Reckless-Accuracy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$136

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$169

Open exposure

$107

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 11-06 04:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

58% 100% +$103

Politics

32% 100% +$25

Crypto

6% 100% +$2

Tech

5% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No		+61	$60	98¢	$60	+$0	11-06 04:42
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No		+48	$47	98¢	$47	+$0	11-06 04:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	2	$502	255	255	+0	No	+$2	08-14 03:00
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	2	$423	213	213	+0	No	+$1	07-02 06:27
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$376	380	0	+380	Yes	+$4	01-27 06:26
bitcoin up or down on january 15	1	$295	297	0	+297	Down	+$2	01-15 15:54
new stranger things episode released by february 28 564 799 718 478 643 635 547	1	$278	280	0	+280	No	+$2	02-07 06:22
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	1	$270	273	0	+273	No	+$3	04-13 11:19
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	1	$220	221	0	+221	No	+$1	03-29 11:01
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	1	$220	222	0	+222	No	+$2	05-08 13:50
will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	1	$212	215	0	+215	No	+$3	02-07 06:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$211	216	0	+216	No	+$5	04-13 11:19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$208	210	0	+210	No	+$2	07-02 06:31
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	1	$208	212	0	+212	Yes	+$4	06-11 07:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$187	193	0	+193	No	+$6	06-11 07:20
lol blg g2 2026 03 18	1	$187	228	0	+228	Bilibili Gaming	+$41	03-18 07:31
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 580plus	1	$180	188	0	+188	No	+$8	01-15 15:55
Iran leadership change by May 31?	1	$180	183	0	+183	No	+$3	05-27 04:59
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$178	181	0	+181	No	+$3	06-11 07:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$177	180	0	+180	No	+$3	05-27 04:58
nvda above 190 on march 6 2026	1	$171	173	0	+173	No	+$2	03-06 12:05
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	1	$170	177	0	+177	No	+$7	03-06 12:02
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	2	$166	173	0	+173	Bilibili Gaming	+$7	05-08 13:45
Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?	1	$160	167	0	+167	No	+$7	05-08 13:46
will india strike pakistan by march 31	1	$140	146	0	+146	No	+$6	03-06 12:01
will wti reach 130 in july 2026	1	$130	132	0	+132	No	+$2	07-24 03:12
lol hle1 tsw 2026 07 02	1	$130	133	0	+133	Hanwha Life Esports	+$3	07-02 06:29
Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?	1	$105	106	0	+106	No	+$1	10-15 07:23
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 190 214	1	$105	105	0	+105	No	+$0	01-27 06:22
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$101	103	0	+103	Yes	+$2	08-22 08:08
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?	1	$71	72	0	+72	No	+$1	04-16 03:59
lol blg jdg 2026 04 14	1	$70	72	0	+72	JD Gaming	+$2	04-13 11:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 04:42:01	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x6b5679…
11-06 04:41:42	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xeb9266…
10-15 07:23:44	Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0xd2ff32…
09-18 11:39:52	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x85aa9f…
09-18 11:38:58	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xc58608…
08-22 08:08:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0xfbc763…
08-14 03:00:28	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	255	99¢	$252	0x27ae5a…
07-24 03:12:25	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	132	99¢	$130	0xf59d5c…
07-02 06:31:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	210	99¢	$208	0x7c3571…
07-02 06:29:47	lol hle1 tsw 2026 07 02	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0xe05b6f…
07-02 06:29:14	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	255	98¢	$250	0xa373e8…
07-02 06:27:40	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	213	99¢	$212	0x7c14ba…
06-27 08:33:01	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	213	99¢	$211	0xc7f4ac…
06-11 07:22:27	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	212	98¢	$208	0x2b784b…
06-11 07:21:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	181	98¢	$178	0x7ec1b1…
06-11 07:20:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	193	97¢	$187	0xf6e6d9…
05-27 04:59:54	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	183	98¢	$180	0x30111a…
05-27 04:58:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	180	98¢	$177	0xbb5d82…
05-08 13:50:02	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	222	99¢	$220	0xa9c929…
05-08 13:46:44	Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	167	96¢	$160	0xfd6334…
05-08 13:45:19	LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	98	96¢	$94	0xd0753f…
05-08 13:45:17	LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	74	96¢	$71	0x3de412…
04-16 03:59:02	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?	No	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0xc862e6…
04-13 11:20:39	lol blg jdg 2026 04 14	JD Gaming	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0x33900b…
04-13 11:19:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	216	98¢	$211	0xc1e235…
04-13 11:19:15	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	273	99¢	$270	0x291c0a…
03-29 11:01:28	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	BUY	221	100¢	$220	0x2c7329…
03-18 07:31:03	lol blg g2 2026 03 18	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	228	82¢	$187	0xa1f066…
03-06 12:05:11	nvda above 190 on march 6 2026	No	BUY	173	99¢	$171	0x139ca7…
03-06 12:02:39	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	177	96¢	$170	0x3e75a6…
03-06 12:01:59	will india strike pakistan by march 31	No	BUY	146	96¢	$140	0x92d324…
02-07 06:23:41	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	No	BUY	215	99¢	$212	0xce378d…
02-07 06:22:25	new stranger things episode released by february 28 564 799 718 478 643 635 547	No	BUY	280	99¢	$278	0x64f3af…
01-27 06:26:53	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	380	99¢	$376	0x06cece…
01-27 06:22:31	elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 190 214	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x86565d…
01-15 15:55:42	elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 580plus	No	BUY	188	96¢	$180	0xa49052…
01-15 15:54:56	bitcoin up or down on january 15	Down	BUY	297	99¢	$295	0x9a68c8…