Realized P&L
-$887
Unrealized P&L
+$219
Hit rate
63.3%
Resolved
9
Trades
5,745
lifetime
Volume
$181.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$3.77K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 07-22 00:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
64% 60% +$171
Other
36% 0% $-1,058
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +11,615 $1,687 16¢ $1.9K +$172 07-22 00:48
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +8,084 $856 11¢ $849 $-8 07-18 08:16
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +5,532 $453 $310 $-143 06-22 15:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -311 $-282 99¢ $-307 $-25 07-02 07:27
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +956 $235 26¢ $244 +$9 06-27 00:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +278 $-79 46¢ $129 +$208 07-01 20:47
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes +865 $59 $65 +$6 07-02 13:54
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $3 20¢ $3 +$0 07-01 13:11
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 18¢ $2 $-0 06-15 19:18