Decent-Poncho — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

356

Trades

5,028

lifetime

Volume

$378.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

$82

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-02 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

100% 49% +$27,737

Sports

0% 45% -$142

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes		+2,000	$86	4¢	$82	-$4	09-09 05:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will how to make a killing opening weekend box office be less than 3pt5m	59	$15.7K	13,409	13,409	+0	Yes	+$8,246	02-28 15:27
will hoppers opening weekend box office be between 42m and 46m	90	$14.0K	9,030	9,249	-218	Yes	+$3,341	03-10 00:40
will solo mio opening weekend box office be between 7m and 8pt5m	112	$13.5K	10,113	10,417	-304	Yes	-$1,185	02-09 17:09
will avatar fire and ash 5th weekend box office be between 13m and 14pt5m	40	$13.0K	11,934	6,869	+5,066	Yes	+$4,022	01-20 23:07
will they will kill you opening weekend box office be less than 5m	75	$12.8K	7,710	7,724	-15	Yes	+$1,339	03-31 01:10
will avatar fire and ash 5th weekend box office be between 14pt5m and 16m	123	$12.1K	13,162	13,888	-726	No	+$831	01-20 22:52
will hoppers 3rd weekend box office be between 16pt5m and 18m	34	$11.1K	5,769	5,769	+0	Yes	+$370	03-23 22:35
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	79	$10.1K	13,126	9,856	+3,270	No	-$2,202	05-11 18:56
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be greater than 65m	158	$8.6K	16,492	4,361	+12,131	No	-$7,284	03-02 20:44
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	30	$6.2K	3,981	3,981	+0	Yes	+$1,255	07-19 23:30
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?	17	$6.1K	3,682	3,682	+0	Yes	+$1,287	05-30 03:43
will avatar fire and ash 4th weekend box office be between 21m and 23m	1	$6.0K	6,008	0	+6,008	Yes	+$8	01-12 22:35
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?	56	$5.6K	5,969	2,820	+3,150	Yes	+$1,302	04-27 16:12
will the strangers chapter 3 opening weekend box office be between 3pt5m and 5m	147	$5.6K	7,158	6,195	+963	No	-$2,562	02-09 20:56
will crime 101 opening weekend box office be between 14m and 17m	135	$5.6K	6,904	1,039	+5,865	Yes	+$1,509	02-16 19:42
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	17	$5.4K	3,701	2,290	+1,411	Yes	+$604	05-11 18:02
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 190m and 200m	66	$5.3K	6,317	6,697	-379	Yes	+$226	04-06 02:50
will avatar fire and ash 5th weekend box office be less than 13m	41	$4.7K	2,600	2,472	+128	No	+$328	01-18 07:46
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?	38	$4.7K	2,788	2,788	+0	Yes	+$312	08-04 01:32
will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 12m and 13m	40	$4.6K	2,669	2,689	-20	Yes	+$369	03-30 19:46
Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	13	$4.4K	2,672	2,672	+0	Yes	+$141	10-19 19:41
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be between 40m and 45m	65	$4.3K	9,209	1,445	+7,763	Yes	+$4,565	01-05 22:29
will send help opening weekend box office be greater than 15m	37	$4.2K	6,675	0	+6,675	Yes	+$2,465	01-31 02:26
will how to make a killing opening weekend box office be between 3pt5m and 5m	45	$4.0K	3,816	3,559	+257	No	+$386	02-28 15:26
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 115m?	9	$4.0K	2,496	2,496	+0	No	+$239	07-19 23:33
will mercy opening weekend box office be between 8m and 11m	86	$4.0K	5,238	0	+5,238	Yes	+$1,215	01-26 20:06
will return to silent hill opening weekend box office be greater than 2pt5m	4	$3.9K	1,889	2,218	-328	Yes	+$142	01-28 05:49
will the strangers chapter 3 opening weekend box office be less than 3pt5m	35	$3.8K	1,975	2,690	-715	Yes	+$378	02-09 21:00
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?	25	$3.6K	5,359	1,399	+3,961	Yes	+$1,795	05-11 18:53
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?	10	$3.5K	2,164	2,164	+0	Yes	+$371	05-30 21:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 15:46:22	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	BUY	103	0¢	$0	0xbee046…
11-02 15:45:57	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	BUY	297	0¢	$1	0x977a01…
11-02 15:45:24	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$2	0x5698dd…
11-02 15:45:09	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	BUY	107	2¢	$2	0xe872dd…
11-02 15:45:09	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$0	0xa71323…
11-02 15:45:09	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x2d6a10…
11-02 15:42:09	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$8	0x34533f…
11-02 15:41:31	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xb54aca…
11-02 15:33:34	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	BUY	236	49¢	$116	0x050edc…
11-02 15:32:30	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	No	BUY	87	48¢	$41	0x04ad80…
11-02 15:32:22	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	No	BUY	74	44¢	$33	0xa6ac66…
11-02 15:28:58	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	Yes	SELL	42	60¢	$25	0x5e2cbf…
11-02 13:46:51	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $10M and $12M?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xa5ce0d…
10-31 05:21:52	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 43m?	Yes	SELL	111	11¢	$12	0x0d15dd…
10-30 20:47:07	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	Yes	BUY	282	61¢	$172	0xbd0212…
10-30 20:04:42	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $10M and $12M?	Yes	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x84bb96…
10-29 23:48:22	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m?	Yes	BUY	1,199	71¢	$852	0x72a94c…
10-29 20:06:51	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	128	12¢	$15	0xcfd9f3…
10-29 20:06:24	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?	Yes	BUY	201	13¢	$26	0x3af1b8…
10-29 17:03:35	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	51	16¢	$8	0x8fcbbf…
10-29 17:01:11	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?	Yes	BUY	54	13¢	$7	0xf1cc34…
10-29 17:01:11	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?	Yes	BUY	46	13¢	$6	0xbf4158…
10-29 16:52:11	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 43m?	Yes	BUY	111	8¢	$9	0x82a7fc…
10-29 16:51:56	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 43m?	Yes	BUY	82	12¢	$10	0xc82263…
10-26 21:49:14	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?	Yes	BUY	450	100¢	$448	0xb6e136…
10-26 21:49:02	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?	Yes	BUY	251	99¢	$249	0xec2af9…
