Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$145
$125 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$737
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 01:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $1 | $6 | $5 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $8 | $100 | $91 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $1 | $26 | $25 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Median | 3 | $2 | $35 | $33 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $23 | $23 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $31 | $31 |
| unranked | 2 | $1 | $21 | $19 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xe5ab…8b8d | Yes | +831 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 00:05 |
| This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | +218 | $5 | $5 | 13 | 05-16 01:14 |
| Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | +35 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 05-15 21:25 |
| Blind-Wick 0x5628…0b12 | No | +27 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-15 19:43 |
| Admired-Saddle 0x4cef…d85b | No | +26 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-15 17:12 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-16 01:13 |
| Shy-Weird 0xe712…9a10 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-15 20:30 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-15 20:30 |
| Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 21:50 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 21:50 |
| Sarcastic-Applause 0x378a…a773 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 11:54 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 11:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 01:14:08 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x020c7a… |
| 05-16 01:14:05 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x547105… |
| 05-16 01:14:03 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdaf755… |
| 05-16 01:13:56 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x8ae9fc… |
| 05-16 01:13:54 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xd8451b… |
| 05-16 01:13:52 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa5e43e… |
| 05-16 01:13:51 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x20a2ee… |
| 05-16 01:13:45 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x819f8b… |
| 05-16 01:01:04 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x850389… |
| 05-16 01:00:54 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8b4f2d… |
| 05-16 01:00:45 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe31360… |
| 05-16 00:58:55 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x797b46… |
| 05-16 00:33:58 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xed8072… |
| 05-16 00:09:02 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x8097c1… |
| 05-16 00:08:59 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xda107a… |
| 05-16 00:08:55 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x4b224a… |
| 05-16 00:05:57 | (anonymous) 0xe5ab…8b8d | Yes | BUY | 831 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xaaa9aa… |
| 05-15 22:09:03 | Ripe-Chives 0x4ecd…36fd | Yes | SELL | 90 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x262061… |
| 05-15 21:50:49 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xcb6c87… |
| 05-15 21:50:44 | Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xb39fca… |
| 05-15 21:25:46 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | BUY | 26 | 93¢ | $24 | 0x4d705d… |
| 05-15 20:30:26 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x1aef58… |
| 05-15 20:30:15 | Shy-Weird 0xe712…9a10 | No | BUY | 15 | 88¢ | $13 | 0x3ec713… |
| 05-15 19:43:28 | Blind-Wick 0x5628…0b12 | No | BUY | 27 | 97¢ | $26 | 0xa640a8… |
| 05-15 19:40:05 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x2d6ca9… |
| 05-15 17:12:08 | Admired-Saddle 0x4cef…d85b | No | BUY | 26 | 81¢ | $21 | 0xb232d9… |
| 05-15 11:54:27 | Sarcastic-Applause 0x378a…a773 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 36¢ | $1 | 0xd21181… |
| 05-15 11:20:19 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x9e9c3c… |
| 05-14 16:14:27 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | BUY | 9 | 70¢ | $6 | 0x064f8b… |