Punctual-Haversack — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$122

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,918

lifetime

Volume

$258.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$135

Open exposure

$49

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 15:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

56% 43% $-72

Politics

32% 50% +$11

Sports

5% 0% $-4

Crypto

4% 36% $-38

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $-20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No		-64	$-44	77¢	$-49	$-6	06-14 09:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	14	$8.5K	5,208	5,208	+0	open	—	01-31 13:20
will anthropic run an ad during super bowl lx	3	$7.6K	3,860	3,860	+0	open	—	02-09 00:31
cs2 vit bcg 2026 01 31	16	$6.6K	3,428	3,428	+0	open	—	01-31 20:25
cs2 navi prv 2026 01 31 game1	2	$6.5K	3,310	3,310	+0	open	—	01-31 14:57
nicols maduro seen in public by january 5	4	$5.8K	3,989	1,932	+2,057	open	—	01-04 00:32
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$5.2K	3,541	3,541	+0	open	—	04-08 00:17
will send help or iron lung gross more on their opening weekend	5	$5.0K	2,485	2,485	+0	open	—	02-03 18:53
will iran strike israel on march 10	7	$4.8K	2,994	2,482	+512	open	—	03-13 17:14
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	3	$4.5K	3,931	612	+3,319	open	—	02-03 22:56
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	1	$3.9K	3,946	0	+3,946	open	—	02-10 22:52
lol sr tl2 2026 02 02 game2	2	$3.9K	2,045	2,045	+0	open	—	02-02 01:33
Over $2M committed to the Foresee public sale?	2	$3.9K	3,956	50	+3,906	open	—	02-09 08:57
cs2 pain aur1 2026 01 30 game2	2	$3.8K	2,403	2,403	+0	open	—	01-30 18:20
spx opens up or down on february 12 2026	1	$3.8K	3,797	0	+3,797	open	—	02-12 14:22
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	1	$3.8K	3,790	0	+3,790	open	—	02-12 00:17
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	2	$3.7K	3,207	500	+2,707	open	—	02-13 02:16
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$3.7K	3,675	0	+3,675	open	—	02-13 23:32
trumprx launched by february 28 2026	1	$3.6K	3,624	0	+3,624	open	—	02-05 21:27
epl ast not 2026 01 03 ast	12	$3.1K	1,909	1,909	+0	open	—	01-03 13:57
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	6	$3.0K	1,580	1,580	+0	open	—	03-08 11:03
lal ray get 2026 01 02 total 2pt5	2	$3.0K	1,677	1,677	+0	open	—	01-02 22:04
bun mai stu 2026 03 07 draw	2	$2.8K	1,441	1,441	+0	open	—	03-07 16:27
will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	3	$2.8K	1,384	1,384	+0	open	—	03-05 00:04
bitcoin above 82k on january 30	2	$2.6K	1,427	1,427	+0	open	—	01-30 16:56
will epstein data set 13 be released by	5	$2.5K	2,501	0	+2,501	open	—	02-07 02:51
cs2 gl1 ast10 2026 01 30 game2	1	$2.5K	2,944	0	+2,944	open	—	01-30 19:07
val kc3 th1 2026 04 16 game2	2	$2.1K	1,112	1,108	+3	open	—	04-16 19:03
will iran strike israel on march 6	4	$2.0K	2,353	0	+2,353	open	—	03-08 23:22
gpt 5pt3 released by march 15 2026 733	2	$2.0K	1,015	1,015	+0	open	—	03-07 18:26
will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	2	$2.0K	1,006	1,006	+0	open	—	03-04 14:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 15:41:13	will bytedances valuation hit high 575b by july 31 20260630205251340	No	BUY	36	80¢	$29	0x4d0d73…
07-21 15:39:48	will andurils valuation hit low 85 by july 31 20260629184730576	No	BUY	58	87¢	$50	0x2acbab…
07-21 15:39:13	will stripes valuation hit high 180 by july 31 20260629184728769	No	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x9ae3df…
07-21 15:38:34	will stripes valuation hit high 180 by july 31 20260629184728769	No	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0xb8f487…
07-21 05:47:45	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x949f87…
07-21 05:47:25	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	23	93¢	$21	0xaf99cd…
07-20 17:08:10	atp fernan tobon 2026 07 20	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x2daed0…
07-20 17:07:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7987d3…
07-20 09:36:55	will databricks valuation hit high 180 by july 31 20260629184745124	No	BUY	258	77¢	$200	0x33489a…
07-20 00:00:01	will revoluts valuation hit low 82pt5b by july 31 20260630204859529	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xa79ff7…
07-19 23:28:28	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	109	97¢	$106	0x09c50f…
07-19 23:16:58	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xda4786…
07-19 23:11:09	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xdb5f57…
07-19 22:45:51	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x4f470c…
07-19 19:57:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	61	60¢	$37	0x84d2a3…
07-19 18:46:22	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xd58c46…
07-19 18:36:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x118b03…
07-19 18:21:52	will databricks valuation hit high 190b by december 31	No	BUY	44	22¢	$10	0xb46245…
07-19 18:21:46	will databricks valuation hit high 190b by december 31	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x148911…
07-19 18:21:34	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 19	England	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x54991a…
07-19 18:21:28	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	No	SELL	62	99¢	$61	0x4b5022…
07-19 15:12:48	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 19	England	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x876945…
07-19 00:48:31	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	89	93¢	$83	0x73e5cc…
07-19 00:47:39	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xc192ee…
07-18 22:02:34	la velada del ano 6 plex vspt fernanfloo 20260708192832151	Plex	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xaeb705…
07-18 13:11:09	will databricks valuation hit high 180 by july 31 20260629184745124	No	BUY	259	77¢	$200	0x504f67…
07-18 02:09:42	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x449eae…
07-17 18:30:46	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	26	56¢	$15	0xe0fd21…
07-17 17:17:01	will databricks valuation hit high 300b by december 31	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x9084ac…
07-17 17:12:48	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	No	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0x9f2a59…
07-17 13:36:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xc24586…
07-17 00:14:07	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x7cc18c…
07-17 00:13:14	will trump say world cup during speech to the nation 20260713200621432	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x98f381…
07-17 00:13:01	will trump say hottest during speech to the nation 20260713200621429	No	SELL	40	46¢	$18	0xa9e698…
07-17 00:12:49	will trump say middle east during speech to the nation 20260713200621425	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x6d8f85…
07-17 00:12:37	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	42	82¢	$34	0xa8ac1b…
07-17 00:10:41	will trump say hottest during speech to the nation 20260713200621429	No	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0x9fe752…
07-16 23:57:47	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xa929fa…
07-16 23:57:01	will trump say transgender during speech to the nation 20260713200621428	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xd1c15f…
