Will Ariana Grande have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open
Total volume
$4,127
Trades
79
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$139
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-02
last 06-11 12:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $2.9K | $11 | +$2.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $1.0K | $4 | +$1.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $108 | $4 | +$105 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $5 | $13 | $8 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $930 | $12 | +$917 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $120 | $2 | +$118 |
| Median | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Below median | 4 | $108 | $11 | +$97 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $909 | $2 | +$906 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $2.0K | — | +$2.0K |
| unranked | 3 | $5 | $3 | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xab49…34e6 | No | +3,292 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 06-11 12:49 |
| Profitable-Recorder 0x92a6…8b84 | Yes | +2,000 | $1,998 | $1,998 | 1 | 06-11 12:49 |
| Grim-Cob 0x9e8e…8db8 | Yes | +937 | $930 | $930 | 2 | 06-10 22:02 |
| Loud-Quality 0xea1c…4daf | Yes | +712 | $710 | $710 | 2 | 06-11 12:46 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +250 | $1 | $1 | 10 | 06-11 12:35 |
| Gummy-Theater 0x562b…dc09 | Yes | +200 | $199 | $199 | 1 | 06-11 12:31 |
| Perfect-Mistake 0x89e0…9412 | Yes | +135 | $120 | $120 | 7 | 06-08 20:58 |
| Wiry-Walkway 0xa76b…8a50 | Yes | +109 | $108 | $108 | 18 | 06-10 22:02 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | +106 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-11 12:31 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | +101 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 22:02 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-11 12:31 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +74 | $11 | $11 | 5 | 06-09 20:12 |
| Wicked-Counterforce 0x997e…0d8e | No | +40 | $0 | $0 | 8 | 06-09 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | +33 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 20:55 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 22:02 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | +29 | $25 | $25 | 3 | 06-08 03:01 |
| Grimy-Breastplate 0x13ad…65fd | No | +25 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 06-08 20:58 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 20:55 |
| Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | No | +13 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-08 20:55 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | +12 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-08 02:29 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-09 20:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | No | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 02:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x6be0…af7d | No | +9 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-08 10:01 |
| Klutzy-Grandma 0x53a6…a633 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-08 10:01 |
| Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-11 12:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 12:49:00 | Profitable-Recorder 0x92a6…8b84 | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 100¢ | $1,998 | 0x527df0… |
| 06-11 12:49:00 | (anonymous) 0xab49…34e6 | No | BUY | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x527df0… |
| 06-11 12:46:45 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x86caff… |
| 06-11 12:46:45 | Loud-Quality 0xea1c…4daf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x86caff… |
| 06-11 12:35:22 | Loud-Quality 0xea1c…4daf | Yes | BUY | 707 | 100¢ | $705 | 0xe684f8… |
| 06-11 12:35:22 | (anonymous) 0xab49…34e6 | No | BUY | 667 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xe684f8… |
| 06-11 12:35:22 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe684f8… |
| 06-11 12:31:15 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9b2717… |
| 06-11 12:31:15 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9b2717… |
| 06-11 12:31:15 | Gummy-Theater 0x562b…dc09 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $199 | 0x9b2717… |
| 06-10 22:02:51 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x86633b… |
| 06-10 22:02:51 | Wiry-Walkway 0xa76b…8a50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x86633b… |
| 06-10 22:02:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9bd00a… |
| 06-10 22:02:48 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 171 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9bd00a… |
| 06-10 22:02:48 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 101 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9bd00a… |
| 06-10 22:02:48 | Grim-Cob 0x9e8e…8db8 | Yes | BUY | 302 | 99¢ | $300 | 0x9bd00a… |
| 06-09 20:12:40 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x543ee2… |
| 06-09 20:12:40 | Wiry-Walkway 0xa76b…8a50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x543ee2… |
| 06-09 20:12:33 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x383521… |
| 06-09 20:12:33 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x383521… |
| 06-09 20:12:33 | Wiry-Walkway 0xa76b…8a50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x383521… |
| 06-09 20:12:27 | Wiry-Walkway 0xa76b…8a50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xf83d81… |
| 06-09 20:12:27 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf83d81… |
| 06-09 20:12:19 | Wiry-Walkway 0xa76b…8a50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xf39fae… |
| 06-09 20:12:19 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf39fae… |
