Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$97

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

48.6%

Resolved

140

Trades

355

lifetime

Volume

$1.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$18

2 positions

First seen

2026-10-07

last 10-11 05:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 46% -$40

Other

43% 48% -$45

Politics

6% 100% +$0

Sports

3% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	No		+18	$6	89¢	$15	+$10	10-08 02:22
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes		+18	$11	11¢	$2	-$9	10-08 20:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Harry Styles perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	2	$89	50	50	+0	No	-$5	10-08 02:33
Will Jared Goff have 3,599.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	2	$49	40	40	+0	open	—	10-08 01:15
Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	4	$48	60	60	+0	Yes	-$3	10-10 22:45
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	2	$40	80	0	+80	No	+$0	10-08 00:06
Will Cleveland Guardians advance to the ALCS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?	3	$40	80	0	+80	Yes	+$0	10-08 00:04
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	6	$39	55	20	+35	open	—	10-08 20:01
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	2	$39	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	10-08 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	10	$37	71	11	+60	Up	+$4	10-10 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	7	$33	20	15	+5	Up	+$3	10-10 01:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	11	$32	26	16	+10	Up	+$5	10-10 04:29
Will Rafael Fiziev fight Quillan Salkilld next?	3	$30	45	35	+10	open	—	10-08 02:22
Will Amon-Ra St. Brown have 11.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	2	$28	40	40	+0	open	—	10-08 02:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	7	$28	26	11	+15	Up	-$1	10-10 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	6	$26	21	11	+10	Up	+$1	10-10 04:44
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-07 House election by 6%-9%?	2	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	10-07 23:49
Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by December 31?	2	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	10-08 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	10	$21	46	0	+46	Down	-$1	10-10 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	6	$21	15	10	+5	Down	$0	10-10 04:18
Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	5	$17	30	30	+0	No	-$13	10-08 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	4	$17	16	6	+10	Up	-$1	10-10 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	5	$17	28	6	+22	Up	$0	10-10 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	5	$17	42	5	+37	Up	-$7	10-10 01:09
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	2	$16	20	20	+0	open	—	10-08 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	7	$16	32	0	+32	Down	+$1	10-10 01:21
Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?	2	$16	20	20	+0	open	—	10-08 02:23
Will Cap dip to $0.01 before 2027?	2	$15	20	20	+0	open	—	10-08 02:23
4Q Spread: Indiana (-2.5)	4	$14	15	15	+0	Indiana	-$3	10-10 19:05
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	3	$13	14	8	+5	Down	+$3	10-10 00:04
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	3	$12	13	7	+5	Up	+$2	10-10 00:09
Will Sui dip to $0.60 before 2027?	2	$12	20	20	+0	open	—	10-08 02:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 05:00:18	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xcb8376…
10-11 04:50:12	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x48de8f…
10-11 04:32:38	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xd6a4b3…
10-11 04:26:18	BNB Up or Down - October 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x44f927…
10-11 04:21:50	BNB Up or Down - October 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x7ac591…
10-11 04:16:18	BNB Up or Down - October 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1efd4c…
10-11 04:11:18	BNB Up or Down - October 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4f4582…
10-11 04:06:18	BNB Up or Down - October 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe54760…
10-11 04:01:50	BNB Up or Down - October 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd64e02…
10-11 03:56:18	BNB Up or Down - October 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xab8381…
10-11 03:46:23	BNB Up or Down - October 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xe20ea8…
10-11 03:26:18	BNB Up or Down - October 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc3f8e4…
10-10 22:45:24	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	Yes	SELL	60	38¢	$22	0xe96355…
10-10 22:21:13	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x176278…
10-10 20:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x04dff5…
10-10 20:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd7d60d…
10-10 19:05:03	Spread: Indiana (-2.5)	Indiana	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xcf0471…
10-10 19:05:03	2H Spread: Indiana (-2.5)	Nebraska	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xb08e16…
10-10 19:05:03	2H Spread: Arizona (-3.5)	Arizona	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x60d8a1…
10-10 19:05:03	3Q Spread: Missouri (-3.5)	Missouri	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x5f9fb5…
10-10 19:05:03	Spread: Arizona (-2.5)	West Virginia	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x4a06df…
10-10 19:05:03	2H Spread: Indiana (-2.5)	Indiana	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x254f2f…
10-10 19:05:01	Spread: Arizona (-6.5)	West Virginia	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xff4b1f…
10-10 19:05:01	South Carolina vs. Florida: 4Q O/U 10.5	Under	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xf8ea82…
10-10 19:05:01	4Q Spread: Missouri (-3.5)	Texas A&M	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xdf5bc4…
10-10 19:05:01	4Q Spread: Indiana (-2.5)	Indiana	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0x3a1723…
10-10 19:05:01	South Carolina vs. Florida: 3Q O/U 10.5	Over	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x37608a…
10-10 18:38:19	Spread: Arizona (-6.5)	West Virginia	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x75a46a…
