Realized P&L
+$2.66K
Unrealized P&L
+$206
Hit rate
86.9%
Resolved
1,267
Trades
5,165
lifetime
Volume
$97.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$5.11K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-27 09:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 245 days
Categories
Other
71% 75% +$2,221
Politics
29% 84% +$423
Sports
0% 90% +$11
Tech
0% 83% +$3
Crypto
0% 71% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +962 $934 99¢ $950 +$16 10-27 11:45
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +947 $822 92¢ $866 +$44 10-25 23:29
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -839 -$855 98¢ $-819 +$36 10-17 16:30
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +874 $769 92¢ $800 +$31 10-25 23:37
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +562 $548 97¢ $547 -$1 10-22 14:58
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +501 $257 66¢ $328 +$71 10-18 16:35
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +205 $168 97¢ $199 +$31 10-26 13:59
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +640 $223 26¢ $170 -$54 09-23 09:21
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +175 $168 96¢ $168 -$1 10-26 22:35
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +50 $39 94¢ $48 +$8 10-27 09:18
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +208 $34 22¢ $45 +$11 10-20 21:25
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +42 $39 96¢ $40 +$1 10-25 09:30
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +28 $20 68¢ $19 -$1 10-19 08:12
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +22 $18 84¢ $19 +$1 10-22 08:26
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +13 $10 90¢ $11 +$1 08-06 13:59
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +18 $11 62¢ $11 $0 10-19 08:10
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 10-18 16:10
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +13 $7 70¢ $9 +$2 10-01 22:25
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +10 $7 84¢ $8 +$1 09-14 17:53
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +10 $5 66¢ $7 +$2 08-07 13:07
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +9 $5 74¢ $7 +$2 08-19 07:38
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +6 $5 80¢ $5 $0 10-19 18:42
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 10-27 09:13
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 10-08 10:55
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 07-22 21:46
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 84¢ $3 +$1 10-20 13:46
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +4 $2 63¢ $2 +$0 09-27 22:52
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -5 -$2 45¢ $-2 +$0 08-14 14:09
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +3 $2 68¢ $2 +$0 10-21 14:36
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +3 $2 68¢ $2 +$0 10-19 08:12