Realized P&L
+$30.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$12.9K
Hit rate
59.8%
Resolved
5,924
Trades
27,106
lifetime
Volume
$1.25M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$36.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 17:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 303 days
Categories
Other
63% 54% +$16,931
Politics
25% 55% +$6,333
Sports
8% 51% +$7,332
Tech
2% 55% +$442
Crypto
1% 55% -$173
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$36
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 523 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? Yes +6,364 $3,167 98¢ $6.2K +$3,047 11-05 12:20
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +4,605 $329 99¢ $4.6K +$4,246 11-04 05:24
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +3,000 $2,946 99¢ $3.0K +$10 11-13 17:38
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +2,480 $539 100¢ $2.5K +$1,932 11-04 05:11
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,710 $1,385 99¢ $1.7K +$300 11-05 19:58
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? No +1,711 $1,542 94¢ $1.6K +$66 11-08 11:25
Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 80k? No +1,151 $334 95¢ $1.1K +$763 11-08 11:26
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +1,012 $200 99¢ $1.0K +$807 11-01 16:50
Will Snoop Dogg appear at the 2026 NFL Christmas Day halftime show? No +1,068 $927 90¢ $955 +$29 11-13 04:19
Will US gas hit $3.85 (Low) in November? Yes +950 $498 98¢ $932 +$434 11-05 19:35
Will Barron Trump attend Super Bowl LXI? No +1,032 $657 86¢ $888 +$231 11-12 11:01
Will Andrea Bocelli appear at the 2026 NFL Christmas Day halftime show? No +918 $734 89¢ $817 +$83 11-13 16:31
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +1,000 $940 82¢ $815 -$125 10-08 11:30
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +822 $804 99¢ $810 +$6 11-10 17:35
Manchester City punishment announced by November 20? No +807 $631 98¢ $793 +$163 11-07 09:23
Will "Ghost Soldier" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +787 $706 100¢ $783 +$77 11-10 15:42
Will Ezra Frech be eliminated in week 10 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? No +772 $722 98¢ $753 +$30 11-12 05:22
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? No +730 $593 98¢ $713 +$120 11-04 14:20
Will EJAE appear at the 2026 NFL Christmas Day halftime show? No +837 $711 82¢ $690 -$21 11-13 17:25
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? No +1,037 $686 66¢ $689 +$3 11-08 11:25
Will Hunter Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? No +762 $605 85¢ $648 +$43 10-13 14:18
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31? No +646 $593 96¢ $622 +$29 11-10 09:42
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%? Yes +594 $503 96¢ $569 +$66 11-05 08:09
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? No +681 $491 84¢ $568 +$78 11-07 20:08
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $31.75B by November 30? No +546 $274 95¢ $520 +$246 11-10 01:12
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +500 $441 100¢ $499 +$58 10-31 18:21
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +508 $486 98¢ $496 +$9 10-07 19:52
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No +506 $504 98¢ $493 -$11 10-31 12:47
will bitcoin hit 100k by december 31 2026 No +500 $350 96¢ $482 +$132 08-21 08:59
Will Rei Ami appear at the 2026 NFL Christmas Day halftime show? No +534 $464 88¢ $470 +$6 11-13 10:46