Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$142
Trades
46
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$2,999
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-12
last 07-29 20:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $1 | $14 | $13 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $13 | $27 | $15 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $3 | $16 | $13 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $4 | — | +$4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $5 | $41 | $35 |
| Median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 2 | — | $16 | $16 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| unranked | 7 | $7 | — | +$7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | +93 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 07-19 05:22 |
| Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | +56 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 06-28 15:02 |
| Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-25 05:13 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-29 20:19 |
| Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | No | +18 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 07-10 20:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xd1d3…4afd | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-11 01:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x184b…67b2 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-19 02:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +1 | $-0 | $1 | 2 | 07-15 05:04 |
| Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | Yes | +1 | $0 | $2 | 2 | 07-29 20:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 20:19:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x91230a… |
| 07-29 20:19:02 | Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | Yes | SELL | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x91230a… |
| 07-19 05:22:43 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | BUY | 69 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x349073… |
| 07-19 05:22:43 | (anonymous) 0xfcc0…ca43 | Yes | SELL | 69 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x349073… |
| 07-19 02:22:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x9c1c4a… |
| 07-19 02:22:28 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x9c1c4a… |
| 07-19 02:22:28 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x9c1c4a… |
| 07-19 02:22:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x1cc24a… |
| 07-19 02:22:28 | (anonymous) 0x184b…67b2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x1cc24a… |
| 07-15 05:04:01 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9e4ddb… |
| 07-15 05:04:01 | Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x9e4ddb… |
| 07-15 05:04:01 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x9e4ddb… |
| 07-15 01:21:20 | (anonymous) 0x1bb8…a7ed | Yes | SELL | 42 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x1c2e1d… |
| 07-15 01:21:20 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1c2e1d… |
| 07-15 01:21:20 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1c2e1d… |
| 07-15 01:21:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 14 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x1c2e1d… |
| 07-11 01:14:40 | (anonymous) 0xd1d3…4afd | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x11ed16… |
| 07-11 01:14:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0x11ed16… |
| 07-10 20:20:23 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 18 | 93¢ | $16 | 0x1d01ba… |
| 07-10 20:20:23 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | No | BUY | 18 | 93¢ | $16 | 0x1d01ba… |
| 07-02 20:36:31 | (anonymous) 0x3a72…331f | Yes | SELL | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xfa8627… |
| 07-02 20:36:31 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0xfa8627… |
| 07-01 18:32:35 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xae3353… |
| 07-01 18:32:35 | Elastic-Banquette 0x386f…db83 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xae3353… |
| 06-28 15:02:16 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 23 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x1b1a08… |
| 06-28 15:02:16 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x1b1a08… |
| 06-27 23:16:02 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 18 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x9debd9… |
| 06-27 23:16:02 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 18 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x9debd9… |
| 06-25 05:13:31 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xc5b55b… |
| 06-25 05:13:31 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 14 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xc5b55b… |
| 06-25 05:13:31 | Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xc5b55b… |
| 06-25 05:13:23 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0xfe8a86… |
| 06-25 05:13:23 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xfe8a86… |
| 06-25 05:13:19 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x913ba5… |
| 06-25 05:13:19 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 14 | 91¢ | $13 | 0x913ba5… |
| 06-25 05:13:19 | Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x913ba5… |
| 06-24 07:16:25 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xf16efe… |
| 06-24 07:16:25 | (anonymous) 0x3a72…331f | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xf16efe… |
| 06-22 01:07:55 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x232718… |
| 06-22 01:07:55 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x232718… |
| 06-22 01:06:55 | Elastic-Banquette 0x386f…db83 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe44580… |
| 06-22 01:06:55 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe44580… |
| 06-13 14:41:12 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xe68464… |
| 06-13 14:41:12 | Old-Fashioned-Gig 0x3042…26ee | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xe68464… |
| 06-12 14:05:03 | Svelte-Investment 0x5a86…e713 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc4b61f… |
| 06-12 14:05:03 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc4b61f… |