Complex-Antechamber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$135

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

113

Trades

175

lifetime

Volume

$21.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$124

Open exposure

$659

8 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 10-29 01:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

89% 98% +$113

Politics

5% 100% +$10

Crypto

5% 100% +$2

Sports

1% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	-136	-$115	96¢	$-130	-$16	10-26 02:25
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-275	-$138	38¢	$-106	+$32	09-05 07:56
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	+104	$101	97¢	$101	+$1	10-26 02:32
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	No	+100	$98	98¢	$98	$0	10-26 02:57
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	+100	$91	90¢	$90	$0	10-26 02:23
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	+70	$69	98¢	$69	+$0	10-26 02:34
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	No	+50	$49	100¢	$50	+$0	10-26 02:24
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$16	74¢	$15	-$1	10-21 03:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 72°F or higher on May 13?	2	$930	934	0	+934	No	+$4	05-13 03:34
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 31?	1	$681	682	0	+682	No	+$1	05-31 11:08
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on May 30?	1	$679	680	0	+680	No	+$1	05-30 03:40
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 16?	1	$664	665	0	+665	No	+$1	05-16 01:45
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	1	$626	638	0	+638	No	+$12	06-16 06:42
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or below on May 12?	1	$590	591	0	+591	No	+$1	05-12 00:44
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 27?	1	$529	530	0	+530	No	+$1	05-27 03:45
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	3	$500	511	0	+511	No	+$11	04-19 05:43
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	1	$499	500	0	+500	No	+$1	09-27 04:09
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or below on July 1?	2	$489	490	0	+490	No	+$1	06-30 10:42
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 26?	2	$482	483	0	+483	No	+$1	05-26 00:57
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C or below on May 25?	1	$466	466	0	+466	No	+$0	05-25 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on April 29?	1	$420	420	0	+420	No	+$0	04-29 09:10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 8?	2	$400	402	0	+402	No	+$1	06-08 01:16
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on June 7?	1	$397	397	0	+397	No	+$0	06-07 08:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$366	371	0	+371	No	+$5	04-12 02:03
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 26?	1	$361	361	0	+361	No	+$0	05-26 00:57
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?	1	$330	331	0	+331	Yes	+$2	06-02 07:34
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 26?	1	$322	323	0	+323	No	+$1	07-26 06:36
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 25?	1	$319	320	0	+320	Yes	+$1	05-25 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 29?	1	$313	315	0	+315	No	+$2	05-28 11:12
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$301	302	0	+302	No	+$1	03-26 06:39
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 27?	1	$301	302	0	+302	Yes	+$1	05-27 03:45
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Morocco?	1	$297	300	0	+300	No	+$3	06-12 09:27
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Cabo Verde?	1	$297	300	0	+300	No	+$3	06-12 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C or higher on April 28?	1	$288	300	0	+300	No	+$12	04-27 14:35
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 2?	2	$276	278	0	+278	No	+$2	06-02 07:46
Trump out as President before 2027?	3	$242	67	202	-136	open	—	10-26 02:25
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 47°F or below on May 11?	2	$233	234	0	+234	No	+$1	05-11 00:27
Will a 9.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	3	$211	212	0	+212	open	—	10-29 01:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 01:27:11	Will a 9.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0xc52b3f…
10-29 01:26:43	Will a 9.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0x1057ba…
10-26 02:58:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in November?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xc99ff5…
10-26 02:58:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in November?	No	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0xab7c3c…
10-26 02:57:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x689447…
10-26 02:57:26	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x17d297…
10-26 02:55:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in November?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0xb0d1b8…
10-26 02:54:59	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in November?	No	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x69dbb9…
10-26 02:34:33	StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0xfb10e4…
10-26 02:32:20	Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	104	97¢	$101	0x5299c2…
10-26 02:31:20	Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x22f174…
10-26 02:31:06	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	87¢	$52	0xab0937…
10-26 02:30:54	Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb6e6ea…
10-26 02:29:47	Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x20f5f6…
10-26 02:28:09	Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol by October 31?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$41	0xf06050…
10-26 02:25:14	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x6f8fff…
10-26 02:24:23	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xd54b05…
10-26 02:23:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x8d94b0…
10-21 03:02:41	Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x1b564c…
10-21 03:01:27	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x25066b…
10-15 02:22:29	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0x1ce554…
10-02 05:46:35	Will a 9.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x139822…
10-02 05:45:53	Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol by October 31?	No	BUY	68	99¢	$68	0xc214db…
10-02 05:44:42	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x8b22b8…
10-02 05:44:15	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xc76191…
09-27 04:21:38	Solana all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x5133b1…
09-27 04:09:47	Solana all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xd96750…
09-27 04:09:17	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x01075b…
09-27 04:07:23	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on September 27?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x23df81…
09-09 03:36:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x77cd84…
09-09 03:34:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x75e8c3…
09-09 03:34:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x823a2c…
09-08 02:49:46	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xe42318…
09-05 07:56:15	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	275	50¢	$138	0xe03cab…
