Svelte-Investment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

80.7%

Resolved

547

Trades

724

lifetime

Volume

$2.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-23

last 06-12 14:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

48% 78% +$3

Crypto

42% 79% -$8

Politics

6% 54% -$6

Sports

4% 16% -$11

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-12).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+100	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	05-13 03:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: Nara Club (-1.5)	13	$60	35	30	+5	FC Ōsaka	$0	05-06 04:40
Spread: FC Ōsaka (-2.5)	11	$50	30	25	+5	Nara Club	+$0	05-06 04:48
Nara Club vs. FC Ōsaka: O/U 4.5	7	$32	20	15	+5	Under	+$0	05-06 04:40
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?	3	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	05-29 10:05
Ethereum above 2,365 on May 6, 1AM ET?	2	$14	5	10	-5	Yes	+$0	05-06 05:02
Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?	6	$14	15	15	+0	open	—	06-12 14:03
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-28 09:01
Bitcoin above 81,600 on May 6, 11PM ET?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-07 03:32
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on May 11?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-12 04:28
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-28 09:00
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-28 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 2?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-03 02:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 12?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-12 04:28
Spread: D.C. United SC (-1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	Nashville SC	+$0	05-10 04:59
Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	Tigres de la UANL	+$0	05-06 04:12
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-12 04:28
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-12 04:28
Spread: AA Argentinos Juniors (-2.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	CA Lanús	+$0	05-10 04:58
Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	Wuhan San Zhen FC	+$0	05-06 12:28
Exact Score: FC Mito Holly Hock 0 - 1 Urawa Red Diamonds?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-09 06:33
Will Trump say "Peanut" during events with Brazilian president?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-08 10:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 09:48
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	06-01 02:08
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 4.5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Under	+$0	05-07 03:32
Wydad Athletic Club vs. COD Meknès: O/U 4.5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Under	+$0	05-06 20:03
Will CSD Mixco win on 2026-05-09?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-10 04:58
Will Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-12 14:02
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in April?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	05-12 04:28
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-12 04:28
Exact Score: CDOriente Petrolero 1 - 1 Club Blooming?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-01 02:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 14:07:16	Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x8c0cad…
06-12 14:06:07	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x27a2cc…
06-12 14:06:04	Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x92a208…
06-12 14:05:51	Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x4d248e…
06-12 14:05:46	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x95cb7c…
06-12 14:05:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xdf8ccb…
06-12 14:05:34	Will the Democratic Party win the CT-01 House seat?	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xfc18c7…
06-12 14:05:31	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x0ce7c4…
06-12 14:05:27	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xea2934…
06-12 14:05:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xc67b51…
06-12 14:05:19	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x66c116…
06-12 14:05:15	Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly one nominating election in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xa803d3…
06-12 14:05:10	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xd1e1da…
06-12 14:05:07	Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x890cc7…
06-12 14:05:03	Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xc4b61f…
06-12 14:04:57	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x082d11…
06-12 14:04:52	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x17df5d…
06-12 14:04:45	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xe3e19a…
06-12 14:04:42	Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xb89afd…
06-12 14:04:39	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x40f708…
06-12 14:04:34	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xd4cd8e…
06-12 14:04:30	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x979866…
06-12 14:04:27	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x0518a5…
06-12 14:04:22	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x95ca99…
06-12 14:04:18	MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x6e2530…
06-12 14:04:13	Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x5973cc…
06-12 14:04:06	Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x6eb608…
06-12 14:04:00	Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?	No	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x240b93…
06-12 14:03:28	Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x9f7da1…
06-12 14:03:24	Will Team Falcons win an S tier event in 2026?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x075b04…
06-12 14:03:19	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x9467e8…
06-12 14:03:13	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,000 on the final trading day of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x2133d5…
06-12 14:03:10	Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win more than 83.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	O 83.5	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xd59530…
06-12 14:03:07	Will Donald Trump visit Montana in 2026?	No	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x1c883c…
