xfaa5ee…
06-10 08:35:21	Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	116	95¢	$111	0xa05c68…
06-10 08:33:58	Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x819060…
06-10 08:31:03	will ethereum dip to 1000 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x11aa21…
06-10 08:30:52	will ethereum dip to 1100 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x562ebf…
05-28 07:13:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc750f9…
05-13 12:48:43	Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?	No	BUY	72	96¢	$69	0x1c973c…
05-13 12:40:38	Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	140	89¢	$125	0x5a0dcf…
05-13 12:39:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	110	95¢	$104	0xa0f553…
05-13 12:38:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xbee542…
05-13 12:30:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb5e137…
05-13 12:26:49	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xd31f97…
05-13 12:22:02	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x86f882…
05-07 10:31:47	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	130	39¢	$50	0x2d4349…
05-03 15:01:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x136c4a…
05-03 14:53:10	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x10a734…
05-03 14:51:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xc952da…
04-21 23:00:52	highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 21corbelow	No	BUY	301	100¢	$301	0x876f95…
04-20 07:15:44	highest temperature in hong kong on april 20 2026 27c	No	BUY	301	100¢	$301	0x17d2d2…
04-03 04:09:41	Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	157	98¢	$153	0xbb682a…
03-31 13:02:47	Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	106	95¢	$101	0x280830…
03-20 10:29:49	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0x2c2241…
03-20 10:28:37	will trump meet with kim jong un in march 2026 215	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd7d1ec…
03-20 10:28:13	will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x0cadac…
02-25 02:53:06	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on february 25	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xef8540…
02-25 02:47:42	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 25	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x024592…
02-25 02:46:46	will hyperliquid reach 56 in february	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xc75f76…
02-25 02:40:52	will israel or the us target tehran 812	No	SELL	46	87¢	$40	0x64c489…
02-23 18:53:32	will israel or the us target tehran 812	No	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0xd4da69…
02-23 06:15:40	will dogecoin reach 0pt25 in february 2026	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x277301…
02-23 06:14:56	will israel or the us target tehran 812	No	BUY	58	85¢	$50	0xfe9a9e…
02-23 04:46:02	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 25	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x6f1542…
02-16 09:10:29	will the price of bitcoin be less than 56000 on february 19	No	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0x831f29…
02-16 09:09:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 17	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4f2a29…
02-16 09:07:47	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb3561a…
02-15 07:46:19	will xrp dip to 0pt9 february 9 15	No	BUY	261	100¢	$261	0xd99e5a…
02-15 04:56:25	will dogecoin reach 0pt25 in february 2026	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0x5b0ebd…
02-04 06:52:12	will solana reach 170 february 2 8	No	BUY	93	100¢	$92	0x6d34d7…
02-01 15:25:20	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in february 2026	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x522606…
01-27 13:07:33	will xrp reach 3pt6 in january 2026	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x8dd5de…
01-27 13:06:55	will moonshot have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x8c0cc5…