Infamous-Tatami — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$95

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

96.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$151

Open exposure

$33

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-15 05:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

43% 90% +$31

Other

37% 92% -$135

Crypto

17% 100% +$6

Tech

4% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
nothing ever happens october 26	Nothing		+33	$31	100¢	$33	+$2	10-15 05:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	3	$508	363	160	+203	No	+$11	01-29 06:25
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	2	$394	237	160	+77	No	+$2	06-29 06:26
will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on january 4	1	$350	351	0	+351	No	+$1	01-04 06:30
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	1	$266	270	0	+270	Yes	+$4	04-09 07:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	1	$240	241	0	+241	No	+$1	05-15 14:22
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$230	232	0	+232	No	+$2	04-28 04:58
will solana dip to 40 february 9 15	1	$195	196	0	+196	No	+$1	02-12 04:34
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	1	$194	199	0	+199	No	+$5	03-04 07:05
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	1	$181	187	0	+187	No	+$6	03-27 12:25
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 0pt5	1	$181	183	0	+183	Under	-$181	06-15 07:22
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	1	$180	183	0	+183	No	+$3	02-12 04:34
bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	1	$180	181	0	+181	No	+$1	03-04 07:04
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$170	172	0	+172	No	+$2	05-15 14:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$170	172	0	+172	No	+$2	04-28 04:57
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	1	$160	174	0	+174	No	+$14	06-29 06:29
pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by august 31 20260730185522346	1	$143	146	0	+146	No	+$3	08-11 08:30
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$135	139	0	+139	Yes	+$4	09-11 12:02
us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	1	$133	136	0	+136	No	+$3	07-20 04:07
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	1	$122	125	0	+125	Yes	+$3	09-11 11:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	1	$122	122	0	+122	No	+$0	09-25 06:32
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	1	$111	113	0	+113	No	+$2	08-11 08:30
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	1	$111	113	0	+113	No	+$2	07-20 04:09
gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	2	$110	119	0	+119	No	+$8	01-29 06:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$110	124	0	+124	No	+$14	04-09 07:06
Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?	1	$70	71	0	+71	No	+$1	10-15 05:52
si hit 150 high jan 2026	1	$40	41	0	+41	No	+$1	01-29 06:25
nothing ever happens october 26	1	$31	33	0	+33	open	—	10-15 05:53
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$11	14	0	+14	No	-$11	01-04 06:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 05:53:10	nothing ever happens october 26	Nothing	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x0791c9…
10-15 05:52:49	Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xa45a46…
09-25 06:32:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x5ebaf6…
09-11 12:02:48	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	139	97¢	$135	0x699cb0…
09-11 11:57:55	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	125	98¢	$122	0xe0bbc3…
08-11 08:30:54	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	113	98¢	$111	0x83f24f…
08-11 08:30:33	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by august 31 20260730185522346	No	BUY	146	98¢	$143	0xc751dc…
07-20 04:09:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	113	99¢	$111	0x155f02…
07-20 04:07:43	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	136	97¢	$133	0x5e73e0…
06-29 06:29:19	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	174	92¢	$160	0x1ad33d…
06-29 06:26:31	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0x97d074…
06-15 07:22:24	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	183	99¢	$181	0x6b068c…
06-15 07:21:21	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	237	99¢	$234	0x0e0955…
05-15 14:22:31	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0x3c7879…
05-15 14:22:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	241	99¢	$240	0x8684c1…
04-28 04:58:18	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	232	99¢	$230	0xc75c84…
04-28 04:57:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0xf6df8b…
04-09 07:37:19	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	Yes	BUY	270	98¢	$266	0xf4afc5…
04-09 07:06:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	124	89¢	$110	0xc3a2f7…
03-27 12:25:13	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	187	97¢	$181	0xfb516d…
03-04 07:05:55	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	199	97¢	$194	0x97b4a4…
03-04 07:04:29	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	181	99¢	$180	0xf4df47…
02-12 04:34:47	will solana dip to 40 february 9 15	No	BUY	196	99¢	$195	0x322bfa…
02-12 04:34:23	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	183	98¢	$180	0x1458bd…
01-29 06:25:58	si hit 150 high jan 2026	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0xab2d53…
01-29 06:25:32	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x9ab9cd…
01-29 06:25:12	gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x38f9d3…
01-29 06:24:30	gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	No	BUY	65	93¢	$60	0xf047a0…
01-29 06:23:50	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	SELL	110	99¢	$108	0x228658…
01-26 08:07:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	363	96¢	$350	0xbb38fa…
01-04 06:30:07	will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on january 4	No	BUY	351	100¢	$350	0xbbe167…
01-04 06:26:37	will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0xb85520…