Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$77

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

19.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

150

1,445 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.20K

$11.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-12

last 11-02 18:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

68% 16% -$175

Politics

21% 4% -$97

Tech

6% 8% -$40

Sports

3% 20% -$5

Pop-Culture

2% 0% $0

Crypto

1% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?	No		+3	$0	18¢	$1	+$0	10-30 18:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	11	$216	164	144	+20	No	-$16	10-22 23:29
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	4	$104	100	100	+0	open	—	10-18 08:14
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	15	$90	100	100	+0	open	—	10-25 10:08
Will Seattle have between 1.75 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in October?	12	$89	100	100	+0	No	+$2	10-24 07:32
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	10	$87	90	90	+0	open	—	11-02 16:19
Will Kenneth Östberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland?	6	$78	60	60	+0	No	+$15	08-17 22:30
Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	9	$63	60	60	+0	Yes	-$5	10-31 12:07
Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	9	$62	60	60	+0	open	—	11-01 19:50
Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	6	$61	60	60	+0	open	—	11-01 03:42
Will Harry Styles perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	4	$59	40	40	+0	open	—	10-19 03:28
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	2	$58	50	50	+0	open	—	08-23 22:09
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?	4	$57	60	60	+0	open	—	09-29 03:02
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?	8	$57	57	55	+2	Yes	-$5	10-16 19:54
Will Summit be the most played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?	7	$53	60	60	+0	Yes	-$13	10-10 21:39
Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?	4	$51	40	40	+0	No	-$2	08-20 11:54
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20–$2.30 in August?	4	$50	40	40	+0	Yes	-$2	08-31 11:16
Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?	2	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	09-27 17:36
will the next fable model 5pt2 debut at a score of at least 1530 by june 30 2027	4	$50	70	70	+0	open	—	10-31 11:39
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?	5	$48	40	40	+0	No	-$7	09-13 14:06
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	3	$46	40	20	+20	open	—	11-01 05:32
Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	4	$44	40	40	+0	No	-$1	08-23 05:01
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	4	$43	40	40	+0	Yes	-$3	09-13 16:51
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	4	$43	50	50	+0	open	—	10-02 16:08
Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?	4	$41	40	40	+0	No	-$4	09-06 22:20
Will NYC have between 3 and 4.25 inches of precipitation in October?	7	$41	55	50	+5	No	+$9	10-19 04:42
Will Jay Z perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	4	$41	40	40	+0	open	—	10-18 14:52
Will Kylian Mbappé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	4	$41	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	10-22 00:16
Will Databricks have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?	5	$41	40	40	+0	No	-$1	08-20 04:01
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	5	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	10-31 15:50
will the next muse spark 1pt4 debut at a score of at least 1500 by june 30 2027	4	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	09-23 13:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 20:26:27	Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x4eddc7…
11-02 18:27:15	Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 85% and 87.5%?	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xd699a5…
11-02 18:27:15	Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 85% and 87.5%?	Yes	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x470529…
11-02 18:20:03	Will the Republicans win New Mexico in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x8db202…
11-02 18:18:27	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x0e4e3f…
11-02 18:12:55	Will the Republicans win New Mexico in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x622590…
11-02 18:06:40	Next Israeli government a minority government?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xceb900…
11-02 16:55:52	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xa63a9a…
11-02 16:55:52	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0x448a0e…
11-02 16:32:33	Will Nico Collins have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xaa505a…
11-02 16:19:15	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xc37047…
11-02 16:12:34	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0xdbe43d…
11-02 16:00:54	Will PP win the most seats in Castellón in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x4794f3…
11-02 13:38:31	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x0d0c68…
11-02 12:00:25	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x5b0ed6…
11-02 10:30:12	Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x517262…
11-02 09:40:03	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than -0.3%?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x567163…
11-02 08:12:09	Will the Democrats win Minnesota in the 2028 Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xdfe48f…
11-02 07:26:54	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 Action of the Year?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x8df430…
11-02 06:29:27	Will the Democrats win Minnesota in the 2028 Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xdfd31a…
11-02 06:29:27	Will the Democrats win Minnesota in the 2028 Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x13bf75…
11-02 03:02:37	Will PP receive between 30% and 32% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x7607a5…
11-02 02:17:36	Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x987afd…
11-01 21:00:45	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x6d898f…
11-01 19:50:16	Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	Yes	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0x96e808…
11-01 19:15:18	Will "007: First Light" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xd0dcf1…
11-01 18:44:42	Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xeba14d…
11-01 18:44:42	Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x821d86…