06-12 14:03:01	Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xe9740d…
06-12 14:02:57	Will Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x3c7fe2…
06-12 14:02:52	Will Plasma reach $0.30 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x7eef26…
06-12 14:02:42	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x2440b2…
06-12 14:02:37	Will Plasma reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x0ed0b9…
06-12 14:02:31	PYUSD depeg by December 31?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x1f931c…
06-12 14:02:25	Will Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x4dab7a…
06-03 20:16:55	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 4?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x250b24…
06-03 20:13:27	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7430f4…
06-03 15:26:28	Bitcoin above 66,200 on June 3, 12PM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5332c7…
06-03 14:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9a8c3f…
06-03 02:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 2?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6f423a…
06-03 02:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 2?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xaab1ad…
06-02 07:56:28	Exact Score: Wales 1 - 1 Ghana?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xbb5c19…
06-01 18:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 2?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xb4688f…
06-01 17:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 2?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x08d953…
06-01 17:09:11	Exact Score: Austria 3 - 0 Tunisia?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8a57e4…
06-01 12:03:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7a3f7e…
06-01 10:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x203034…
06-01 07:33:47	bitcoin above 72800 on june 1 2026 4am et	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x73a01a…
06-01 02:09:25	Exact Score: CDOriente Petrolero 1 - 1 Club Blooming?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe67e9d…
06-01 02:08:57	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2ae6b8…
06-01 01:31:46	bitcoin above 73600 on may 31 2026 10pm et	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x2cc1c8…
05-31 20:11:38	Exact Score: CDOriente Petrolero 1 - 1 Club Blooming?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x895b3d…
05-31 02:21:36	Valorant: LOUD vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winner	Sentinels	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa9eb99…
05-31 01:46:03	Counter-Strike: Reign Above vs F5 Esports - Map 2 Winner	F5 Esports	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x54f5f1…
05-30 09:46:50	bitcoin above 73000 on may 30 2026 6am et	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x94fcca…
05-30 09:46:49	bitcoin above 72800 on may 30 2026 6am et	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xfcdc84…
05-30 09:46:47	bitcoin above 72600 on may 30 2026 6am et	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x6d6711…
05-30 08:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x140b39…
05-30 08:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xaa16f7…
05-30 08:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x159812…
05-30 07:35:07	Ethereum above 1,970 on May 30, 4AM ET?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x6c1f38…
05-30 07:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd4f545…
05-30 00:01:07	Will Donald Trump dance on May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4ad822…
05-29 19:53:54	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb28671…
05-29 14:22:23	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf2a52a…
05-29 10:05:29	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x647a56…
05-28 09:01:15	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0b6e6c…
05-28 09:00:56	Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0255b1…
05-28 09:00:42	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9a094a…
05-24 23:30:24	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x514f75…
05-24 23:30:24	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2d4197…
05-24 22:33:40	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xc0e00d…
05-24 22:33:28	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xc46a26…
05-24 21:31:45	Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x875f3f…
05-24 00:35:04	Will Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x22a37b…
05-23 02:14:06	Will OL Lyonnes win the 2025-26 UEFA Women's Champions League?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x5d8d20…
05-22 19:42:55	Will Plasma reach $0.30 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcfe679…
05-22 17:34:42	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x02ec02…
05-22 16:31:51	Will Plasma reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x453d1b…
05-22 14:08:42	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x184b24…
05-22 13:38:25	Will Oscar Holmertz be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xbf7d0d…
05-22 13:38:22	Will Luke Schairer be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x65b026…
05-22 13:38:18	Will Alessandro Di Iorio be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x2697fb…
05-22 13:24:03	Will Team Falcons win an S tier event in 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xaf9e85…
05-22 12:27:33	Will the Democratic Party win the CT-01 House seat?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x2c68fe…
05-22 12:26:02	Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1cfcd6…
05-22 12:24:33	Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x8a4414…
05-22 12:06:56	Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Roland Garros Women's Singles?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe88a42…
05-22 11:15:20	Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1fb915…
05-22 11:11:50	Will Yegor Shilov be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9719ed…
05-22 10:23:39	Will Adam Goljer be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2eefcc…
05-22 10:23:37	Will Jaxon Cover be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0fac70…
05-22 10:23:34	Will Wyatt Cullen be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x735351…
05-22 10:07:54	Will Ariana Grande have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x1adc72…