Realized P&L (30d)
+$2.19K
Unrealized P&L
-$454
Hit rate
92.1%
Resolved (30d)
24
Trades (30d)
158
3,244 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$6.17K
$207.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$1.05K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 11:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 168 days
Categories
Politics
74% 46% +$43,601
Other
26% 40% +$14,651
Sports
0% 27% +$2
Crypto
0% 33% -$10
Tech
0% 0% -$5
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +1,230 $547 40¢ $486 -$61 11-04 11:31
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? No +200 $159 82¢ $163 +$4 11-09 11:29
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +500 $165 22¢ $107 -$57 11-07 23:21
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? No +454 $284 18¢ $81 -$203 08-26 13:37
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +638 $83 8¢ $54 -$29 07-28 01:14
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes +389 -$180 12¢ $48 +$227 06-08 14:22
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +450 $214 8¢ $38 -$176 05-26 22:34
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +100 $26 26¢ $26 +$0 10-11 10:12
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +190 $76 8¢ $14 -$62 07-25 02:12
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +471 $14 2¢ $11 -$3 11-08 11:12
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +130 $35 7¢ $9 -$26 08-07 10:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +120 $48 4¢ $4 -$44 06-24 00:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +50 $14 6¢ $3 -$10 10-08 00:33
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? No +200 $6 1¢ $2 -$4 11-07 02:16
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +110 $11 1¢ $1 -$9 05-08 00:44