Merry-Grandmom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.23K

Unrealized P&L

-$125

Hit rate

52.5%

Resolved

445

Trades

2,384

lifetime

Volume

$67.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$1.13K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 19:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Other

58% 44% +$3,651

Politics

29% 43% +$173

Sports

12% 38% -$2,117

Crypto

1% 0% -$477

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 228 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	+1,000	$660	64¢	$635	-$25	08-01 20:42
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+900	$554	55¢	$491	-$63	10-28 19:44
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	+150	$45	6¢	$9	-$36	05-20 17:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	6	$6.8K	0	7,276	-7,276	No	-$468	06-16 06:09
will czechia win the 2026 iihf world junior championship	18	$2.8K	7,221	6,273	+948	No	+$2,625	01-05 22:51
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	6	$1.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$60	08-04 13:31
Will Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool?	2	$1.6K	1,635	0	+1,635	No	+$65	06-09 08:00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	38	$1.5K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$1,460	09-13 10:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	12	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$180	06-19 20:25
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$1.2K	2,000	0	+2,000	Spain	+$820	07-19 13:52
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,400	0	+1,400	Yes	-$1,078	02-27 17:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$1.0K	2,256	0	+2,256	No	-$1,023	09-08 20:43
Will Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?	4	$1.0K	1,250	750	+500	No	+$570	05-01 21:40
World Championships: Norway vs. Denmark	10	$875	1,689	0	+1,689	Norway	+$814	05-24 12:14
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	28	$843	1,414	1,414	+0	No	+$79	07-19 12:39
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	22	$842	900	900	+0	No	+$94	07-09 22:27
atp minaur nakashi 2026 07 31	18	$816	2,760	0	+2,760	Brandon Nakashima	-$816	07-31 19:56
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	1	$795	0	1,500	-1,500	Yes	+$795	05-16 21:00
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	1	$660	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$340	06-16 18:24
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	1	$660	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	08-01 20:42
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	8	$650	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$650	08-07 14:01
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	5	$641	950	550	+400	No	-$126	06-26 22:34
will bernie sanders say paycheck to paycheck during the fighting oligarchy rally	9	$628	635	0	+635	Yes	+$7	02-13 19:54
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	1	$620	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$620	06-25 15:39
atp fritz zverev 2026 07 08	6	$610	1,000	0	+1,000	Alexander Zverev	+$390	07-08 14:53
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	8	$580	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$580	07-11 01:18
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	1	$570	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$430	05-16 21:21
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	12	$554	900	0	+900	open	—	10-28 19:44
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	3	$540	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$460	06-25 15:58
cs2 bb3 furia 2026 06 13	3	$502	750	0	+750	FURIA	+$247	06-13 17:59
will trump say forever during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556646	5	$496	1,000	98	+902	No	-$476	07-28 19:22
will trump say patriot during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556643	1	$480	600	0	+600	Yes	+$120	07-28 14:29
will trump say iran or israel 10 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357439	127	$452	554	138	+416	Yes	+$158	07-31 16:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:44:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	181	50¢	$91	0x15fb86…
10-28 19:44:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8ba660…
10-28 19:43:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	71	50¢	$36	0xdc01b4…
10-28 19:42:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0x5a058d…
10-28 19:41:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x64f525…
10-28 19:41:43	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0x51e214…
10-28 19:41:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x441cfe…
10-28 19:40:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xb1fc46…
10-28 19:39:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xa3058b…
10-28 19:38:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xf88864…
10-28 19:37:43	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0xe317dd…
10-27 18:19:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	400	76¢	$304	0x881942…
09-13 10:12:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	48¢	$480	0x54bc6d…
09-08 20:43:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xe7cbd5…
09-08 20:13:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,246	44¢	$548	0x32e500…
09-05 17:55:24	Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	8,141	2¢	$179	0xe7dfaa…
09-05 17:14:03	Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	5,158	2¢	$129	0x9040aa…
09-05 12:01:49	Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6c6824…
09-05 09:29:43	Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0x20f3fc…
09-05 09:26:45	Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	452	2¢	$10	0x0480c5…
08-30 13:00:07	cs2 vit lgc 2026 08 30	Legacy	BUY	500	28¢	$140	0x925273…
08-28 17:07:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	47¢	$470	0xe2db5e…
08-22 21:41:07	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb2b235…
08-22 21:41:07	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x9aca0b…
08-22 21:41:06	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x3b9979…
08-22 21:40:54	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb533ad…
08-22 21:40:54	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x8a4857…
08-22 21:40:54	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	29	5¢	$1	0x758f58…
08-22 21:40:54	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6b5118…
08-22 21:40:54	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x5f262a…
08-22 21:40:54	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x4dff91…
08-22 21:40:54	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3d080a…
08-22 21:24:16	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0xc3354b…
08-22 21:10:36	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	11,920	1¢	$131	0xe24a25…
08-22 20:37:52	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	76	5¢	$4	0xced786…
08-22 19:46:19	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0xea1ecb…
08-22 19:46:19	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xe5a9f4…
08-22 19:46:19	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x71ed6e…
