Fancy-Kill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.63K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,666

lifetime

Volume

$180.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 07:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

72% 0% $-189

Other

28% 50% +$1,793

Sports

0% 100% +$21

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	105	$14.0K	17,917	14,473	+3,444	open	—	02-28 07:28
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	34	$10.3K	7,868	7,368	+500	open	—	05-25 22:08
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	35	$9.6K	8,253	5,753	+2,500	open	—	04-07 06:33
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	50	$8.9K	5,488	5,507	-19	open	—	04-02 01:58
us strike on somalia by january 31 956	50	$6.6K	4,929	3,281	+1,648	open	—	01-26 21:45
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	36	$5.8K	8,976	125	+8,851	open	—	03-07 20:29
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	47	$5.1K	5,480	4,480	+1,000	open	—	06-08 09:05
us strikes iraq by march 7	18	$5.1K	3,212	3,212	+0	open	—	03-08 07:25
us strikes iraq by february 28	133	$4.8K	19,621	13,210	+6,411	open	—	03-05 02:35
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	24	$4.6K	2,830	3,616	-786	Yes	+$1,794	05-07 22:10
us forces seize another venezuela linked oil ship by january 9 2026 785	40	$4.6K	2,924	3,394	-470	open	—	01-07 15:28
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	12	$4.4K	3,700	2,700	+1,000	open	—	04-07 07:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	8	$3.6K	4,263	4,463	-200	open	—	05-23 11:45
us strike on somalia by january 31 563	56	$3.5K	2,444	2,474	-29	open	—	01-30 16:03
will uae strike iran by march 31	43	$3.5K	6,600	0	+6,600	open	—	03-06 17:47
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	86	$3.3K	3,167	2,193	+974	open	—	02-11 12:59
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	43	$3.3K	2,890	2,990	-100	open	—	03-01 07:27
iran closes its airspace by june 15	26	$2.7K	4,160	3,160	+1,000	open	—	06-08 09:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	11	$2.6K	3,067	3,067	+0	open	—	03-01 01:17
will israel or the us target tehran 812	38	$2.5K	6,980	3,363	+3,618	open	—	02-28 10:04
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	32	$2.5K	2,566	1,320	+1,246	open	—	02-16 22:24
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	18	$2.3K	1,254	1,254	+0	open	—	07-29 23:18
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	13	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-01 23:59
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	17	$1.8K	2,554	0	+2,554	open	—	04-10 23:40
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	7	$1.5K	1,700	0	+1,700	open	—	03-27 00:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	15	$1.5K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-01 08:16
will israel or the us target fordow nuclear facility	36	$1.4K	1,989	550	+1,439	open	—	03-08 02:44
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	23	$1.4K	3,409	1,299	+2,110	open	—	02-28 03:52
us strikes iraq by march 31	29	$1.4K	1,657	0	+1,657	open	—	03-07 01:43
us x venezuela military engagement by january 31 2026 977	3	$1.4K	700	1,276	-576	open	—	01-03 09:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 07:18:43	iran successfully targets shipping on august 9 2026 20260729163314529	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x61187a…
08-10 07:12:45	iran successfully targets shipping on august 9 2026 20260729163314529	Yes	BUY	69	6¢	$4	0xe3692f…
08-10 02:41:36	iran successfully targets shipping on august 9 2026 20260729163314529	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xa008bd…
08-10 02:01:33	iran successfully targets shipping on august 9 2026 20260729163314529	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xc93c12…
08-03 04:38:27	iran successfully targets shipping on july 31	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x810f47…
08-02 02:15:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	477	6¢	$29	0x831c40…
08-02 02:14:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x059ba7…
08-02 02:14:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x033267…
08-02 02:14:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x025ba9…
08-02 01:16:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x42f407…
08-02 01:14:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x6a5c80…
08-02 01:14:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x5fc44c…
08-02 01:14:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x188f04…
08-02 01:14:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x1a919b…
08-02 01:14:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x9cb3e9…
08-02 01:14:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x77b26c…
08-02 01:14:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x175f32…
08-02 01:14:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xd4e347…
08-02 01:14:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xadbaae…
08-02 01:14:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x655c1f…
08-02 01:13:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x2c22a8…
08-02 01:13:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x60d6de…
08-02 01:13:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x116bd3…
08-02 01:13:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x25b100…
08-02 01:10:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	115	74¢	$85	0x954da8…
08-01 20:02:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	600	90¢	$540	0x734bc8…
08-01 13:12:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	79	32¢	$25	0xce5f7e…
08-01 13:11:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0xf81685…
08-01 13:10:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2d7a21…
