Realized P&L
+$30.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$16.3K
Hit rate
59.8%
Resolved
5,926
Trades
27,238
lifetime
Volume
$1.26M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$43.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 01:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 303 days
Categories
Other
63% 54% +$16,951
Politics
25% 55% +$6,333
Sports
8% 51% +$7,332
Tech
2% 55% +$442
Crypto
1% 55% -$173
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$36
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 523 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? Yes +6,364 $3,167 98¢ $6.2K +$3,050 11-05 12:20
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +4,605 $329 99¢ $4.6K +$4,250 11-04 05:24
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +3,000 $2,946 99¢ $3.0K +$16 11-13 17:38
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +2,480 $539 100¢ $2.5K +$1,932 11-04 05:11
Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 11:00 PM ET? Yes +1,951 $861 100¢ $1.9K +$1,088 11-14 01:25
Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 9:00 PM ET? Yes +1,933 $1,418 100¢ $1.9K +$512 11-14 01:34
Will EJAE appear at the 2026 NFL Christmas Day halftime show? No +2,061 $1,755 90¢ $1.9K +$110 11-14 01:51
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,710 $1,385 98¢ $1.7K +$291 11-05 19:58
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? No +1,711 $1,542 94¢ $1.6K +$66 11-08 11:25
Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 60k? No +2,507 $247 57¢ $1.4K +$1,171 11-12 04:51
Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 14, 12:00 AM ET? Yes +1,280 $761 100¢ $1.3K +$517 11-14 01:25
Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 80k? No +1,151 $334 95¢ $1.1K +$763 11-08 11:26
Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 8:00 PM ET? No +1,040 $938 100¢ $1.0K +$97 11-14 01:19
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +1,012 $200 99¢ $1.0K +$807 11-01 16:50
Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 10:00 PM ET? Yes +1,000 $638 100¢ $999 +$362 11-14 01:28
Will Snoop Dogg appear at the 2026 NFL Christmas Day halftime show? No +1,068 $927 90¢ $955 +$29 11-13 04:19
Will US gas hit $3.85 (Low) in November? Yes +950 $498 99¢ $939 +$441 11-05 19:35
Will Audrey Nuna appear at the 2026 NFL Christmas Day halftime show? No +983 $824 94¢ $924 +$100 11-14 01:42
Will Barron Trump attend Super Bowl LXI? No +1,032 $657 86¢ $888 +$231 11-12 11:01
Will Andrea Bocelli appear at the 2026 NFL Christmas Day halftime show? No +918 $734 90¢ $822 +$88 11-13 16:31
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +1,000 $940 82¢ $815 -$125 10-08 11:30
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +822 $804 97¢ $799 -$4 11-10 17:35
Manchester City punishment announced by November 20? No +807 $631 98¢ $794 +$163 11-07 09:23
Will "Ghost Soldier" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +787 $706 100¢ $784 +$78 11-10 15:42
Will Ezra Frech be eliminated in week 10 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? No +772 $722 98¢ $753 +$30 11-12 05:22
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? No +730 $593 98¢ $713 +$121 11-04 14:20
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? No +1,037 $686 66¢ $689 +$3 11-08 11:25
Will Hunter Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? No +762 $605 85¢ $648 +$43 10-13 14:18
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31? No +646 $593 96¢ $622 +$29 11-10 09:42
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? No +681 $491 84¢ $568 +$78 11-07 20:08