Realized P&L (90d)
+$6.61K
Unrealized P&L
-$578
Hit rate
81.0%
Resolved (90d)
74
Trades (90d)
432
3,226 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$22.8K
$206.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$918
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 11:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 169 days
Categories
Politics
74% 45% +$43,595
Other
26% 40% +$14,651
Sports
0% 27% +$2
Crypto
0% 33% -$10
Tech
0% 0% -$5
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +1,230 $547 32¢ $388 -$160 11-04 11:31
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? No +200 $159 79¢ $158 -$1 11-09 11:29
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? No +454 $284 20¢ $93 -$191 08-26 13:37
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +500 $165 15¢ $72 -$92 11-07 23:21
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes +389 -$180 17¢ $64 +$244 06-08 14:22
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +638 $83 8¢ $54 -$29 07-28 01:14
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +450 $214 8¢ $34 -$181 05-26 22:34
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +100 $26 21¢ $21 -$5 10-11 10:12
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +190 $76 6¢ $12 -$64 07-25 02:12
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +130 $35 7¢ $9 -$27 08-07 10:15
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +471 $14 1¢ $5 -$9 11-08 11:12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +120 $48 4¢ $4 -$44 06-24 00:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +50 $14 5¢ $2 -$11 10-08 00:33
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +110 $11 1¢ $1 -$10 05-08 00:44