Will Trump's approval rating hit 37% in 2026?
Yes won
Total volume
$2,337
Trades
89
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$0
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-09-24
last 10-11 03:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+4.7¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $380
vs crowd: 95% YES on $2.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $378 | $18 | +$360 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $300 | $59 | +$241 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $1.4K | $21 | +$1.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | — | $16 | $16 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $378 | $2 | +$376 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $1.3K | $68 | +$1.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 3 | $40 | $9 | +$31 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $9 | $9 | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $378 | $10 | +$368 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $17 | $17 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | No | +718 | $51 | $51 | 6 | 10-03 00:24 |
| United-Premier 0xdbe5…72da | Yes | +712 | $704 | $704 | 6 | 10-10 09:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x84a7…9743 | Yes | +396 | $378 | $378 | 3 | 10-03 00:24 |
| Simple-Tradition 0x33e2…3a1b | Yes | +378 | $378 | $378 | 1 | 10-11 03:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x4fbf…f319 | Yes | +351 | $300 | $300 | 3 | 09-24 08:45 |
| Short-Term-Nightgown 0x0708…f218 | No | +283 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-10 09:21 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +212 | $17 | $17 | 7 | 10-10 07:55 |
| Aggravating-Heartwood 0x92c8…ebd8 | No | +198 | $5 | $5 | 9 | 10-10 07:52 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | +118 | $2 | $3 | 5 | 10-10 09:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | No | +80 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 10-09 15:06 |
| Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | +72 | $1 | $3 | 16 | 10-10 09:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xd487…a674 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-11 03:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | +50 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 09-24 08:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x755c…ba9f | Yes | +43 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 09-29 09:44 |
| Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | +42 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-03 00:40 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | +16 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-10 09:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | No | +12 | $0 | $12 | 3 | 10-08 03:09 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-11 03:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | No | +8 | $3 | $7 | 3 | 10-03 00:40 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-10 07:52 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-11 03:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 03:49:29 | Simple-Tradition 0x33e2…3a1b | Yes | BUY | 378 | 100¢ | $378 | 0x4a4382… |
| 10-11 03:49:29 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | Yes | SELL | 313 | 100¢ | $313 | 0x4a4382… |
| 10-11 03:49:29 | (anonymous) 0xd487…a674 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4a4382… |
| 10-11 03:49:29 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4a4382… |
| 10-11 03:49:29 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4a4382… |
| 10-10 09:21:34 | United-Premier 0xdbe5…72da | Yes | BUY | 222 | 99¢ | $220 | 0x46a97f… |
| 10-10 09:21:34 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x46a97f… |
| 10-10 09:21:34 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x46a97f… |
| 10-10 09:21:34 | Short-Term-Nightgown 0x0708…f218 | No | BUY | 141 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x46a97f… |
| 10-10 09:21:34 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 59 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x46a97f… |
| 10-10 07:55:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9edbe8… |
| 10-10 07:55:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 46 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9edbe8… |
| 10-10 07:55:37 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9edbe8… |
| 10-10 07:52:00 | United-Premier 0xdbe5…72da | Yes | BUY | 186 | 99¢ | $184 | 0x6890fe… |
| 10-10 07:52:00 | Aggravating-Heartwood 0x92c8…ebd8 | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6890fe… |
| 10-10 07:52:00 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6890fe… |
| 10-10 07:52:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6890fe… |
| 10-10 07:52:00 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6890fe… |
| 10-09 21:40:46 | Aggravating-Heartwood 0x92c8…ebd8 | No | BUY | 33 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0e9109… |
| 10-09 21:40:46 | United-Premier 0xdbe5…72da | Yes | BUY | 41 | 98¢ | $40 | 0x0e9109… |
| 10-09 21:40:46 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0e9109… |
| 10-09 18:39:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x802b4f… |
| 10-09 18:39:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 42 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x802b4f… |
| 10-09 18:39:04 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | SELL | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x802b4f… |
| 10-09 17:10:16 | Aggravating-Heartwood 0x92c8…ebd8 | No | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9921e9… |
| 10-09 17:10:16 | United-Premier 0xdbe5…72da | Yes | BUY | 26 | 98¢ | $25 | 0x9921e9… |
| 10-09 17:10:16 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9921e9… |
| 10-09 17:10:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9921e9… |
| 10-09 15:10:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xee8ab3… |
| 10-09 15:10:30 | United-Premier 0xdbe5…72da | Yes | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0xee8ab3… |
| 10-09 15:06:28 | (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | No | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0021b5… |
