Realized P&L
-$887
Unrealized P&L
+$1.90K
Hit rate
63.3%
Resolved
9
Trades
4,275
lifetime
Volume
$128.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$9.50K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 06-09 18:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
66% 60% +$171
Other
34% 0% $-1,058
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -7,470 $-5,471 62¢ $-4594 +$877 06-09 14:15
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +5,784 $1,298 23¢ $1.3K +$32 06-08 16:21
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +1,806 $1,155 69¢ $1.2K +$91 06-09 20:56
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +6,951 $575 $650 +$75 06-07 22:34
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,144 $608 24¢ $504 $-104 06-08 22:58
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +3,543 $485 12¢ $443 $-42 06-09 18:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +489 $125 72¢ $350 +$225 06-04 02:28
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No -258 $-196 81¢ $-208 $-12 06-08 00:12
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +824 $108 15¢ $119 +$11 06-04 21:01
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? Yes -332 $-20 11¢ $-37 $-17 05-28 02:14
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -12 $-783 100¢ $-12 +$771 06-07 18:41
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? Yes +670 $15 $7 $-7 05-29 00:07