Realized P&L
+$453
Unrealized P&L
-$114
Hit rate
72.6%
Resolved
97
Trades
8,195
lifetime
Volume
$273.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$602
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 07-21 10:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
46% 60% $-274
Politics
22% 86% +$683
Sports
16% 70% +$165
Crypto
14% 25% $-122
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 1746 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -90 $-76 94¢ $-85 $-9 07-02 13:49
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -84 $-79 94¢ $-78 +$0 07-06 13:14
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +149 $75 52¢ $77 +$2 07-08 18:27
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +80 $74 91¢ $73 $-1 06-23 00:11
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +79 $37 62¢ $49 +$11 07-02 17:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -27 $-25 94¢ $-25 $-0 07-04 12:11
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +31 $23 82¢ $25 +$2 06-07 22:16
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -23 $-23 98¢ $-23 $-0 07-01 21:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -23 $-23 98¢ $-23 +$0 07-02 19:02
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No -23 $-23 99¢ $-23 $-0 06-21 18:36
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +24 $23 93¢ $22 $-0 06-19 09:02
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No -23 $-22 94¢ $-22 $-0 06-23 20:34
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +23 $22 96¢ $22 +$0 07-21 10:52
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +16 $14 90¢ $15 +$1 07-17 04:11
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +15 $15 84¢ $13 $-2 07-17 17:59
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +77 $20 16¢ $13 $-7 05-31 17:01
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $50 12¢ $12 $-37 06-30 15:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +187 $75 $2 $-72 06-11 17:49