Realized P&L
-$3.58K
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
83.5%
Resolved
4,504
Trades
9,268
lifetime
Volume
$313.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$680
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 10-27 22:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 231 days
Categories
Other
47% 93% +$1,744
Politics
22% 66% -$5,957
Sports
14% 90% +$694
Crypto
14% 62% -$475
Tech
3% 80% +$410
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +98 $60 90¢ $88 +$28 08-09 20:14
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +84 $60 98¢ $82 +$23 10-01 16:12
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +84 $60 97¢ $81 +$21 10-01 07:32
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +65 $58 94¢ $61 +$3 10-08 05:45
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +63 $60 95¢ $60 $0 09-20 19:44
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +82 $45 68¢ $56 +$11 05-19 16:33
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +79 $30 50¢ $39 +$9 10-03 12:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -43 -$35 82¢ $-35 -$1 05-23 14:05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -36 -$32 94¢ $-34 -$2 05-25 21:30
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +38 $30 88¢ $34 +$4 09-28 08:55
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +299 $45 8¢ $22 -$22 04-29 14:07
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +281 $45 8¢ $21 -$24 04-29 14:07
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +31 $23 55¢ $17 -$6 06-07 22:16
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $50 15¢ $15 -$35 06-30 15:19
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +100 $8 11¢ $11 +$3 09-01 08:01
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes -101 -$25 8¢ $-8 +$17 05-04 08:21
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +77 $20 8¢ $6 -$14 05-31 17:01
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $12 4¢ $4 -$8 08-23 17:22
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? Yes +20 $1 6¢ $1 +$0 10-27 12:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? Yes +200 $21 0¢ $1 -$20 09-04 21:21
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +24 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 10-19 22:06
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +1 -$5 86¢ $1 +$6 10-23 00:13
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +1 $0 93¢ $1 +$1 10-01 06:53
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +1 $0 90¢ $1 +$0 07-30 21:40
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1 $0 96¢ $1 +$1 08-24 03:52
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +0 $1 94¢ $0 $0 08-01 08:35
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +25 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-27 19:45
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Yes +1 -$1 18¢ $0 +$2 10-24 23:30
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +0 -$28 94¢ $0 +$28 08-19 15:47
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $0 06-23 20:34