Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$285

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.9%

Resolved

188

Trades

1,300

lifetime

Volume

$10.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-12

last 10-27 11:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

68% 15% -$146

Politics

21% 4% -$93

Tech

6% 10% -$31

Sports

3% 20% -$5

Pop-Culture

2% 0% $0

Crypto

1% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	11	$216	164	144	+20	No	-$16	10-22 23:29
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	4	$104	100	100	+0	open	—	10-18 08:14
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	15	$90	100	100	+0	open	—	10-25 10:08
Will Seattle have between 1.75 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in October?	12	$89	100	100	+0	open	—	10-24 07:32
Will Kenneth Östberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland?	6	$78	60	60	+0	No	+$15	08-17 22:30
Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	7	$63	60	45	+15	open	—	10-25 15:26
Will Harry Styles perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	4	$59	40	40	+0	open	—	10-19 03:28
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	2	$58	50	50	+0	open	—	08-23 22:09
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?	4	$57	60	60	+0	open	—	09-29 03:02
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?	8	$57	57	55	+2	open	—	10-16 19:54
Will Summit be the most played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?	7	$53	60	60	+0	Yes	-$13	10-10 21:39
Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?	4	$51	40	40	+0	No	-$2	08-20 11:54
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20–$2.30 in August?	4	$50	40	40	+0	Yes	-$2	08-31 11:16
Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?	2	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	09-27 17:36
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?	5	$48	40	40	+0	No	-$7	09-13 14:06
Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	4	$44	40	40	+0	No	-$1	08-23 05:01
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	4	$43	40	40	+0	open	—	09-13 16:51
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	4	$43	50	50	+0	open	—	10-02 16:08
Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?	4	$41	40	40	+0	No	-$4	09-06 22:20
Will NYC have between 3 and 4.25 inches of precipitation in October?	7	$41	55	50	+5	open	—	10-19 04:42
Will Jay Z perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	4	$41	40	40	+0	open	—	10-18 14:52
Will Kylian Mbappé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	4	$41	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	10-22 00:16
Will Databricks have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?	5	$41	40	40	+0	No	-$1	08-20 04:01
will the next muse spark 1pt4 debut at a score of at least 1500 by june 30 2027	4	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	09-23 13:23
Will Bad Bunny be featured on GTA VI: The Album?	4	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	09-24 09:49
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.7% and 3.9% in September?	4	$40	39	39	+0	No	-$1	10-07 06:02
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	2	$40	30	30	+0	open	—	09-27 00:56
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?	5	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	08-27 19:30
Will Kaka attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	5	$40	40	40	+0	No	$0	10-23 02:43
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	4	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	08-31 10:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:38:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xa14940…
10-27 09:41:12	Will CeeDee Lamb have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0xcdb0d4…
10-27 06:36:08	Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be above 4%?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x26ce87…
10-27 05:30:48	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 6.5% to 7.5%?	No	SELL	9	60¢	$6	0x4d792a…
10-27 00:18:57	Will Don't Be Dumb (A$AP Rocky) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xbf40e5…
10-26 19:26:59	Will Jan Oblak (Atlético Madrid) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 La Liga season?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x277503…
10-26 18:39:15	Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be between 3% and 5%?	Yes	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xbe1753…
10-26 18:39:09	Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be between 3% and 5%?	Yes	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0xecf9f2…
10-26 18:39:00	Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be between 3% and 5%?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xa9fcd4…
10-26 17:05:09	Will Raphael Warnock win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xc0272e…
10-26 17:05:09	Will Raphael Warnock win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x7e5d73…
10-26 16:34:32	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 6.5% to 7.5%?	No	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0xdefb63…
10-26 15:08:39	Will Xavi Hernandez attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x865717…
10-26 12:02:57	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be 1,200,000 or more?	No	SELL	12	63¢	$8	0x084c25…
10-26 03:38:50	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xc7f61c…
10-26 02:46:00	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sinaloa Congress election?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xe7072a…
10-26 02:11:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 60%-65%?	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xd1ea0b…
10-26 00:29:36	Will Payton Pritchard win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	No	SELL	12	79¢	$9	0x844bf6…
10-25 23:41:09	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xdc42ee…
10-25 21:05:20	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x3ff3d0…
10-25 18:10:00	Will Jan Oblak (Atlético Madrid) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 La Liga season?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x284b47…
10-25 15:59:02	Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth -0.5% to 0.5%?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x2daf84…
10-25 15:34:24	Will Raphael Warnock win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xbb1094…
10-25 15:26:29	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x88ae14…
10-25 15:16:12	Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Eastern Conference?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x83c510…
10-25 13:12:08	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x5f8092…
10-25 12:40:47	Will PP win the most seats in Zamora in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xc3809a…
10-25 11:51:11	Will Democrats win 7 or 8 of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xb92173…
10-25 10:58:21	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the December meeting?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x21befc…
10-25 10:08:27	Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xc5a2fe…
10-25 10:07:53	Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xb9672d…
