Realized P&L
-$122
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
57.7%
Resolved
68
Trades
1,723
lifetime
Volume
$252.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$146
Open exposure
$727
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 22:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
57% 43% $-72
Politics
32% 50% +$11
Sports
4% 0% $-4
Crypto
4% 36% $-38
Tech
3%
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $-20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +209 $200 100¢ $209 +$9 06-27 21:06
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No -199 $-170 99¢ $-198 $-27 06-14 09:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +101 $84 99¢ $101 +$17 06-20 01:25
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +99 $80 100¢ $99 +$19 06-16 16:23
Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30? No -50 $-45 100¢ $-50 $-5 06-14 09:40
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -64 $-44 72¢ $-46 $-3 06-14 09:40
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No +16 $10 100¢ $16 +$6 06-21 17:09
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -9 $-9 99¢ $-9 $-0 06-17 09:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +71 $16 $0 $-16 06-19 21:09