Will Team Falcons win an S tier event in 2026?
open
Total volume
$729
Trades
43
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$733
Latest YES mid
54¢
Latest NO mid
46¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-14 15:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+39.4¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $94
vs crowd: 61% YES on $474)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $186 | — | +$186 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $94 | $172 | $78 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $7 | $14 | $7 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $94 | — | +$94 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $186 | $101 | +$85 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $62 | $62 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 10 | — | $13 | $13 |
| unranked | 9 | $7 | $11 | $3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Entire-Expense 0xc304…c6bb | Yes | +353 | $186 | $186 | 4 | 06-12 08:37 |
| Defensive-Finisher 0xa717…3bbe | No | +213 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-03 11:30 |
| Ultimate-Hotdog 0x1025…7e11 | Yes | +197 | $94 | $94 | 6 | 06-13 20:48 |
| Starry-Tackle 0xee6b…e9d8 | No | +100 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 06-12 18:46 |
| Medium-Procurement 0x6919…da67 | No | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 08:37 |
| Spiffy-Dreamer 0xd561…9423 | No | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-10 08:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xf498…d130 | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-11 18:27 |
| Fluid-Teacher 0x7419…934a | No | +7 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-31 18:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x9f18…0c4e | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-29 03:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-12 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f48…0f32 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 11:56 |
| Academic-Nurture 0xe5c2…94e1 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 21:25 |
| Second-Hand-Application-Vogue 0x4316…0527 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 11:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 15:47:43 | (anonymous) 0x6f85…fc16 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x3284e1… |
| 06-14 15:47:43 | Difficult-Hamster 0x2723…d384 | No | SELL | 3 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x3284e1… |
| 06-14 11:56:06 | (anonymous) 0x8f48…0f32 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x656399… |
| 06-14 11:56:06 | Difficult-Hamster 0x2723…d384 | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x656399… |
| 06-13 20:48:45 | Ultimate-Hotdog 0x1025…7e11 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x4ce127… |
| 06-13 20:48:45 | Glass-Compulsion 0x2129…76cd | Yes | SELL | 3 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x4ce127… |
| 06-12 19:42:30 | Ultimate-Hotdog 0x1025…7e11 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 47¢ | $4 | 0x2eff00… |
| 06-12 19:42:30 | (anonymous) 0x32e7…0ec7 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 47¢ | $4 | 0x2eff00… |
| 06-12 18:46:54 | Ultimate-Hotdog 0x1025…7e11 | Yes | BUY | 81 | 47¢ | $38 | 0x13e17b… |
| 06-12 18:46:54 | Starry-Tackle 0xee6b…e9d8 | No | BUY | 100 | 53¢ | $53 | 0x13e17b… |
| 06-12 14:56:37 | (anonymous) 0x32e7…0ec7 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 60¢ | $5 | 0xa6b6bf… |
| 06-12 14:56:37 | Tame-Hill 0x0c93…a00b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 60¢ | $5 | 0xa6b6bf… |
| 06-12 14:03:24 | Svelte-Investment 0x5a86…e713 | No | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x075b04… |
| 06-12 14:03:24 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x075b04… |
| 06-12 08:37:55 | Medium-Procurement 0x6919…da67 | No | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0xaff664… |
| 06-12 08:37:55 | Entire-Expense 0xc304…c6bb | Yes | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0xaff664… |
| 06-11 20:41:27 | Ultimate-Hotdog 0x1025…7e11 | Yes | BUY | 81 | 48¢ | $39 | 0xc72a6b… |
| 06-11 20:41:27 | (anonymous) 0xea23…ae6f | No | SELL | 128 | 48¢ | $61 | 0xc72a6b… |
| 06-11 20:41:27 | Negligible-Freon 0x6acb…3cd3 | Yes | SELL | 209 | 50¢ | $105 | 0xc72a6b… |
| 06-11 18:27:03 | (anonymous) 0xf498…d130 | No | BUY | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0x317bd3… |
| 06-11 18:27:03 | (anonymous) 0xea23…ae6f | No | SELL | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0x317bd3… |
| 06-10 08:16:58 | Entire-Expense 0xc304…c6bb | Yes | BUY | 20 | 53¢ | $11 | 0x67bc8a… |
| 06-10 08:16:58 | Spiffy-Dreamer 0xd561…9423 | No | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0x67bc8a… |
| 06-06 10:58:45 | Entire-Expense 0xc304…c6bb | Yes | BUY | 100 | 53¢ | $53 | 0x29674f… |
| 06-06 10:58:45 | Superficial-Territory 0xc5ee…456f | Yes | SELL | 100 | 53¢ | $53 | 0x29674f… |
| 06-03 11:30:25 | Defensive-Finisher 0xa717…3bbe | No | BUY | 213 | 47¢ | $100 | 0x607b2d… |
| 06-03 11:30:25 | Entire-Expense 0xc304…c6bb | Yes | BUY | 213 | 53¢ | $113 | 0x607b2d… |
| 06-03 06:54:51 | Colossal-Test 0xecf3…01df | No | SELL | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xecc0bc… |
| 06-03 06:54:51 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 59¢ | $0 | 0xecc0bc… |
| 06-03 06:54:51 | Tame-Hill 0x0c93…a00b | Yes | SELL | 4 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xecc0bc… |
| 06-02 15:02:20 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 59¢ | $2 | 0x5c92c5… |
| 06-02 15:02:20 | Intrepid-Sandal 0x7b49…6a32 | No | SELL | 3 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x5c92c5… |
| 06-01 10:46:12 | Thunderous-Desire 0xe332…3462 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 52¢ | $5 | 0xc545c1… |
| 06-01 10:46:12 | (anonymous) 0xea23…ae6f | No | SELL | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0xc545c1… |
| 05-31 21:25:36 | (anonymous) 0xea23…ae6f | No | SELL | 2 | 48¢ | $1 | 0x74e0ec… |
| 05-31 21:25:36 | Academic-Nurture 0xe5c2…94e1 | No | BUY | 2 | 48¢ | $1 | 0x74e0ec… |
| 05-31 18:00:56 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 59¢ | $2 | 0xb1640e… |
| 05-31 18:00:56 | Offbeat-Initialise 0xa584…89d3 | No | SELL | 9 | 41¢ | $4 | 0xb1640e… |
| 05-31 18:00:56 | Fluid-Teacher 0x7419…934a | No | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xb1640e… |
| 05-31 11:37:01 | Fluid-Teacher 0x7419…934a | No | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x8480e4… |
| 05-31 11:37:01 | Second-Hand-Application-Vogue 0x4316…0527 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0x8480e4… |
| 05-29 03:36:03 | (anonymous) 0x9f18…0c4e | No | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x1fc343… |
| 05-29 03:36:03 | Ultimate-Hotdog 0x1025…7e11 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x1fc343… |