| 06-09 20:12:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf31cb7… |
| 06-09 20:12:13 | Wiry-Walkway 0xa76b…8a50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xf31cb7… |
| 06-09 20:12:06 | Wiry-Walkway 0xa76b…8a50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x7c798a… |
| 06-09 20:12:06 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7c798a… |
| 06-09 20:11:58 | Wiry-Walkway 0xa76b…8a50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xdf03eb… |
| 06-09 20:11:58 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdf03eb… |
| 06-09 20:11:52 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x871315… |
| 06-09 20:11:52 | Wiry-Walkway 0xa76b…8a50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x871315… |
| 06-09 20:11:46 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1e8c58… |
| 06-09 20:11:46 | Wiry-Walkway 0xa76b…8a50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x1e8c58… |
| 06-09 20:11:39 | Wiry-Walkway 0xa76b…8a50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xf6144a… |
| 06-09 20:11:39 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf6144a… |
| 06-09 20:11:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x522d50… |
| 06-09 20:11:31 | Wiry-Walkway 0xa76b…8a50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x522d50… |
| 06-09 20:11:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa23499… |
| 06-09 20:11:25 | Wiry-Walkway 0xa76b…8a50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xa23499… |
| 06-09 20:11:18 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa0a2fb… |
| 06-09 20:11:18 | Wiry-Walkway 0xa76b…8a50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xa0a2fb… |
| 06-09 20:11:18 | Wicked-Counterforce 0x997e…0d8e | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa0a2fb… |
| 06-09 20:11:12 | Wicked-Counterforce 0x997e…0d8e | No | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1f2262… |
| 06-09 20:11:12 | Wiry-Walkway 0xa76b…8a50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x1f2262… |
| 06-09 20:11:04 | Wicked-Counterforce 0x997e…0d8e | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbd901e… |
| 06-09 20:11:04 | Wiry-Walkway 0xa76b…8a50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xbd901e… |
| 06-09 20:10:58 | Wiry-Walkway 0xa76b…8a50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x8a3c13… |
| 06-09 20:10:58 | Wicked-Counterforce 0x997e…0d8e | No | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8a3c13… |
| 06-09 20:10:52 | Wicked-Counterforce 0x997e…0d8e | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x425497… |
| 06-09 20:10:52 | Wiry-Walkway 0xa76b…8a50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x425497… |
| 06-09 20:10:49 | Wicked-Counterforce 0x997e…0d8e | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x20aa6e… |
| 06-09 20:10:49 | (anonymous) 0xab49…34e6 | No | BUY | 625 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x20aa6e… |
| 06-09 20:10:49 | Grim-Cob 0x9e8e…8db8 | Yes | BUY | 635 | 99¢ | $630 | 0x20aa6e… |
| 06-08 20:58:00 | Grimy-Breastplate 0x13ad…65fd | No | BUY | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xec1484… |
| 06-08 20:58:00 | Perfect-Mistake 0x89e0…9412 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 98¢ | $12 | 0xec1484… |
| 06-08 20:55:40 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1265b1… |
| 06-08 20:55:40 | Perfect-Mistake 0x89e0…9412 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 97¢ | $32 | 0x1265b1… |
| 06-08 20:55:37 | Grimy-Breastplate 0x13ad…65fd | No | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1defda… |
| 06-08 20:55:37 | Perfect-Mistake 0x89e0…9412 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x1defda… |
| 06-08 20:55:34 | Perfect-Mistake 0x89e0…9412 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 93¢ | $18 | 0x3aba0a… |
| 06-08 20:55:34 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 19 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x3aba0a… |
| 06-08 20:55:31 | Grimy-Breastplate 0x13ad…65fd | No | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x694f33… |
| 06-08 20:55:31 | Perfect-Mistake 0x89e0…9412 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x694f33… |
| 06-08 20:55:28 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | No | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x6c69fd… |
| 06-08 20:55:28 | Perfect-Mistake 0x89e0…9412 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x6c69fd… |
| 06-08 10:01:15 | (anonymous) 0x6be0…af7d | No | BUY | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xf91240… |
| 06-08 10:01:15 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | No | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xf91240… |
| 06-08 10:01:15 | Klutzy-Grandma 0x53a6…a633 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xf91240… |
| 06-08 03:01:58 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x1db971… |
| 06-08 03:01:58 | (anonymous) 0x6be0…af7d | No | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x1db971… |
| 06-08 02:29:25 | (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | No | BUY | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x63bc3c… |
| 06-08 02:29:25 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | BUY | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0x63bc3c… |
| 06-08 02:29:25 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | BUY | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x63bc3c… |
| 06-07 14:25:52 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0xb81953… |
| 06-07 14:25:52 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xb81953… |
| 06-02 15:05:02 | Perfect-Mistake 0x89e0…9412 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 78¢ | $39 | 0xf8917f… |
| 06-02 15:05:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 50 | 22¢ | $11 | 0xf8917f… |