08-26 10:00:27	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 9°C or below on August 26?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0xdb72f1…
08-26 09:59:30	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on August 26?	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x433e4c…
08-26 09:58:31	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C or below on August 26?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x77c1fe…
08-26 09:48:15	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on August 26?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa1462a…
08-26 09:48:06	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	81	98¢	$80	0x824562…
08-26 09:35:43	Will a 9.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x845308…
08-26 09:22:01	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on August 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc8128b…
08-26 09:21:52	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xd8091b…
08-26 09:20:13	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C or below on August 26?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0x34eb60…
08-26 09:13:18	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on August 26?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x2f3b2a…
08-26 09:13:04	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C on August 26?	No	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0xc57634…
08-09 07:31:00	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 9?	No	BUY	87	99¢	$87	0x07b7d5…
08-09 07:30:48	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x9b80a4…
08-05 08:22:30	will italy send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742054	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x5bb1e6…
08-04 12:48:54	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xc6acfb…
08-03 18:33:24	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc6db14…
08-03 18:26:47	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7d2bad…
08-03 17:52:15	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x44b908…
08-03 17:36:48	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb1d559…
08-03 17:26:17	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x398dc5…
08-03 17:19:20	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa1a39e…
07-30 08:12:21	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x438936…
07-30 08:09:54	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by august 31	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xaa2e8b…
07-30 08:00:47	Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x58d32d…
07-30 07:54:09	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 30?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x33719a…
07-30 07:53:05	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 30?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xd81241…
07-30 07:52:47	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 30?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xaaf280…
07-30 07:51:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x942408…
07-30 07:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or higher on July 30?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x960f1a…
07-26 06:36:33	Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 26?	No	BUY	323	100¢	$322	0x858509…
07-26 06:34:48	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 26?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x3bb43a…
07-26 06:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	150	97¢	$145	0x594f6b…
07-25 13:22:49	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 25?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x238ae2…
07-25 13:22:30	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 25?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x935990…
07-25 13:22:15	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xa4c859…
07-25 13:20:30	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x43e32a…
07-25 13:17:34	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xb9abed…
07-25 12:42:09	abu musa island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720011758215	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x36a641…
07-25 12:41:00	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0xdf98fb…
07-25 12:35:27	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x614c63…
07-25 12:31:54	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3c7819…
07-25 12:30:34	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	200	97¢	$193	0x1009a5…
06-30 10:42:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xce66da…
06-30 10:42:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x6d6888…
06-30 10:40:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	441	100¢	$440	0x7300db…
06-16 06:42:55	Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	638	98¢	$626	0xfd8134…
06-16 03:41:42	Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Senegal?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x551306…
06-12 09:54:16	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	184	97¢	$179	0x69e332…
06-12 09:53:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12?	No	BUY	125	98¢	$123	0xdfeb85…
06-12 09:32:15	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Cabo Verde?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x9d47eb…
06-12 09:27:07	Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Morocco?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xe9cc31…
06-08 01:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 8?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xe7207a…
06-08 01:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 8?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x580748…
06-08 00:57:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 8?	No	BUY	362	100¢	$361	0x3845be…
06-08 00:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 8?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8307e1…
06-08 00:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 8?	No	BUY	145	99¢	$144	0x23c8e1…
06-08 00:51:43	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	119	95¢	$113	0x04b304…
06-07 08:55:24	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on June 7?	No	BUY	397	100¢	$397	0x2eb38d…
06-07 08:55:12	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on June 7?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xa59d3f…
06-07 08:55:01	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe1a5ca…
06-07 08:54:21	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on June 8?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x2a095a…
06-07 08:53:51	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on June 8?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd4e3ff…
06-07 08:53:03	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 7?	No	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0x20b511…
06-02 07:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 2?	No	BUY	211	99¢	$209	0x42ea71…
06-02 07:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5705fa…
06-02 07:45:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 2?	No	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0xd342f3…