Outstanding-Mortality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

18.3%

Resolved

Trades

516

lifetime

Volume

$5.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 06-20 03:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

66% 33% $-28

Politics

15% 33% $-7

Sports

14% — —

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	40	$305	291	331	-40	open	—	04-14 23:02
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	6	$293	184	384	-200	open	—	05-10 14:47
will orlando magic advance in the 2026 nba play in tournament	6	$278	200	400	-200	open	—	04-16 03:37
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	11	$255	250	300	-50	Yes	$-38	05-11 15:55
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	10	$247	127	246	-119	open	—	05-12 15:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	26	$247	260	260	+0	open	—	05-15 12:50
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	10	$245	187	267	-80	open	—	05-11 17:45
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 in May?	7	$240	151	249	-97	open	—	05-11 17:45
nhl 2025 26 art ross trophy connor mcdavid winner	29	$223	182	249	-67	open	—	04-14 23:03
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	11	$217	158	302	-145	open	—	05-11 17:45
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	18	$215	166	166	+0	open	—	04-22 16:59
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $296 in May?	8	$188	150	155	-5	Yes	$-2	05-08 23:27
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	17	$183	152	171	-19	open	—	05-13 22:41
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	9	$182	151	240	-89	open	—	05-15 06:57
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	17	$143	144	127	+17	open	—	04-28 01:32
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	14	$121	142	98	+43	open	—	05-02 03:25
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.50 in May?	5	$103	100	200	-100	open	—	05-11 16:16
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?	3	$101	50	147	-97	Yes	+$11	05-04 16:59
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	13	$94	77	117	-40	open	—	05-05 21:32
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	4	$94	50	150	-100	open	—	05-15 06:57
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	18	$88	66	66	+0	open	—	06-12 15:49
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	6	$87	60	100	-40	open	—	05-19 04:21
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?	6	$86	41	79	-37	open	—	04-16 02:02
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	3	$86	50	150	-100	open	—	05-22 16:26
Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?	7	$85	60	100	-40	open	—	06-02 20:06
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	5	$81	50	150	-100	open	—	04-27 16:34
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	18	$75	66	96	-30	open	—	06-12 19:04
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	13	$71	57	88	-30	Yes	$-4	05-13 00:06
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	6	$61	60	60	+0	No	$-9	04-24 14:54
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?	6	$59	55	55	+0	open	—	05-01 15:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 03:47:25	cricmlc sea was 2026 06 19	Washington Freedom	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x9ef53d…
06-20 03:47:25	cricmlc sea was 2026 06 19	Seattle Orcas	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x4b37ef…
06-17 14:58:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0xea7c3a…
06-17 14:57:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0x9daa13…
06-17 14:57:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xcb6f82…
06-17 14:52:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x84f7cf…
06-17 14:52:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf23240…
06-17 14:16:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xb26861…
06-17 14:09:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0xe421a1…
06-17 13:24:20	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$3	0xb624cd…
06-17 12:10:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x7073ad…
06-17 11:39:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x60cca6…
06-17 10:25:11	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xd427a9…
06-17 10:05:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0xa32eba…
06-17 07:05:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x01a9b9…
06-17 02:22:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0x901696…
06-17 01:51:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc932e5…
06-16 08:47:28	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0xaa699c…
06-16 06:47:51	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xbc3a3c…
06-16 02:23:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x2d3e72…
06-16 00:41:27	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x0edcbf…
06-15 03:53:04	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0xad49f6…
06-15 03:52:21	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x206cd1…
06-12 19:04:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xa63660…
06-12 19:04:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xe586ea…
06-12 18:30:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xd116bd…
06-12 18:30:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x2bb3db…
06-12 17:42:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0xf3634c…
06-12 17:37:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x7cb701…
06-12 17:31:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0xdbc82a…
06-12 17:30:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x8a9915…
06-12 16:48:45	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x3d9045…
06-12 16:47:49	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xd1baef…
06-12 16:47:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa08c62…
06-12 16:12:21	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x47203d…
06-12 16:09:40	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x1e0065…
06-12 15:49:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x397bb0…
06-12 15:48:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x71c92b…
06-12 15:37:57	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x3f961d…
06-12 15:32:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0x08b2b7…
06-12 15:32:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x6d1408…
06-12 15:32:22	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x5fb1d5…
06-12 15:31:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xdcccb8…
06-12 15:30:34	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x188313…
06-12 15:15:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x7ad2a4…
06-12 15:14:24	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x5475ce…
06-12 15:10:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xb5ee25…
06-12 14:52:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0xa4256a…
06-12 14:52:49	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x501c69…
06-12 14:50:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x306764…
06-12 14:50:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf5bb63…
06-12 13:52:37	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xaef3de…
06-12 13:49:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xae014f…
06-12 13:46:21	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x96ff5c…
06-12 13:35:45	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x863318…
06-12 08:21:33	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xdfd618…
06-12 08:14:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x4ed5c8…
06-12 05:04:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x7deb50…
06-12 02:14:19	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x7ed861…
06-11 22:30:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xbe6491…
06-11 22:13:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x032d56…
06-11 22:13:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xfa84b5…
06-11 21:14:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0x986161…
06-11 21:14:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x9e8bd5…
06-11 21:12:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4d68cd…
06-11 21:12:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x1beccf…
06-11 18:33:21	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x9b2cfa…
06-02 20:06:18	Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?	No	SELL	40	66¢	$26	0x914876…
06-02 20:01:33	Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x74798a…
06-02 20:00:46	Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xd47f25…
06-02 20:00:26	Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xc8d8c4…
06-02 19:58:24	Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xa8fe56…
06-02 19:56:44	Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xed29a1…
06-02 19:56:44	Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xed29a1…
05-23 17:59:24	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	40	23¢	$9	0xc33703…
05-23 17:55:33	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x47d187…
05-23 17:55:33	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x47d187…
05-22 16:26:39	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x86f91a…
05-19 22:08:53	NBA: SGA Award Parlay	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xe38cb2…
05-19 09:43:07	NBA: SGA Award Parlay	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xe0c65a…
05-19 04:21:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0x1df52a…
05-19 04:17:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x730c34…
05-19 03:52:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x7bf3bc…
05-19 03:03:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	40	28¢	$11	0x30c173…
05-19 02:59:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x5dc709…
05-19 02:59:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x5dc709…
05-18 04:25:44	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xcb2705…
05-18 04:25:44	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xcb2705…
05-15 12:50:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	17	26¢	$4	0x62a280…
05-15 12:48:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x59e7e7…
05-15 11:42:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x6d8179…
05-15 11:24:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x7a6346…
05-15 10:58:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	40	69¢	$28	0x0c5530…
05-15 10:58:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xe73989…
05-15 10:57:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xa70bfc…
05-15 10:36:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x57181b…
05-15 10:33:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x3c82bf…
05-15 10:26:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x79b481…
05-15 10:24:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x8fb75b…
05-15 09:59:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x17d88a…