10-10 18:38:18	Spread: Arizona (-3.5)	West Virginia	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xefee0f…
10-10 18:38:18	2H Spread: Arizona (-3.5)	Arizona	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xc58a20…
10-10 18:38:18	Spread: Arizona (-4.5)	West Virginia	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa519b9…
10-10 18:38:10	Spread: Arizona (-7.5)	West Virginia	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb61c4a…
10-10 18:38:10	2H Spread: Arizona (-3.5)	Arizona	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1d72fa…
10-10 18:38:01	4Q Spread: Arizona (-1.5)	Arizona	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7ac8bc…
10-10 18:38:01	3Q Spread: Arizona (-3.5)	West Virginia	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0759bc…
10-10 18:38:00	3Q Spread: Missouri (-3.5)	Missouri	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xfd4354…
10-10 18:38:00	Spread: Arizona (-2.5)	West Virginia	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf43c57…
10-10 18:38:00	Spread: Arizona (-13.5)	West Virginia	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdc1d90…
10-10 18:38:00	Spread: Indiana (-2.5)	Indiana	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd5d90c…
10-10 18:38:00	3Q Spread: Indiana (-2.5)	Nebraska	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xc036ba…
10-10 18:38:00	3Q Spread: Arizona (-3.5)	West Virginia	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9cbb5f…
10-10 18:38:00	2H Spread: Arizona (-3.5)	West Virginia	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x72b348…
10-10 18:38:00	4Q Spread: Missouri (-3.5)	Texas A&M	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x44f284…
10-10 18:37:58	3Q Spread: Indiana (-2.5)	Nebraska	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xe4c5d0…
10-10 18:37:58	3Q Spread: Indiana (-2.5)	Nebraska	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xb6b957…
10-10 18:37:58	2H Spread: Indiana (-2.5)	Indiana	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa9ae40…
10-10 18:37:58	4Q Spread: Indiana (-2.5)	Indiana	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9c7466…
10-10 18:37:58	3Q Spread: Indiana (-2.5)	Nebraska	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x157cb5…
10-10 18:37:57	2H Spread: Indiana (-2.5)	Nebraska	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x98cc1b…
10-10 18:37:57	4Q Spread: Indiana (-2.5)	Indiana	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5b2dd2…
10-10 18:37:55	South Carolina vs. Florida: 3Q O/U 10.5	Over	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd56cef…
10-10 18:37:55	4Q Spread: Indiana (-2.5)	Indiana	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4489db…
10-10 18:37:55	South Carolina vs. Florida: 4Q O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2b3e60…
10-10 18:37:54	2H Spread: Indiana (-2.5)	Nebraska	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xf39d90…
10-10 18:37:54	South Carolina vs. Florida: 4Q O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x67b2b1…
10-10 18:37:54	South Carolina vs. Florida: 3Q O/U 10.5	Over	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x20a1bd…
10-10 16:51:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x62f597…
10-10 16:51:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0x8723e7…
10-10 16:45:33	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3ecae4…
10-10 16:45:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4119d2…
10-10 16:41:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x2a2223…
10-10 16:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xde4038…
10-10 04:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x858c4c…
10-10 04:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x8b255a…
10-10 04:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x465759…
10-10 04:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xdb7bd7…
10-10 04:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd1161d…
10-10 04:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7d30a6…
10-10 04:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x64befb…
10-10 04:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xd796e8…
10-10 04:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xb9cd91…
10-10 04:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9167b6…
10-10 04:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xd1e5d2…
10-10 04:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4d149c…
10-10 04:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xebf7a7…
10-10 04:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0x648beb…
10-10 04:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x373f94…
10-10 04:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x215f50…
10-10 04:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x14d275…
10-10 04:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xdee566…
10-10 04:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$4	0x92bbad…
10-10 04:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc0c267…
10-10 04:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x3379cc…
10-10 04:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc738e3…
10-10 04:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x295d43…
10-10 04:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xfd8922…
10-10 04:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xcd39c5…
10-10 04:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6a40a3…
10-10 04:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x03e294…
10-10 04:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf3faab…
10-10 04:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x3ecc35…
10-10 04:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xdfc701…
10-10 04:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xcf72e3…
10-10 04:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x6aeb04…
10-10 04:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdd5c8e…
10-10 04:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x16e73b…
10-10 04:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa984cf…
10-10 04:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	9¢	$2	0x365566…
10-10 04:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x5969be…
10-10 04:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x0a36be…