Realized P&L
-$64
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
13.5%
Resolved
6
Trades
3,027
lifetime
Volume
$14.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$25
12 positions
First seen
2026-02-10
last 07-22 02:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
76% 20% $-9
Other
22% 0% $-55
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 183 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +13 $2 62¢ $8 +$7 07-17 12:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +8 $4 99¢ $8 +$4 06-22 12:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +19 $3 14¢ $3 $-0 06-15 18:40
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -7 $-2 22¢ $-2 +$0 06-07 05:17
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +19 $6 $1 $-5 07-17 12:05
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +3 $1 44¢ $1 +$1 07-17 12:05
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? No +2 $1 46¢ $1 +$0 07-17 12:05
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-16 14:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +40 $8 $0 $-8 07-05 08:02
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -1 $-0 36¢ $-0 +$0 06-23 10:31
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? No +0 $-9 62¢ $0 +$9 07-01 09:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +0 $2 46¢ $0 $-2 06-16 23:34