10-25 09:44:56	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x281dc5…
10-25 08:46:11	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xb28edd…
10-25 05:56:18	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be 1,200,000 or more?	No	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x43306c…
10-25 02:51:11	Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 4% to 5.5%?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xc0dacd…
10-25 01:03:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x951928…
10-25 00:01:48	Will PSOE win the most seats in Lleida in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xc7924d…
10-24 23:07:36	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x6da7e3…
10-24 22:48:14	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 60%-65%?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x1000de…
10-24 21:52:41	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 30%-35%?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xae0c73…
10-24 18:36:42	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x806b2d…
10-24 18:19:06	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x30001c…
10-24 18:17:06	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chiapas Congress election?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x202c9a…
10-24 18:11:02	Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xa18347…
10-24 17:53:21	Will Octane (Don Toliver) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x2a5b61…
10-24 17:01:00	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x35849a…
10-24 16:38:30	Will With Tapes and Toasts in the Car win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x8a2eaf…
10-24 15:08:03	Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	No	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0xcf8414…
10-24 14:31:41	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x50803b…
10-24 13:17:26	Will Payton Pritchard win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x8444a4…
10-24 13:17:26	Will Payton Pritchard win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x72fb75…
10-24 07:41:11	Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth -0.5% to 0.5%?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xe705c0…
10-24 07:32:47	Will Seattle have between 1.75 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x88cb13…
10-24 07:32:24	Will Seattle have between 1.75 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x49b87f…
10-24 07:32:24	Will Seattle have between 1.75 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x2ab7e2…
10-24 06:52:30	Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x2d9778…
10-24 06:33:20	Will Octane (Don Toliver) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xf4d9df…
10-24 04:10:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0xb1d9b0…
10-24 02:37:48	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Western Conference?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x875baf…
10-24 01:03:11	Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%?	No	SELL	19	58¢	$11	0x219485…
10-24 00:22:32	Will Team Yandex win PARI Universe?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x8af962…
10-24 00:12:45	Will Don't Be Dumb (A$AP Rocky) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x66e244…
10-23 23:46:48	Will CeeDee Lamb have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x0836d6…
10-23 23:45:48	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	18	43¢	$8	0xa1c346…
10-23 21:49:18	Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be between 3% and 5%?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x1e955d…
10-23 19:22:11	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sinaloa Congress election?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x01053c…
10-23 19:11:45	Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be above 4%?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xcc8272…
10-23 17:06:14	Will the New York Islanders record 90+ points?	No	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x5e3e3f…
10-23 16:56:33	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 97?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xf82a0d…
10-23 14:51:35	Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%?	No	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0xe32992…
10-23 14:45:50	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 6.5% to 7.5%?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x60164e…
10-23 13:24:18	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 97?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x5d86c9…
10-23 12:20:33	Will Puka Nacua finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xf61d0e…
10-23 11:12:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x4edc2e…
10-23 11:04:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x275a47…
10-23 07:32:35	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x42bc41…
10-23 07:26:12	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?	No	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0xe9d5f3…
10-23 07:06:23	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?	No	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0x016004…
10-23 06:27:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xac857f…
10-23 05:29:44	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xba2296…
10-23 05:29:44	Will Seattle have between 1.75 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x65bd9b…
10-23 04:36:51	Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xb5853c…
10-23 02:43:11	Will Kaka attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x071a37…
10-23 01:44:12	Will Kaka attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xac7c3a…
10-23 01:38:11	Welltower (WELL) Q3 same store NOI (SSNOI) growth 12% to 15%?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x00c997…
10-23 01:00:11	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?	No	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0xef2802…
10-23 00:06:00	Will Isamaa win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xe34874…
10-23 00:01:03	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Campeche Congress election?	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x6d777e…
10-22 23:46:27	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x2d0b18…
10-22 23:32:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xd198da…
10-22 23:29:20	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x95ddb5…
10-22 23:24:09	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chiapas Congress election?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xba9771…
10-22 22:22:42	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x3ce4aa…
10-22 21:59:39	Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x0a3808…
10-22 20:58:17	Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x7d062b…
10-22 20:27:56	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xb38ea8…
10-22 19:11:14	Will the median home value in the US be between $403,000 and $407,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x7792aa…
10-22 19:09:18	Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xcf8bde…
10-22 18:54:39	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x5b4c38…
10-22 18:48:57	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9b1a8e…