Realized P&L
+$1.10K
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
83.1%
Resolved
555
Trades
5,867
lifetime
Volume
$163.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$1.67K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-27
last 10-08 18:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Other
57% 61% +$429
Politics
37% 61% +$633
Sports
3% 0% $0
Pop-Culture
2% 50% -$36
Tech
1% 100% +$72
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 235 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
tyler robinson convicted of homicide No +165 $96 88¢ $145 +$49 08-18 07:11
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +100 $36 96¢ $96 +$60 08-12 19:09
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +100 $40 86¢ $86 +$46 08-07 03:48
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +146 $71 57¢ $84 +$13 08-28 14:13
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +100 $73 84¢ $84 +$11 08-17 09:52
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +119 $69 70¢ $84 +$14 08-15 14:47
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +101 $85 82¢ $83 -$2 08-29 00:29
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +100 $70 83¢ $83 +$13 09-02 23:18
will russia capture dobropillia by december 31 2026 No +100 $82 81¢ $81 -$1 08-28 22:37
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +100 $36 80¢ $80 +$44 08-13 15:40
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +100 $70 80¢ $80 +$10 07-27 23:06
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +130 $52 60¢ $79 +$27 08-29 06:01
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +100 $67 72¢ $72 +$6 09-06 19:05
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +100 $66 66¢ $66 +$0 09-23 18:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +100 $60 66¢ $66 +$6 09-09 01:39
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +100 $54 59¢ $59 +$5 08-26 18:47
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +199 $126 28¢ $55 -$71 09-06 19:49
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +69 $25 72¢ $50 +$25 09-01 17:09
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No +157 $78 24¢ $38 -$40 09-07 14:38
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +130 $76 26¢ $33 -$43 08-30 08:03
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? No +200 $69 16¢ $31 -$38 08-08 02:09
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +26 $8 100¢ $26 +$18 08-11 04:59
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +100 $72 24¢ $24 -$48 08-30 04:08
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +102 $66 20¢ $20 -$46 08-26 10:30
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +199 $55 10¢ $20 -$35 09-06 10:47
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? No +100 $31 16¢ $16 -$14 09-08 18:05
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +13 $12 96¢ $12 +$0 09-16 02:32
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +10 $7 74¢ $7 +$1 08-27 17:03
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +81 $11 8¢ $6 -$5 08-10 17:06
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? No +5 -$4 87¢ $4 +$8 09-07 18:15