07-16 23:54:53	will trump say hottest during speech to the nation 20260713200621429	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x22e73a…
07-16 23:53:37	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xe2d899…
07-16 23:53:35	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0xf9e8c3…
07-16 23:53:32	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xfe44e8…
07-16 23:53:32	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xe57e5a…
07-16 23:53:31	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xff9e48…
07-16 23:53:31	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xcf1a6a…
07-16 23:53:31	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x701ac1…
07-16 23:53:31	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x68a191…
07-16 23:53:31	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x449da3…
07-16 23:53:31	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x417817…
07-16 23:53:31	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x2d931f…
07-16 23:53:31	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x203d68…
07-16 23:53:29	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xcaa7cc…
07-16 23:53:26	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xcc757f…
07-16 23:49:07	will trump say russia during speech to the nation 20260713200621434	No	SELL	17	52¢	$9	0xbecafd…
07-16 23:38:37	will trump say russia during speech to the nation 20260713200621434	No	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x28ad82…
07-16 23:35:50	will trump say ukraine during speech to the nation 20260714024924416	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x36e336…
07-16 23:35:20	will trump say biden 5 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621422	No	SELL	60	62¢	$37	0x010c68…
07-16 23:34:41	will trump say crooked during speech to the nation 20260713200621438	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8d59c7…
07-16 23:27:10	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x565736…
07-16 23:20:49	will trump say annihilated or annihilating during speech to the nation 20260713200621431	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd2a87d…
07-16 23:19:58	will trump say ukraine during speech to the nation 20260714024924416	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x82968b…
07-16 23:19:35	will trump say crooked during speech to the nation 20260713200621438	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xce6354…
07-16 23:15:53	will trump say make america great again during speech to the nation 20260713200621430	No	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0x3f9820…
07-16 23:15:13	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during speech to the nation 20260713200621423	No	SELL	40	73¢	$29	0xf80338…
07-16 23:14:31	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4b15c5…
07-16 23:12:25	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during speech to the nation 20260713200621423	No	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0x95a16a…
07-16 23:12:07	will trump say biden 5 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621422	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xe03734…
07-16 23:11:44	will trump say biden 5 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621422	No	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x518065…
07-16 23:10:44	will trump say fake news during speech to the nation 20260713200621427	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x8ba551…
07-16 23:08:49	will trump say crooked during speech to the nation 20260713200621438	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x796094…
07-16 23:04:41	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x0e507d…
07-16 23:04:16	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xc47e62…
07-16 23:02:59	will trump say fentanyl during speech to the nation 20260713200621439	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x3cc2f1…
07-16 23:00:50	will trump say russia during speech to the nation 20260713200621434	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x0c1dda…
07-16 22:59:05	will trump say make america great again during speech to the nation 20260713200621430	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xfecbf9…
07-16 22:58:32	will trump say fake news during speech to the nation 20260713200621427	No	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0xd27747…
07-16 22:57:59	will trump say world cup during speech to the nation 20260713200621432	No	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0x741bbc…
07-16 22:57:29	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0xeea356…
07-16 22:56:32	will trump say middle east during speech to the nation 20260713200621425	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xb76303…
07-16 22:55:07	will trump say make america great again during speech to the nation 20260713200621430	No	BUY	16	72¢	$12	0x31ccf7…
07-16 22:55:07	will trump say make america great again during speech to the nation 20260713200621430	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x1329a1…
07-16 22:54:41	will trump say transgender during speech to the nation 20260713200621428	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xff26f5…
07-16 22:54:38	will trump say fake news during speech to the nation 20260713200621427	No	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xa534de…
07-16 22:54:16	will trump say fentanyl during speech to the nation 20260713200621439	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xabd1c5…
07-16 22:53:10	will trump say world cup during speech to the nation 20260713200621432	No	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0xa7f279…
07-16 22:47:40	will trump say ukraine during speech to the nation 20260714024924416	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x5b85d8…
07-16 22:45:53	will trump say middle east during speech to the nation 20260713200621425	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x515792…
07-16 22:43:37	will trump say middle east during speech to the nation 20260713200621425	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x8b1ee2…
07-16 22:19:04	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xe53d28…
07-16 10:48:02	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x664f2d…
07-16 00:46:35	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	55	86¢	$47	0x434754…
07-15 20:11:14	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x45acdd…
07-15 20:00:35	will justin biebers monthly listeners figure hit 150m by august 31 20260710220109220	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xef10ae…
07-15 19:58:35	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	No	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0xab7a07…
07-15 19:58:28	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x4f96dc…
07-15 19:56:50	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xab9a26…
07-13 23:58:38	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0x25e469…
07-13 23:55:50	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	101	85¢	$86	0x3d7677…
07-13 23:02:05	over 80m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325659 166	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x50d241…