08-01 13:08:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x1a2584…
08-01 13:02:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	37	32¢	$12	0x8b7e38…
08-01 13:02:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	417	36¢	$150	0x2e7aba…
08-01 01:04:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	140	89¢	$125	0x9e0432…
08-01 01:03:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xb25c2d…
08-01 01:03:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0xe4b327…
08-01 01:03:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0xc6c8aa…
08-01 00:55:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x94889c…
07-31 22:31:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	143	74¢	$106	0xbb17b4…
07-31 21:46:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x7ad5aa…
07-31 10:54:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x9cf42b…
07-31 04:39:47	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	BUY	475	1¢	$4	0x2fd375…
07-31 02:01:51	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x8f6a75…
07-31 01:20:50	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	500	12¢	$60	0xa46cc0…
07-31 00:20:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	199	19¢	$38	0xc19f9b…
07-30 23:41:24	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x29861a…
07-30 23:25:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x5fef42…
07-30 22:20:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0xe03676…
07-30 20:15:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0xa114f8…
07-30 19:43:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	739	4¢	$30	0x4a053d…
07-30 19:43:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x903294…
07-30 07:18:29	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0xef5206…
07-30 05:16:27	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xa2926b…
07-30 04:57:32	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	68	27¢	$18	0x0c2ff2…
07-30 02:30:47	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0x49661d…
07-30 02:16:12	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xf1d84d…
07-30 02:16:12	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xb919d7…
07-30 02:16:12	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x6aec8b…
07-30 02:08:33	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	203	7¢	$14	0x52e4b5…
07-30 02:07:17	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xd7dd14…
07-30 01:06:47	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	124	7¢	$9	0x82e989…
07-30 00:51:20	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	550	7¢	$38	0x89e6a3…
07-30 00:48:44	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	35	7¢	$2	0x806072…
07-30 00:48:42	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	39	7¢	$3	0xd02469…
07-29 23:18:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	1,254	100¢	$1,252	0x7293aa…
07-29 22:59:21	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xa18732…
07-29 22:34:21	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	43	27¢	$12	0xbe3797…
07-29 22:27:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x8fc76a…
07-29 22:27:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	7	89¢	$7	0x1b4b7a…
07-29 22:26:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x67a9bd…
07-29 22:26:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	143	89¢	$127	0xb3d04e…
07-29 21:39:29	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	65	27¢	$18	0x1e3de4…
07-29 21:38:33	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	192	27¢	$52	0xdd3ade…
07-29 21:30:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xab1eba…
07-29 21:18:42	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x93183d…
07-29 20:00:50	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	84	32¢	$27	0x65c744…
07-29 20:00:48	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	255	32¢	$82	0xe31a75…
07-29 20:00:48	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	61	32¢	$19	0x919506…
07-29 18:58:36	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0x2c19f0…
07-29 18:57:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x55682b…
07-29 17:26:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	210	36¢	$76	0x272b64…
07-29 17:18:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	200	88¢	$175	0x880f9e…
07-29 16:59:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0xbee30b…
07-29 16:55:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	19	87¢	$17	0xa9f4b4…
07-29 16:55:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	20	87¢	$18	0x8ff1bb…
07-29 16:55:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	59	87¢	$52	0x8701a9…
07-29 16:55:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x667f65…
07-29 16:53:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	78	87¢	$68	0xd41ad4…
07-29 14:54:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	182	42¢	$76	0xe102dc…
07-29 14:38:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0xd5ea57…
07-29 14:37:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0xd2871f…
07-29 11:48:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x950c6d…
07-28 22:52:31	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x0fb1f0…
07-28 20:47:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x541662…
07-28 10:26:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x815c79…
07-28 01:19:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0x2d90cb…
07-28 01:14:57	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	638	13¢	$83	0x1ac1f8…
07-28 01:11:22	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe036ec…
07-28 01:09:49	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x940b92…
07-25 19:28:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xf6ed86…
07-25 19:27:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa3ef0c…