Intentional-Tadpole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.19K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.8%

Resolved

3,002

Trades

16,077

lifetime

Volume

$830.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 08-30 16:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Other

100% 98% +$1,188

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on May 30?	30	$6.4K	3,250	3,200	+50	No	+$11	05-30 05:42
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on June 4?	54	$6.2K	3,120	3,120	+0	No	+$7	06-04 11:34
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 59°F or below on June 25?	4	$6.0K	3,001	3,001	+0	No	+$15	06-25 07:36
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 24?	4	$5.9K	5,900	0	+5,900	No	+$6	06-24 03:46
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on June 9?	87	$5.4K	2,705	2,705	+0	No	+$9	06-08 12:40
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or below on June 11?	14	$4.5K	2,234	2,234	+0	No	+$9	06-10 19:01
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 23?	2	$4.1K	4,069	0	+4,069	No	+$4	06-23 15:06
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on June 2?	60	$4.1K	2,099	1,989	+110	Yes	+$8	06-02 06:32
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C or below on June 9?	61	$4.0K	2,018	2,017	+0	No	+$4	06-09 01:21
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 85°F or below on June 10?	14	$3.8K	1,922	1,922	+0	No	+$7	06-10 04:42
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 76°F or higher on June 26?	36	$3.8K	2,629	1,129	+1,500	No	+$1	06-27 00:56
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 23?	31	$3.4K	2,220	1,220	+1,000	No	+$6	06-23 07:07
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or below on June 6?	24	$3.2K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$2	06-06 01:20
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on May 27?	45	$2.9K	1,451	1,451	+0	No	+$3	05-27 07:39
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 22?	51	$2.9K	1,493	1,393	+100	No	+$12	05-21 22:13
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 5°C or below on June 26?	18	$2.8K	1,906	876	+1,029	No	+$5	06-26 00:29
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 5?	28	$2.7K	2,030	630	+1,400	No	+$6	06-05 01:46
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 45°F or below on May 23?	8	$2.5K	1,270	1,270	+0	No	+$4	05-22 09:48
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 5?	22	$2.2K	1,380	869	+511	No	+$5	06-05 03:44
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 22?	31	$2.2K	1,203	1,003	+200	No	+$11	05-22 02:44
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 24?	57	$2.2K	1,099	1,099	+0	No	+$8	05-24 00:17
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on May 15?	57	$2.1K	1,300	790	+510	No	+$3	05-14 19:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on June 27?	20	$2.0K	1,618	418	+1,200	No	+$3	06-27 00:06
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on May 5?	50	$2.0K	1,110	910	+200	No	+$4	05-04 23:23
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 24°C or below on June 27?	9	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$2	06-26 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C or below on June 5?	21	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$3	06-04 12:25
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 27?	60	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$3	05-27 03:15
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 48°F or higher on May 4?	70	$2.0K	1,346	640	+706	Yes	+$10	05-03 18:30
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or below on May 22?	35	$1.9K	1,210	710	+500	No	+$6	05-22 02:28
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 12?	20	$1.9K	932	932	+0	No	+$3	06-11 16:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-30 16:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x5557c2…
08-30 14:33:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on August 31?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x47c86e…
08-30 14:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on August 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x76defa…
08-30 14:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or below on August 31?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x6edd54…
08-26 15:51:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4a98d9…
08-26 15:49:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 26?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5a71e2…
08-26 14:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x240dbf…
08-26 13:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on August 26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xed7711…
08-26 12:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 26?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x58c497…
08-26 12:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 26?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8fb2a3…
08-26 11:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb7bbb7…
08-26 11:27:00	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x364b81…
08-25 19:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb8f2bd…
08-25 15:51:33	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x7b41fa…
08-25 15:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7820a5…
08-22 12:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa51cfc…
08-18 21:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x63850e…
08-18 16:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x313e1a…
08-18 16:27:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	333	100¢	$333	0x86ccd0…
08-18 15:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 18?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0xd940a2…
08-16 21:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 16?	No	BUY	360	100¢	$360	0x8b6204…
08-16 18:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x15eba8…
08-16 14:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xd7c636…
08-15 15:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C or below on August 16?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0xaa5fae…
08-15 15:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C or below on August 16?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x747255…
08-15 14:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 15?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3efcff…
08-15 14:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C or below on August 16?	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x2d3b8d…
08-15 13:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 15?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x5f78dd…
08-15 12:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdea453…
08-15 12:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 15?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfd520d…
08-15 12:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C or below on August 16?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x1e35c0…
08-15 12:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 15?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdb0597…
