Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 47°F or below on May 11?
open
Total volume
$2,728
$8,187 in 24h
Trades
45
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$6,748
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 06:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $18 | $2.7K | $2.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $111 | $111 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | $496 | $495 |
| Median | 10 | $2 | $1.7K | $1.7K |
| Below median | 5 | $2 | $404 | $403 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| unranked | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Disgusting-Elongation 0x1a2b…bf2a | No | +903 | $881 | $881 | 1 | 05-09 18:53 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | +432 | $9 | $9 | 5 | 05-09 23:26 |
| Intentional-Tadpole 0x1cc1…a345 | No | +400 | $394 | $394 | 1 | 05-09 23:59 |
| Absolute-Reply 0xd240…562c | No | +259 | $255 | $255 | 1 | 05-10 02:48 |
| Smart-Booking 0x062a…56ff | No | +257 | $254 | $254 | 1 | 05-10 02:48 |
| Few-Pedal 0x6b46…dbc7 | No | +218 | $214 | $214 | 3 | 05-10 02:07 |
| Showy-Focus 0xd19e…754e | Yes | +200 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 10:59 |
| Hungry-Finance-Brief 0xdbf2…e987 | No | +196 | $193 | $193 | 1 | 05-10 00:55 |
| Messy-Analysis 0x8645…0beb | No | +149 | $146 | $146 | 4 | 05-09 18:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c75…d40b | Yes | +141 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-10 02:07 |
| Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | +113 | $111 | $111 | 11 | 05-09 18:56 |
| Sparse-Sailor 0xa933…9171 | No | +98 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 05-10 06:06 |
| Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | +70 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 17:24 |
| Dark-Resemblance 0xe243…79f7 | Yes | +66 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 03:09 |
| Monumental-Fortnight 0xd83c…798c | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-09 19:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | +46 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 18:53 |
| Trained-Geology 0x5936…bdcc | No | +35 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-09 10:59 |
| Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | +33 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 18:42 |
| Regal-Insurgence 0x147e…eb1e | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-10 04:20 |
| Blond-Restriction 0x3680…f087 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 02:50 |
| Envious-Thongs 0x95a8…6dc5 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 19:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x9260…311c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 02:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 06:06:24 | Sparse-Sailor 0xa933…9171 | No | BUY | 98 | 99¢ | $98 | 0x8dfaa1… |
| 05-10 04:20:44 | Regal-Insurgence 0x147e…eb1e | No | BUY | 29 | 99¢ | $29 | 0xf6bdf3… |
| 05-10 04:12:01 | (anonymous) 0x9726…1b0d | No | SELL | 28 | 99¢ | $27 | 0xd9e82f… |
| 05-10 03:09:44 | Dark-Resemblance 0xe243…79f7 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6281e7… |
| 05-10 02:50:08 | (anonymous) 0x9260…311c | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb9a56d… |
| 05-10 02:50:08 | Blond-Restriction 0x3680…f087 | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x16f6c2… |
| 05-10 02:48:51 | (anonymous) 0xf94e…4ffb | Yes | SELL | 57 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x7bba40… |
| 05-10 02:48:50 | Smart-Booking 0x062a…56ff | No | BUY | 257 | 99¢ | $254 | 0x2d722f… |
| 05-10 02:48:46 | Absolute-Reply 0xd240…562c | No | BUY | 259 | 98¢ | $255 | 0x2c1582… |
| 05-10 02:07:05 | (anonymous) 0x4c75…d40b | Yes | BUY | 59 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x91a633… |
| 05-10 02:07:04 | Few-Pedal 0x6b46…dbc7 | No | BUY | 48 | 98¢ | $47 | 0x36e794… |
| 05-10 01:40:57 | Few-Pedal 0x6b46…dbc7 | No | BUY | 76 | 98¢ | $75 | 0x98387d… |
| 05-10 01:26:29 | (anonymous) 0x4c75…d40b | Yes | BUY | 82 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x1f0728… |
| 05-10 01:26:28 | Few-Pedal 0x6b46…dbc7 | No | BUY | 94 | 98¢ | $92 | 0xaa6a20… |
| 05-10 00:55:34 | Hungry-Finance-Brief 0xdbf2…e987 | No | BUY | 196 | 98¢ | $193 | 0x1bbf00… |
| 05-10 00:55:34 | (anonymous) 0xf94e…4ffb | Yes | BUY | 57 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x5d2113… |
| 05-09 23:59:19 | Intentional-Tadpole 0x1cc1…a345 | No | BUY | 400 | 98¢ | $394 | 0xa0c6a9… |
| 05-09 23:26:12 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 153 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x019af3… |
| 05-09 19:42:16 | Monumental-Fortnight 0xd83c…798c | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x8ecbf2… |
| 05-09 19:27:08 | Envious-Thongs 0x95a8…6dc5 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x64fb54… |
| 05-09 18:56:53 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x03112c… |
| 05-09 18:56:51 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x55b1f7… |
| 05-09 18:56:37 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x93a104… |
| 05-09 18:56:27 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xac98e2… |
| 05-09 18:56:23 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x29aa7e… |
| 05-09 18:56:20 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x631ec6… |
| 05-09 18:55:27 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 22 | 98¢ | $21 | 0x55d6a1… |
| 05-09 18:55:25 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $25 | 0x716e40… |
| 05-09 18:55:24 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x8104dc… |
| 05-09 18:55:20 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xdbf0de… |
| 05-09 18:55:17 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x02b348… |
| 05-09 18:53:07 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 64 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x0c8d93… |
| 05-09 18:53:05 | Disgusting-Elongation 0x1a2b…bf2a | No | BUY | 903 | 98¢ | $881 | 0x4a0845… |
| 05-09 18:53:05 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1f2638… |
| 05-09 18:42:55 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x515e8b… |
| 05-09 18:42:53 | Messy-Analysis 0x8645…0beb | No | BUY | 45 | 98¢ | $44 | 0xbc1c68… |
| 05-09 18:42:44 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 64 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xa30019… |
| 05-09 18:42:42 | Messy-Analysis 0x8645…0beb | No | BUY | 45 | 98¢ | $44 | 0xdba5ce… |
| 05-09 17:49:53 | Messy-Analysis 0x8645…0beb | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0xbad34d… |
| 05-09 17:49:30 | Messy-Analysis 0x8645…0beb | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x30d181… |
| 05-09 17:24:53 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 76 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xfbfd70… |
| 05-09 17:24:52 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xfa7bd6… |
| 05-09 10:59:57 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 74 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc2d174… |
| 05-09 10:59:55 | Showy-Focus 0xd19e…754e | Yes | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x1d8cb2… |
| 05-09 10:59:55 | Trained-Geology 0x5936…bdcc | No | BUY | 35 | 100¢ | $35 | 0x8cec68… |