Realized P&L (90d)
+$8.16K
Unrealized P&L
-$610
Hit rate
86.3%
Resolved (90d)
70
Trades (90d)
431
3,229 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$22.8K
$206.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$902
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 16:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 169 days
Categories
Politics
74% 45% +$43,595
Other
26% 40% +$14,651
Sports
0% 27% +$2
Crypto
0% 33% -$10
Tech
0% 0% -$5
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +1,230 $547 30¢ $375 -$172 11-04 11:31
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? No +200 $159 68¢ $136 -$23 11-09 11:29
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? No +454 $284 22¢ $102 -$182 08-26 13:37
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +500 $165 16¢ $77 -$87 11-07 23:21
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes +389 -$180 18¢ $68 +$248 06-08 14:22
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +638 $83 8¢ $48 -$35 07-28 01:14
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +450 $214 8¢ $34 -$181 05-26 22:34
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +100 $26 19¢ $19 -$7 10-11 10:12
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +190 $76 6¢ $12 -$64 07-25 02:12
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +471 $14 2¢ $9 -$5 11-08 11:12
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +130 $35 6¢ $7 -$28 08-07 10:15
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by November 15, 2026? Yes +80 $15 8¢ $6 -$9 11-10 16:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +120 $48 4¢ $4 -$44 06-24 00:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +50 $14 3¢ $2 -$12 10-08 00:33
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +110 $11 1¢ $1 -$10 05-08 00:44