08-15 11:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 15?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xe93508…
08-15 11:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 15?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x01c268…
08-15 11:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 15?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x654e67…
08-15 10:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b7657…
08-15 10:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 15?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2984b8…
08-15 10:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 15?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x43ad0d…
08-14 21:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 14?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8db783…
08-14 20:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on August 14?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x88f7f6…
08-14 15:41:46	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on August 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d5dd6…
08-14 13:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on August 14?	No	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0xa822fb…
08-14 12:51:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 14?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb6ade8…
08-14 12:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 14?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0xccb738…
08-14 05:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 86°F or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x0027f2…
08-14 05:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 13?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x6114f4…
08-14 04:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa251ac…
08-13 23:38:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x968807…
08-13 23:20:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x91aff7…
08-13 22:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x967b0f…
08-13 22:03:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc348a4…
08-13 22:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on August 13?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaefdb2…
08-13 22:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on August 13?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x027284…
08-13 22:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on August 13?	No	BUY	237	100¢	$237	0x0d7040…
08-13 21:58:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfb8d97…
08-13 21:41:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on August 13?	No	BUY	647	100¢	$646	0x944151…
08-13 21:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on August 13?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x52e14a…
08-13 15:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6751c4…
08-13 14:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 13?	No	BUY	249	100¢	$248	0xda2cfa…
08-13 14:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 13?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x93e11b…
08-13 14:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc6de7d…
08-13 14:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 13?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x643c8b…
08-13 14:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f42f4…
08-13 13:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71a9eb…
08-12 14:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on August 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa96d21…
08-12 12:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on August 12?	No	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,498	0xd076df…
08-12 12:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 12?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x96ecc9…
08-12 05:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 11?	No	BUY	472	100¢	$471	0x4217be…
08-12 05:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 11?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xacf6b2…
08-12 05:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 90°F or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	421	100¢	$420	0x45757c…
08-12 05:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on August 11?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7a1ec6…
08-11 23:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe40cfb…
08-11 23:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 11?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x859934…
08-11 21:27:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on August 11?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x372cc9…
08-11 21:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 11?	No	BUY	265	100¢	$264	0x14181b…
08-11 20:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xee49ef…
08-11 19:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 98°F or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	754	100¢	$754	0x0b036f…
08-11 16:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x79569d…
08-11 15:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 11?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x1a7058…
08-11 15:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc983c…
08-11 15:21:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa5ea46…
08-11 15:21:51	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	555	100¢	$554	0x760803…
08-11 15:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on August 11?	No	BUY	555	100¢	$554	0x6b3ae4…
08-11 15:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0fbc70…
08-11 15:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x67de11…
08-11 15:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x72e221…
08-11 15:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 11?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xea939f…
08-11 14:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x04ccd3…
08-11 14:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2c2e81…
08-11 14:50:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2575eb…
08-11 14:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 11?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x8f31a6…
08-11 14:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 11?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xd3ffdd…
08-11 14:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe27038…
08-11 14:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb061f8…
08-11 14:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb451d8…
08-11 14:39:27	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9fb8a4…
08-11 13:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 11?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xeabce4…
08-11 13:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 11?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x06c91d…
08-11 13:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2404d5…
08-11 13:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x130e67…