08-22 19:46:19	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x6fea1d…
08-22 19:42:03	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xaef7f3…
08-22 19:42:03	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6a63b4…
08-22 19:42:03	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x682f79…
08-22 19:06:46	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x5bda82…
08-22 19:00:49	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xde0eb3…
08-22 18:21:33	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	52	5¢	$3	0x89dddc…
08-22 18:21:07	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	316	5¢	$16	0x240ca6…
08-22 18:19:13	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	770	5¢	$38	0xa3bf18…
08-22 18:15:52	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x1ea26b…
08-22 18:13:45	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbcfcb2…
08-22 18:06:21	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0xfd014f…
08-22 18:06:19	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	526	5¢	$26	0xd8477c…
08-22 18:00:51	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0xba8c22…
08-22 18:00:49	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	526	5¢	$26	0x72d041…
08-22 18:00:13	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	192	5¢	$10	0xd4e505…
08-22 17:46:31	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x26a4d7…
08-07 19:21:37	will trump say national security during friday roundtable 20260805211427279	Yes	BUY	135	50¢	$67	0xe8c35f…
08-07 18:59:51	will trump say vault during friday roundtable 20260805211427278	No	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xf5fc49…
08-07 18:59:46	will trump say vault during friday roundtable 20260805211427278	No	BUY	270	40¢	$108	0x093551…
08-07 18:55:45	will trump say biden 3 times during friday roundtable 20260805211427273	Yes	BUY	500	51¢	$255	0x8ec1aa…
08-07 18:47:37	will trump say obama during friday roundtable 20260805211427292	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x4bf35f…
08-07 18:38:10	will trump say obama during friday roundtable 20260805211427292	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x278ea4…
08-07 18:37:22	will trump say obama during friday roundtable 20260805211427292	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x66d3d4…
08-07 15:52:54	will trump say million or billion 15 times during friday roundtable 20260805211427271	Yes	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x0c1ef6…
08-07 15:18:10	will trump say gm or general motors during friday roundtable 20260805211427277	Yes	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0xe6f2cf…
08-07 15:17:18	will trump say obama during friday roundtable 20260805211427292	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb7dea4…
08-07 15:04:06	will trump say obama during friday roundtable 20260805211427292	Yes	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x903a7b…
08-07 14:58:45	will trump say copper during friday roundtable 20260807001205003	No	BUY	176	42¢	$74	0xf640d9…
08-07 14:38:24	will trump say copper during friday roundtable 20260807001205003	No	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xfaedb9…
08-07 14:33:49	will trump say obama during friday roundtable 20260805211427292	Yes	BUY	160	54¢	$86	0xad7caf…
08-07 14:26:06	will trump say copper during friday roundtable 20260807001205003	No	BUY	37	42¢	$16	0xf9b2f9…
08-07 14:25:43	will trump say copper during friday roundtable 20260807001205003	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbe67ac…
08-07 14:25:42	will trump say copper during friday roundtable 20260807001205003	No	BUY	33	42¢	$14	0xb3d610…
08-07 14:25:40	will trump say copper during friday roundtable 20260807001205003	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x23f70c…
08-07 14:25:39	will trump say copper during friday roundtable 20260807001205003	No	BUY	190	42¢	$80	0x0cfde3…
08-07 14:01:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	3,569	13¢	$464	0x75f3ea…
08-07 13:57:48	will trump say biden 3 times during friday roundtable 20260805211427273	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xa9a28b…
08-07 13:42:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x3832d3…
08-07 13:39:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xd0f6f4…
08-07 13:34:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x0979b9…
08-07 13:33:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x017d72…
08-07 13:31:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xb8bdee…
08-07 13:31:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x8d3c92…
08-07 13:29:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,392	13¢	$181	0xc6b4f2…
08-07 13:10:51	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during friday roundtable 20260805211427284	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x46325a…
08-07 05:28:19	will trump say radical left during friday roundtable 20260805211427294	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x3922e8…
08-07 03:14:37	will trump say transgender during friday roundtable 20260805211427287	Yes	BUY	56	28¢	$16	0xdf333a…
08-07 01:16:28	will trump say trump during friday roundtable 20260805211427290	Yes	BUY	45	37¢	$17	0x4fb142…
08-07 01:03:03	will trump say transgender during friday roundtable 20260805211427287	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x891ac4…
08-07 01:02:50	will trump say transgender during friday roundtable 20260805211427287	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xbb8897…
08-07 01:00:24	will trump say transgender during friday roundtable 20260805211427287	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xf36f2e…
08-07 00:58:26	will trump say transgender during friday roundtable 20260805211427287	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x3897b9…
08-07 00:58:11	will trump say transgender during friday roundtable 20260805211427287	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xc1e232…
08-07 00:55:50	will trump say transgender during friday roundtable 20260805211427287	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xda36e4…
08-07 00:54:42	will trump say transgender during friday roundtable 20260805211427287	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xf57c77…
08-07 00:52:36	will trump say transgender during friday roundtable 20260805211427287	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x29641c…
08-07 00:52:30	will trump say transgender during friday roundtable 20260805211427287	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x75362a…
08-07 00:51:14	will trump say transgender during friday roundtable 20260805211427287	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb1c6c1…
08-07 00:46:11	will trump say transgender during friday roundtable 20260805211427287	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x38ca5c…
08-07 00:46:09	will trump say transgender during friday roundtable 20260805211427287	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x8fb56e…
08-07 00:44:45	will trump say transgender during friday roundtable 20260805211427287	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x6892fa…