10-26 21:49:02	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0xd10044…
10-26 21:49:02	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x891f59…
10-26 21:48:51	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?	Yes	BUY	135	96¢	$130	0x83ae6b…
10-26 03:51:51	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	SELL	235	25¢	$58	0xe1459c…
10-26 03:51:51	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	SELL	29	23¢	$7	0x8c8c1f…
10-26 03:51:51	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	SELL	29	23¢	$7	0x03e213…
10-26 03:50:36	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	SELL	34	29¢	$10	0xcae106…
10-25 04:13:15	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	Yes	SELL	1,200	2¢	$28	0x906221…
10-24 23:09:32	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	251	70¢	$176	0xda4650…
10-24 23:09:32	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	49	70¢	$34	0x2122e3…
10-24 21:51:45	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	1,046	74¢	$771	0x8db59d…
10-24 00:29:14	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x672a21…
10-24 00:28:45	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x0c73c5…
10-24 00:21:02	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?	Yes	SELL	256	3¢	$8	0x231ad3…
10-24 00:07:41	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	BUY	141	17¢	$24	0x31c00d…
10-24 00:07:26	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	BUY	27	16¢	$4	0xf1480f…
10-24 00:04:59	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	BUY	80	59¢	$47	0xa75aac…
10-24 00:04:44	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xede122…
10-24 00:04:23	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	BUY	31	57¢	$18	0x5a8d91…
10-24 00:03:57	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	BUY	37	58¢	$21	0xe0ed9f…
10-24 00:03:57	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xabc6b9…
10-24 00:03:57	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x65e7e2…
10-24 00:03:57	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x4bc408…
10-24 00:03:44	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x544b86…
10-24 00:03:44	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	BUY	365	20¢	$73	0x2b9eec…
10-24 00:03:26	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	BUY	23	59¢	$14	0x10bf05…
10-24 00:02:09	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0xdf2d5f…
10-24 00:01:33	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe1960f…
10-24 00:01:33	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x78691b…
10-23 23:57:50	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	Yes	BUY	2,009	50¢	$1,004	0x094207…
10-23 23:50:27	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x755b8e…
10-23 23:50:27	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	SELL	27	33¢	$9	0x09a518…
10-23 23:49:32	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	27	48¢	$13	0x00cd20…
10-23 23:34:53	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xdde799…
10-23 21:57:57	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0x0a6d5f…
10-23 21:34:05	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $19.5M?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x00b6e9…
10-23 18:53:21	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0xbb8257…
10-23 18:52:51	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	SELL	367	28¢	$103	0xd42178…
10-23 18:18:45	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x826c28…
10-23 18:18:39	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?	Yes	BUY	224	3¢	$7	0xe374c4…
10-23 18:18:23	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	2,305	15¢	$346	0xcfe717…
10-21 19:07:48	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x1c273c…
10-21 18:57:30	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x1058c1…
10-21 18:53:09	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0xeae33a…
10-21 18:53:09	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xbc4e17…
10-21 18:53:09	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xa34b66…
10-21 18:53:09	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	367	27¢	$99	0x9ef99c…
10-21 18:53:09	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x9711fb…
10-21 18:53:09	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x3f9c4f…
10-19 21:39:48	Will New York Giants win the 2026 NFC East?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xce859f…
10-19 19:41:45	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	SELL	1,444	100¢	$1,440	0xc79c8c…
10-19 19:39:14	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xcacfa8…
10-19 19:38:15	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0xd19f0b…
10-19 19:37:36	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	184	93¢	$170	0x21e178…
10-18 22:45:41	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	913	12¢	$112	0xfcc399…
10-18 17:37:03	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	300	85¢	$255	0xf5bf50…
10-18 17:27:24	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x75e413…
10-18 17:20:06	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	95	12¢	$11	0xad8d1e…
10-18 17:19:26	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	605	87¢	$527	0x00ff6a…
10-18 17:19:17	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x033d66…
10-18 17:01:33	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x2d90b5…
10-18 16:49:18	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x1599a2…
10-18 16:40:17	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	260	12¢	$31	0x2ad1fd…
10-18 16:39:15	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	171	16¢	$27	0x08864b…
10-18 01:05:36	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	300	3¢	$9	0xdb0a39…
10-17 23:02:35	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?	Yes	BUY	80	74¢	$59	0xd28d4c…
10-17 23:01:15	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x40b223…
10-17 21:56:47	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xa2ee9e…
10-17 16:11:05	Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	Yes	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x836ab5…
10-17 16:09:17	Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xc1d712…
10-17 15:10:38	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	832	19¢	$160	0xe146c0…
10-17 15:09:53	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	97	18¢	$17	0xccbe09…
10-17 15:03:00	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	199	17¢	$33	0x6e94f1…
10-17 14:51:56	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	103	16¢	$16	0x23e6a1…