Realized P&L (7d)
+$129
Unrealized P&L
+$135
Hit rate
86.7%
Resolved (7d)
80
Trades (7d)
77
5,396 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$4.76K
$106.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$4.28K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-09 20:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 255 days
Categories
Other
69% 76% +$2,132
Politics
30% 80% +$732
Sports
0% 90% +$11
Tech
0% 83% +$3
Crypto
0% 71% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +1,990 $1,946 99¢ $2.0K +$23 11-04 15:16
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -839 -$855 99¢ $-828 +$28 10-17 16:30
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? No +297 $293 99¢ $294 +$1 11-09 20:20
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? No +252 $238 95¢ $241 +$2 11-03 08:15
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026? No +211 $203 95¢ $201 -$2 11-09 10:53
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +194 $158 97¢ $189 +$32 10-28 08:40
Closer Senate Race: Florida or South Carolina? Florida +138 $133 97¢ $135 +$2 11-08 00:14
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +128 $114 98¢ $125 +$11 11-04 09:36
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +69 $61 99¢ $68 +$7 11-06 10:22
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +54 $51 98¢ $53 +$2 11-06 10:29
Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% in 2026? No +35 $28 94¢ $33 +$5 09-23 21:28
Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%? Yes +30 $18 96¢ $29 +$11 10-19 08:00
Closer Senate Race: Kansas or Nebraska? Kansas +23 $20 97¢ $22 +$2 11-05 22:35
Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%? Yes +15 $9 99¢ $15 +$6 11-03 20:45
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 12% or more? No +14 $13 98¢ $14 +$1 10-17 15:00
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? Yes +13 $2 98¢ $13 +$11 10-07 21:14
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? Yes +9 $2 78¢ $7 +$5 10-17 13:24
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$2 10-27 09:13
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? No +5 -$12 99¢ $5 +$17 10-28 08:34
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 5%-10%? Yes +4 $1 95¢ $4 +$3 10-07 21:24
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +3 $1 96¢ $3 +$2 10-27 23:32
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? Yes +10 $2 27¢ $3 +$1 10-17 13:24
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? Yes +3 $1 99¢ $3 +$2 10-30 10:12
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -5 -$2 50¢ $-2 $0 08-14 14:09
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? No +49 $44 5¢ $2 -$41 09-29 13:13
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 09-21 21:22
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election? Yes +2 $1 100¢ $2 +$1 10-29 11:09
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +3 $2 76¢ $2 +$0 10-21 14:36
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +2 $1 88¢ $2 +$1 11-02 22:05
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +2 $1 87¢ $2 +$1 11-02 22:05