Realized P&L
+$453
Unrealized P&L
-$46
Hit rate
72.6%
Resolved
97
Trades
7,236
lifetime
Volume
$259.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$490
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 07-01 05:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
48% 60% $-274
Politics
23% 86% +$683
Sports
17% 70% +$165
Crypto
10% 25% $-122
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 1746 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -90 $-76 94¢ $-84 $-9 06-01 19:33
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +80 $74 90¢ $72 $-2 06-23 00:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +187 $75 30¢ $57 $-18 06-11 17:49
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $50 28¢ $28 $-22 06-30 15:19
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +31 $23 82¢ $25 +$2 06-07 22:16
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +27 $23 87¢ $23 +$0 06-09 05:23
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? No +24 $23 95¢ $23 +$1 06-01 06:18
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No -23 $-23 99¢ $-23 $-0 06-21 18:36
Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +24 $23 97¢ $23 +$0 06-11 13:07
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -23 $-22 98¢ $-23 $-0 06-12 00:41
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +23 $22 96¢ $22 +$0 06-02 00:32
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +24 $23 94¢ $22 $-0 06-19 09:02
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No -23 $-22 95¢ $-22 $-0 06-23 20:34
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +26 $22 86¢ $22 $-0 06-24 15:57
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +77 $20 17¢ $13 $-7 05-31 17:01
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +69 $23 $3 $-19 06-30 03:40
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes +218 $24 $1 $-22 06-09 21:50
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1 $0 96¢ $1 +$0 06-08 21:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +77 $-94 $0 +$94 06-25 15:14
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027? No +0 $1 97¢ $0 $-1 06-26 05:23
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +146 $39 $0 $-39 06-08 21:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -0 $-1 96¢ $-0 +$1 06-17 16:37
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +42 $5 $0 $-5 06-07 12:26