Outstanding-Mortality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

18.3%

Resolved

Trades

449

lifetime

Volume

$5.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 06-02 20:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

69% 33% $-28

Politics

15% 33% $-7

Sports

15% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	40	$305	291	331	-40	open	—	04-14 23:02
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	6	$293	184	384	-200	open	—	05-10 14:47
will orlando magic advance in the 2026 nba play in tournament	6	$278	200	400	-200	open	—	04-16 03:37
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	11	$255	250	300	-50	Yes	$-38	05-11 15:55
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	10	$247	127	246	-119	open	—	05-12 15:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	26	$247	260	260	+0	open	—	05-15 12:50
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	10	$245	187	267	-80	open	—	05-11 17:45
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 in May?	7	$240	151	249	-97	open	—	05-11 17:45
nhl 2025 26 art ross trophy connor mcdavid winner	29	$223	182	249	-67	open	—	04-14 23:03
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	11	$217	158	302	-145	open	—	05-11 17:45
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	18	$215	166	166	+0	open	—	04-22 16:59
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $296 in May?	8	$188	150	155	-5	Yes	$-2	05-08 23:27
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	17	$183	152	171	-19	open	—	05-13 22:41
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	9	$182	151	240	-89	open	—	05-15 06:57
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	17	$143	144	127	+17	open	—	04-28 01:32
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	14	$121	142	98	+43	open	—	05-02 03:25
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.50 in May?	5	$103	100	200	-100	open	—	05-11 16:16
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?	3	$101	50	147	-97	Yes	+$11	05-04 16:59
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	13	$94	77	117	-40	open	—	05-05 21:32
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	4	$94	50	150	-100	open	—	05-15 06:57
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	6	$87	60	100	-40	open	—	05-19 04:21
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?	6	$86	41	79	-37	open	—	04-16 02:02
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	3	$86	50	150	-100	open	—	05-22 16:26
Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?	7	$85	60	100	-40	open	—	06-02 20:06
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	5	$81	50	150	-100	open	—	04-27 16:34
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	13	$71	57	88	-30	Yes	$-4	05-13 00:06
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	6	$61	60	60	+0	No	$-9	04-24 14:54
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?	6	$59	55	55	+0	open	—	05-01 15:11
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by May 31?	3	$53	20	60	-40	open	—	05-01 15:10
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?	5	$51	20	60	-40	open	—	05-02 03:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 20:06:18	Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?	No	SELL	40	66¢	$26	0x914876…
06-02 20:01:33	Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x74798a…
06-02 20:00:46	Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xd47f25…
06-02 20:00:26	Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xc8d8c4…
06-02 19:58:24	Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xa8fe56…
06-02 19:56:44	Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xed29a1…
06-02 19:56:44	Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xed29a1…
05-23 17:59:24	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	40	23¢	$9	0xc33703…
05-23 17:55:33	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x47d187…
05-23 17:55:33	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x47d187…
05-22 16:26:39	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x86f91a…
05-19 22:08:53	NBA: SGA Award Parlay	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xe38cb2…
05-19 09:43:07	NBA: SGA Award Parlay	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xe0c65a…
05-19 04:21:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0x1df52a…
05-19 04:17:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x730c34…
05-19 03:52:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x7bf3bc…
05-19 03:03:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	40	28¢	$11	0x30c173…
05-19 02:59:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x5dc709…
05-19 02:59:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x5dc709…
05-18 04:25:44	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xcb2705…
05-18 04:25:44	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xcb2705…
05-15 12:50:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	17	26¢	$4	0x62a280…
05-15 12:48:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x59e7e7…
05-15 11:42:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x6d8179…
05-15 11:24:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x7a6346…
05-15 10:58:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	40	69¢	$28	0x0c5530…
05-15 10:58:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xe73989…
05-15 10:57:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xa70bfc…
05-15 10:36:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x57181b…
05-15 10:33:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x3c82bf…
05-15 10:26:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x79b481…
05-15 10:24:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x8fb75b…
05-15 09:59:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x17d88a…
05-15 09:57:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x3824fe…
05-15 09:53:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xb1b07b…
05-15 09:53:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xb1b07b…
05-15 09:49:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	18	22¢	$4	0x001ca7…
05-15 09:45:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x201154…
05-15 09:45:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x201154…
05-15 09:43:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xbdaf69…
05-15 09:43:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xbdaf69…
05-15 08:17:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xc6f6fc…
05-15 08:08:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x5ebc01…
05-15 08:04:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0x03ea31…
05-15 07:59:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	17	27¢	$5	0xd5050f…
05-15 07:59:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xd5050f…
05-15 07:59:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x094933…
05-15 06:57:02	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0xb9dac1…
05-15 06:57:02	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	90	40¢	$36	0x186610…
05-15 06:24:45	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x5b5594…
05-15 06:09:22	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0x6cb9b3…
05-15 05:42:50	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x73b44a…
05-15 05:20:05	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2edc6a…
05-15 03:22:31	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xadb3bc…
05-15 02:39:24	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x391f4e…
05-15 02:33:25	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	No	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x0700a7…
05-15 02:25:50	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	53	57¢	$31	0x65db81…
05-15 02:20:51	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xbfbfdd…
05-15 02:20:51	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0xbfbfdd…
05-15 01:50:21	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	47	51¢	$24	0xe2910e…
05-13 22:41:39	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0x504309…
05-13 22:16:55	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x8b2971…
05-13 21:26:36	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x1ab496…
05-13 21:15:15	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x85f988…
05-13 20:49:34	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x4d44ce…
05-13 20:49:34	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x4d44ce…
05-13 19:46:20	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xf26afc…
05-13 19:45:25	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x4cf789…
05-13 19:45:25	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x4cf789…
05-13 19:35:09	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x318b70…
05-13 19:29:53	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0xd42ff8…
05-13 19:21:39	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xabb138…
05-13 19:21:37	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x2b8fb2…
05-13 19:17:48	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x7acf82…
05-13 18:30:35	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0xc405df…
05-13 18:24:15	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xa3ee61…
05-13 18:24:15	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xa3ee61…
05-13 00:06:51	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0x8f8376…
05-13 00:06:51	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0x7385cb…
05-13 00:06:51	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	69¢	$24	0x61ced9…
05-13 00:03:56	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xe2ecf3…
05-13 00:03:56	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xe2ecf3…
05-12 23:55:15	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x2f591a…
05-12 23:53:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xec318d…
05-12 23:52:25	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x8c100f…
05-12 23:51:17	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x27553c…
05-12 23:51:17	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0x27553c…
05-12 23:27:45	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x2e80e8…
05-12 22:56:43	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	24	18¢	$4	0x637b00…
05-12 22:56:25	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x4b34ce…
05-12 22:56:25	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x4b34ce…
05-12 21:36:00	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x9b34c2…
05-12 20:14:15	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x344db5…
05-12 19:55:05	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x7bd271…
05-12 19:54:46	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x53d041…
05-12 19:18:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x580061…
05-12 15:44:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	No	SELL	37	30¢	$11	0xcaf583…
05-12 15:44:14	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	Yes	SELL	22	67¢	$15	0x693232…
05-12 14:08:06	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x6c33b4…
05-12 13:49:05	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	Yes	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0x6a769e…