Weighty-Pimple — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$116

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

96.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$179

Open exposure

$90

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-08 07:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Politics

43% 92% -$161

Other

38% 100% +$34

Crypto

11% 100% +$6

Tech

8% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No		+93	$88	97¢	$90	+$2	10-08 07:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum dip to 2700 december 29 january 4	1	$480	482	0	+482	No	+$2	01-03 04:48
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$421	275	160	+115	Yes	+$6	02-16 07:55
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	1	$277	278	0	+278	No	+$1	03-20 06:52
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$277	281	0	+281	No	+$4	03-07 08:27
us strike on colombia by january 31	1	$270	271	0	+271	No	+$1	01-27 08:13
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$260	263	0	+263	No	+$3	02-13 02:57
trump out as president by march 31	1	$253	257	0	+257	No	+$4	03-07 08:26
ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by january 31	1	$229	231	0	+231	No	+$2	01-27 08:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$210	215	0	+215	No	+$5	04-12 06:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$200	207	0	+207	Yes	-$200	05-08 12:29
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	1	$200	203	0	+203	No	+$3	05-25 13:29
lol t1 tl2 2026 06 28	1	$200	211	0	+211	T1	+$11	06-27 09:24
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	1	$190	192	0	+192	No	+$2	06-07 15:16
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$180	186	0	+186	Yes	+$6	05-09 09:16
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	1	$180	183	0	+183	No	+$3	04-12 06:11
starmer out by june 15 2026	1	$176	177	0	+177	No	+$1	06-07 15:17
Iran leadership change by May 31?	1	$170	179	0	+179	No	+$9	05-08 12:28
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$170	172	0	+172	No	+$2	05-08 12:29
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	1	$166	168	0	+168	No	+$2	06-27 09:23
will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in february 2026	1	$150	154	0	+154	No	+$4	02-16 07:56
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$150	152	0	+152	No	+$2	04-12 06:12
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	1	$121	124	0	+124	No	+$3	07-20 06:47
Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?	1	$101	102	0	+102	No	+$1	10-08 07:11
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	1	$101	103	0	+103	Yes	+$2	09-09 06:53
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	08-10 08:02
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	1	$88	93	0	+93	open	—	10-08 07:08
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	1	$82	83	0	+83	No	+$1	09-09 06:52
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$80	82	0	+82	No	+$2	08-10 08:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$61	62	0	+62	No	+$1	07-20 06:47
will hyperliquid hit 46 in january	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-03 04:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 07:11:52	Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0xead995…
10-08 07:08:10	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	93	95¢	$88	0x9b167e…
09-09 06:53:31	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0x81e9a2…
09-09 06:52:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0xc7f3d0…
08-10 08:03:04	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	82	98¢	$80	0xe96a58…
08-10 08:02:46	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x0eb028…
07-20 06:47:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0x45df28…
07-20 06:47:15	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	124	97¢	$121	0x8dae7d…
06-27 09:24:11	lol t1 tl2 2026 06 28	T1	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x8a867b…
06-27 09:23:28	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	168	99¢	$166	0x2ca31f…
06-07 15:17:13	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	BUY	177	99¢	$176	0x3acaad…
06-07 15:16:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	192	99¢	$190	0xca58c6…
05-25 13:29:12	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x4b381a…
05-09 09:16:12	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	186	97¢	$180	0xfaff92…
05-08 12:29:54	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0x1bfcbd…
05-08 12:29:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	207	96¢	$200	0xb2dfb8…
05-08 12:28:16	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	179	95¢	$170	0xc14d5e…
04-12 06:12:37	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xb10fc8…
04-12 06:11:01	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	183	99¢	$180	0x6ddfac…
04-12 06:10:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	215	97¢	$210	0x10becf…
03-20 06:52:51	will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	No	BUY	278	99¢	$277	0xf10f3f…
03-07 08:27:15	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	281	99¢	$277	0x387cd3…
03-07 08:26:41	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	257	98¢	$253	0xea157a…
02-16 07:56:07	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in february 2026	No	BUY	154	98¢	$150	0x458c49…
02-16 07:55:05	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	SELL	160	98¢	$156	0x1863a6…
02-13 02:57:33	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	263	99¢	$260	0x5e015b…
02-13 02:57:13	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	275	96¢	$265	0x142402…
01-27 08:13:41	us strike on colombia by january 31	No	BUY	271	100¢	$270	0x100615…
01-27 08:13:13	ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by january 31	No	BUY	231	99¢	$229	0x23308b…
01-03 04:48:49	will ethereum dip to 2700 december 29 january 4	No	BUY	482	100¢	$480	0x532e8a…
01-03 04:44:03	will hyperliquid hit 46 in january	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xee64a1…