| 10-09 15:06:28 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0x0021b5… |
| 10-09 07:24:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb8137f… |
| 10-09 07:24:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb8137f… |
| 10-08 22:04:59 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xa4b2a0… |
| 10-08 22:04:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa4b2a0… |
| 10-08 22:04:59 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xf85fb4… |
| 10-08 22:04:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf85fb4… |
| 10-08 03:42:11 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xca4734… |
| 10-08 03:42:11 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xca4734… |
| 10-08 03:10:02 | (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | No | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4ecd3f… |
| 10-08 03:10:02 | (anonymous) 0x1199…59ec | No | SELL | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4ecd3f… |
| 10-08 03:10:02 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 21 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x4ecd3f… |
| 10-08 03:10:02 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4ecd3f… |
| 10-08 03:09:08 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | No | SELL | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xeca2c9… |
| 10-08 03:09:08 | (anonymous) 0x1199…59ec | No | BUY | 35 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xeca2c9… |
| 10-08 03:09:08 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xeca2c9… |
| 10-08 02:58:59 | (anonymous) 0x1199…59ec | No | SELL | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x985eb6… |
| 10-08 02:58:59 | (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | No | BUY | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x985eb6… |
| 10-08 02:58:59 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x985eb6… |
| 10-08 02:54:28 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | No | SELL | 28 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x22012c… |
| 10-08 02:54:28 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x22012c… |
| 10-08 02:54:28 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x22012c… |
| 10-08 02:54:28 | (anonymous) 0x1199…59ec | No | BUY | 38 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x22012c… |
| 10-03 00:40:09 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | No | SELL | 42 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x498f3e… |
| 10-03 00:40:09 | Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | BUY | 42 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x498f3e… |
| 10-03 00:24:12 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | No | BUY | 199 | 4¢ | $7 | 0xc8b605… |
| 10-03 00:24:12 | (anonymous) 0x84a7…9743 | Yes | BUY | 199 | 97¢ | $192 | 0xc8b605… |
| 10-02 20:50:39 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfc83d5… |
| 10-02 20:50:39 | Bewitched-Makeup 0xb2c5…6593 | No | SELL | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xfc83d5… |
| 10-02 20:50:39 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | No | BUY | 110 | 3¢ | $4 | 0xfc83d5… |
| 10-02 16:38:51 | Bewitched-Makeup 0xb2c5…6593 | No | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x261d66… |
| 10-02 16:38:51 | (anonymous) 0x84a7…9743 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x261d66… |
| 10-02 15:59:26 | Aggravating-Heartwood 0x92c8…ebd8 | No | BUY | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x8ac6dd… |
| 10-02 15:59:26 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 96¢ | $23 | 0x8ac6dd… |
| 10-02 14:30:47 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | Yes | BUY | 209 | 94¢ | $196 | 0xdf5c55… |
| 10-02 14:30:47 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | No | BUY | 209 | 6¢ | $13 | 0xdf5c55… |
| 09-29 09:44:54 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xfee702… |
| 09-29 09:44:54 | Aggravating-Heartwood 0x92c8…ebd8 | No | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xfee702… |
| 09-29 09:44:54 | (anonymous) 0x755c…ba9f | Yes | BUY | 21 | 94¢ | $20 | 0xfee702… |
| 09-27 19:05:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xa1c0fb… |
| 09-27 19:05:27 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | SELL | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xa1c0fb… |
| 09-25 08:13:41 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | No | BUY | 69 | 9¢ | $6 | 0xa72ed6… |
| 09-25 08:13:41 | (anonymous) 0x84a7…9743 | Yes | BUY | 97 | 91¢ | $88 | 0xa72ed6… |
| 09-25 08:13:41 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | No | BUY | 28 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xa72ed6… |
| 09-24 20:12:15 | (anonymous) 0x755c…ba9f | Yes | BUY | 22 | 90¢ | $20 | 0xf4cf41… |
| 09-24 20:12:15 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | No | BUY | 22 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xf4cf41… |
| 09-24 08:45:29 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | No | BUY | 97 | 14¢ | $14 | 0x510a5c… |
| 09-24 08:45:29 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x510a5c… |
| 09-24 08:45:29 | (anonymous) 0x4fbf…f319 | Yes | BUY | 115 | 87¢ | $100 | 0x510a5c… |
| 09-24 08:45:29 | Aggravating-Heartwood 0x92c8…ebd8 | No | BUY | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x510a5c… |
| 09-24 08:45:18 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | No | BUY | 96 | 14¢ | $13 | 0x53a6e4… |
| 09-24 08:45:18 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 21 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x53a6e4… |
| 09-24 08:45:18 | (anonymous) 0x4fbf…f319 | Yes | BUY | 117 | 86¢ | $100 | 0x53a6e4… |
| 09-24 08:45:02 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | BUY | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x81cde5… |
| 09-24 08:45:02 | (anonymous) 0x4fbf…f319 | Yes | BUY | 119 | 84¢ | $100 | 0x81cde5… |
| 09-24 08:45:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 56 | 17¢ | $10 | 0x81cde5… |
| 09-24 08:45:02 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x81cde5… |
| 09-24 08:45:02 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | No | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x81cde5… |