Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

101

Trades

572

lifetime

Volume

$316

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-17

last 08-29 23:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

67% 40% -$5

Politics

30% 75% +$6

Crypto

4% 33% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	25	$23	59	59	+0	Down	+$1	05-21 20:11
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	19	$14	28	28	+0	Up	+$2	05-18 17:38
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	19	$12	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 14:30
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	24	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	06-13 02:03
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	14	$11	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-27 05:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 22:40 UTC	9	$9	18	0	+18	Up	-$5	08-29 22:44
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	16	$7	5	4	+1	No	+$0	05-31 23:32
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	11	$7	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-28 14:49
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	11	$6	24	7	+17	Down	-$2	05-22 20:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	63	$6	16	16	+0	Yes	+$2	06-17 15:38
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	8	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-19 10:55
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	13	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-26 02:33
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 22?	6	$6	5	4	+2	No	$0	05-22 21:07
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	15	$6	18	18	+0	No	$0	05-29 20:32
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of May 18 2026?	4	$5	7	7	+0	No	+$1	05-21 15:29
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14	19	$5	6	6	+0	Yes	+$3	06-14 22:21
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?	6	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	05-25 00:31
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 18?	7	$4	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-18 08:55
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?	4	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-27 03:33
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	05-27 16:19
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 19?	5	$4	6	6	+0	No	$0	05-19 14:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-30 11:28
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in May?	6	$4	6	6	+0	No	$0	05-24 08:59
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 19?	6	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	05-19 07:48
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 22?	4	$3	8	8	+0	No	-$1	05-22 16:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	4	$3	4	4	+0	Yes	-$1	05-24 04:33
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 20?	3	$3	4	2	+1	Yes	-$1	05-20 07:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	20	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	06-16 03:25
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	4	$3	5	2	+3	Up	-$1	05-20 13:38
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 27?	5	$3	4	4	+0	Yes	+$1	05-27 14:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-29 23:05:01	will a european country take military action on iran by october 31	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb46989…
08-29 23:04:46	Will the highest temperature during Burning Man 2026 be 89°F or 90°F?	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x5be522…
08-29 22:57:21	Will Tommie Ekered be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8a6d5e…
08-29 22:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xba937b…
08-29 22:43:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1dc1d3…
08-29 22:43:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9436d9…
08-29 22:43:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd12d4c…
08-29 22:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd51ab0…
08-29 22:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc3a221…
08-29 22:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa2489e…
08-29 22:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x851455…
08-29 22:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7ffa6a…
06-19 07:03:55	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xef13a2…
06-19 07:03:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xcad028…
06-19 07:03:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xaf7c0e…
06-19 07:03:55	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x9bb5fb…
06-19 07:03:55	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x6ebcde…
06-19 07:03:55	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x38d400…
06-19 07:03:55	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x2f06d3…
06-19 07:03:55	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x15ac1b…
06-18 20:40:34	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0xcdf92c…
06-18 19:46:49	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x950067…
06-17 19:30:35	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe1489e…
06-17 19:30:31	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x16e032…
06-17 19:28:37	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa66fcc…
06-17 19:28:05	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7b882e…
06-17 15:38:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3fa734…
06-17 15:37:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3122dd…
06-16 14:44:13	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb6d4a3…
06-16 13:10:36	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa3ced0…
06-16 12:39:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x286336…
06-16 11:50:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xe7baef…
06-16 11:50:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x78f259…
06-16 05:26:18	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xeae2ef…
06-16 03:25:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3a77ce…
06-16 02:41:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x060bfe…
06-16 01:07:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x1e4e1f…
06-16 01:04:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x4334a6…
06-16 01:00:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x4b80f9…
06-16 00:07:09	Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6eaa1a…
06-15 22:51:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x7fb147…
06-15 19:22:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	No	SELL	54	1¢	$0	0xd22712…
06-15 19:02:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	No	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x8aeb97…
06-15 18:44:48	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3f6972…
06-15 18:44:43	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb31c33…
06-15 16:25:04	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa3327d…
06-15 15:57:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xc17c2a…
06-15 15:55:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xf52675…
06-15 15:52:54	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7fb06c…
06-15 15:43:09	will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2ad007…
06-15 15:37:36	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xe67169…
06-15 14:45:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xbc35c4…
06-15 14:44:45	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xaee81f…
06-15 14:09:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x870c94…
06-15 13:35:42	US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6f4336…
06-15 13:35:10	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x678bb3…
06-15 12:53:13	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xda948b…
06-15 08:29:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x71f07f…
06-15 08:05:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x064e20…
06-15 06:17:00	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x05c915…
06-15 06:12:07	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xd54773…
06-15 06:11:03	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xb76c5d…
06-15 04:36:52	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xceba31…
06-15 04:36:49	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x503fdb…
06-15 04:36:46	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x7544f6…
06-15 04:36:43	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x03f1c3…
06-15 04:36:40	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x20873c…
06-15 04:36:39	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xa4cc5d…
06-15 04:36:36	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xef18e3…
06-15 04:36:33	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xd94135…
06-15 04:36:33	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xba19de…
06-15 04:36:30	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x68f377…
06-15 04:36:28	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x76d53a…
06-15 04:36:24	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x5a2728…
06-15 04:36:21	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xc4d05d…
06-15 04:36:18	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x0d8bd5…
06-15 04:34:24	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x93acbc…
06-15 03:48:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc03f4c…
06-15 03:01:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0xa03366…
06-15 03:00:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xe2d394…
06-15 02:56:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x08b26c…
06-15 01:52:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x2cac79…
06-15 01:48:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x0af863…
06-15 01:30:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1090dc…
06-15 01:21:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x4b1785…
06-15 01:20:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x414594…
06-15 01:19:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x519e8b…
06-15 01:18:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x204ef9…
06-15 01:15:01	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x69644f…
06-15 01:11:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0xba26b1…
06-15 01:10:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x9d3b12…
06-15 00:28:21	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x97c29f…
06-14 23:54:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xb77f89…
06-14 23:40:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xd466a8…
06-14 23:28:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xc5edd8…
06-14 23:21:30	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x224291…
06-14 22:59:15	will jd vance sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950068	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x756499…
06-14 22:58:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x19eb57…
06-14 22:56:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x47dd6f…
06-14 22:56:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xdd599f…