11-01 18:44:37	Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xd6a0fd…
11-01 18:44:36	Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x1ed9ec…
11-01 17:01:39	Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in efficiency (EFF) per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xc78e63…
11-01 12:02:10	Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0xc68f49…
11-01 11:55:46	Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xa6494a…
11-01 09:38:18	Will Ivar Stenberg win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xc733f8…
11-01 05:32:42	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x5e856e…
11-01 04:22:42	Will Don't Be Dumb (A$AP Rocky) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x10dff5…
11-01 03:42:27	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x7bd148…
11-01 03:42:25	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x62afc4…
11-01 02:17:10	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x334042…
11-01 02:08:49	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xee022d…
11-01 01:42:57	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x0799e3…
10-31 21:12:36	Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be between 3% and 5%?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x5c6107…
10-31 19:09:16	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x6288c2…
10-31 16:40:33	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x003f5e…
10-31 15:50:03	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x1b0f2b…
10-31 14:52:24	Will Trey McBride finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions?	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x85e0b0…
10-31 14:52:24	Will Trey McBride finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions?	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x2b2853…
10-31 14:39:10	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x8b3658…
10-31 14:18:31	Will HLE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x6cfa1b…
10-31 13:41:12	Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0xb37251…
10-31 13:41:12	Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	Yes	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x29b726…
10-31 13:11:28	Will "007: First Light" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xaf3e4a…
10-31 13:08:55	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x5e979d…
10-31 12:40:24	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xfaf785…
10-31 12:07:04	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x97e284…
10-31 12:06:55	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xc8d4ba…
10-31 11:51:52	Will Trey McBride finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x82524a…
10-31 11:39:33	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x9b4123…
10-31 10:36:28	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x779cba…
10-31 09:22:49	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xd1ed17…
10-31 07:46:42	Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xe5a37d…
10-31 07:20:43	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xb50199…
10-31 06:35:22	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 97?	No	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x77dec8…
10-31 06:08:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?	Yes	SELL	14	24¢	$3	0xde17f2…
10-30 22:54:07	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x24a204…
10-30 22:19:52	Will A Derailment win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x256b83…
10-30 22:16:37	Will A Derailment win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xc922d9…
10-30 22:15:52	Will Don't Be Dumb (A$AP Rocky) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf6d569…
10-30 22:15:51	Will Don't Be Dumb (A$AP Rocky) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xb720ff…
10-30 22:00:36	Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	No	SELL	13	50¢	$7	0x4f730e…
10-30 21:36:34	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x905293…
10-30 21:36:34	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x229b9f…
10-30 20:22:57	Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x55b549…
10-30 20:11:55	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x68f2e8…
10-30 20:11:55	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x01ad80…
10-30 19:51:46	Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x54a5b8…
10-30 19:46:30	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x6fb8fd…
10-30 18:34:07	Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?	No	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x68ef20…
10-30 16:21:51	Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?	No	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x8e12aa…
10-30 15:57:58	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xeb6d60…
10-30 14:59:19	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	51¢	$20	0x7a291a…
10-30 14:41:39	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	SELL	19	72¢	$14	0x7d3b42…
10-30 14:02:22	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x6da195…
10-30 13:38:25	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x9fd190…
10-30 13:11:30	Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?	No	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x342fc5…
10-30 12:29:12	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x44eb51…
10-30 12:01:30	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x475aee…
10-30 12:01:30	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x2d0e78…
10-30 10:18:21	Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be between 3% and 5%?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x700cca…
10-30 09:57:43	Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x04c21b…
10-30 09:37:34	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than -0.3%?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x2d3a62…
10-30 09:24:57	Will Spilled Milk win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xdc2e35…
10-30 08:01:22	Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x4f8488…
10-30 07:55:07	Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x38fde9…
10-30 07:37:27	Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xb25e46…
10-30 05:21:54	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xa1f679…
10-30 02:54:40	Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x4b87ba…
10-30 02:34:58	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xb364bf…
10-30 02:34:58	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	SELL	17	80¢	$14	0x685574…
10-30 02:33:22	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x2e8560…