Realized P&L
-$887
Unrealized P&L
+$211
Hit rate
63.3%
Resolved
9
Trades
5,017
lifetime
Volume
$158.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$3.84K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 06-30 10:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
63% 60% +$171
Other
37% 0% $-1,058
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +7,122 $1,526 16¢ $1.2K $-351 06-26 21:08
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +793 $530 97¢ $768 +$238 06-30 15:37
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +6,642 $725 11¢ $697 $-28 06-30 08:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +639 $379 66¢ $418 +$39 06-30 15:20
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +5,532 $453 $332 $-121 06-22 15:16
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +956 $235 29¢ $277 +$42 06-27 00:45
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,101 $82 $99 +$17 06-24 22:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +279 $-79 18¢ $49 +$128 06-28 04:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -1,307 $-203 $-6 +$197 06-19 17:02
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -1,478 $30 $-4 $-33 06-28 00:14
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? Yes +670 $15 $3 $-12 05-29 00:07
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? Yes -332 $-20 $-3 +$17 05-28 02:14
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 26¢ $3 +$1 06-15 19:18
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30? Yes -90 $-11 $-1 +$10 06-13 13:03
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? Yes +113 $-10 $1 +$10 06-27 18:03
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +0 $-55 100¢ $0 +$55 06-19 11:18
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +0 $-2 $0 +$2 06-28 05:39