Realized P&L
-$346
Unrealized P&L
-$41
Hit rate
14.6%
Resolved
256
Trades
1,543
lifetime
Volume
$12.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$178
28 positions
First seen
2026-08-12
last 11-06 18:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Other
68% 17% -$192
Politics
20% 7% -$99
Tech
6% 8% -$40
Sports
3% 20% -$5
Pop-Culture
1% 0% $0
Crypto
1% 0% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? Yes +20 $18 88¢ $18 $0 11-06 17:45
Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 4% to 5.5%? No +20 $15 85¢ $17 +$2 10-25 02:51
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $13 82¢ $16 +$4 11-02 13:38
AOC's Democratic nomination odds hit 20% by December 31? No +20 $16 74¢ $15 -$1 11-06 13:37
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98? No — +20 $16 67¢ $13 -$2 11-06 18:25
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $318,000 and $323,000 on December 31? No +20 $13 58¢ $12 -$2 11-06 01:17
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? No +20 $12 52¢ $10 -$2 11-06 04:41
Will Tunisia win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group H? No +20 $11 48¢ $10 -$1 11-06 15:54
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%? No +17 $11 57¢ $10 -$2 11-06 09:36
Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +20 $9 38¢ $8 -$2 11-05 17:01
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? Yes +20 $9 30¢ $6 -$3 11-04 22:14
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +20 $8 29¢ $6 -$2 11-06 05:26
Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between -1.5% and 0%? Yes +20 $7 26¢ $5 -$2 11-05 00:12
Will a player from the ACC win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Yes +20 $10 24¢ $5 -$5 11-04 19:54
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? Yes +10 $5 49¢ $5 $0 11-06 00:56
Will the Democrats win Minnesota in the 2028 Presidential Election? No +20 $6 18¢ $4 -$2 11-06 14:17
Will Trey McBride finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions? Yes +20 $5 17¢ $3 -$1 11-03 18:12
Newsom's Democratic nomination odds hit 20% by December 31? Yes +20 $6 16¢ $3 -$3 11-05 07:11
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +3 $2 91¢ $3 +$1 09-21 09:54
Will Puka Nacua finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions? Yes +20 $5 9¢ $2 -$3 11-06 07:18
Next Israeli government a minority government? No +3 $6 53¢ $2 -$5 11-05 21:32
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tlaxcala Congress election? No +20 $5 8¢ $2 -$4 11-05 21:51
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026? No +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$1 10-22 23:46
Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government? No +4 $3 31¢ $1 -$1 10-29 21:56
Will Drake release a new album by December 31? No +1 $6 94¢ $1 -$5 10-22 12:47
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Western Conference? No +2 $0 56¢ $1 +$1 10-14 23:39
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? No +3 $0 16¢ $0 +$0 10-30 18:34
Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat? No +2 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 09-26 23:36