Realized P&L
+$21
Unrealized P&L
-$83
Hit rate
60.3%
Resolved
773
Trades
3,115
lifetime
Volume
$38.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$1.90K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 17:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 175 days
Categories
Other
58% 47% +$548
Politics
37% 50% -$672
Crypto
2% 60% +$79
Tech
1% 50% +$28
Sports
1% 55% +$37
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -521 -$458 94¢ $-490 -$32 06-29 23:51
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +240 $135 90¢ $215 +$80 05-13 14:23
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -191 -$172 94¢ $-180 -$9 06-30 08:13
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -170 -$126 96¢ $-162 -$37 05-02 02:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -180 -$157 84¢ $-150 +$7 08-25 18:05
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -188 -$105 74¢ $-140 -$35 05-08 18:35
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -120 -$97 95¢ $-114 -$17 08-25 23:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -100 -$83 97¢ $-97 -$14 05-11 20:29
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +100 $92 94¢ $94 +$2 10-25 21:42
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No -83 -$78 96¢ $-80 -$2 08-23 06:13
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -60 -$50 92¢ $-55 -$4 08-27 14:32
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -40 -$28 88¢ $-35 -$7 07-14 00:46
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -31 -$19 84¢ $-26 -$7 05-07 16:48
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -20 -$14 98¢ $-20 -$6 05-22 03:57
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -105 -$16 15¢ $-16 +$0 09-12 12:24
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -13 -$10 99¢ $-13 -$2 06-03 00:24
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -10 -$8 96¢ $-10 -$2 07-04 22:58
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes -10 -$1 4¢ $-0 +$1 05-12 02:47