Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$72
Hit rate
84.3%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,223
lifetime
Volume
$19.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$1.68K
21 positions
First seen
2026-04-30
last 07-23 14:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
60%
Other
37% 50% $-3
Tech
3%
Sports
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 360 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +562 $422 80¢ $447 +$25 07-05 09:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +409 $311 70¢ $284 $-27 07-23 00:03
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +221 $166 82¢ $180 +$15 07-09 10:02
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +161 $155 96¢ $154 $-0 07-14 09:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +106 $91 99¢ $105 +$14 07-06 16:06
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +109 $93 90¢ $97 +$4 07-06 03:52
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? No +94 $81 86¢ $81 +$0 07-23 05:32
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +86 $79 94¢ $80 +$1 07-17 01:20
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +135 $59 40¢ $53 $-6 07-09 01:49
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +44 $38 90¢ $39 +$2 06-16 03:05
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +43 $11 88¢ $37 +$26 07-19 10:34
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +41 $36 90¢ $37 +$1 06-30 14:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +40 $26 76¢ $31 +$5 07-08 15:31
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +71 $24 32¢ $23 $-1 07-06 05:46
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +21 $7 100¢ $20 +$14 06-20 13:52
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? No -7 $-3 50¢ $-4 $-0 06-03 07:13
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No -3 $-1 48¢ $-1 +$0 06-03 05:54
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No -2 $-1 50¢ $-1 $-0 06-03 07:14
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? Yes -2 $-1 50¢ $-1 $-0 06-03 06:41
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 +$0 06-28 15:50
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +0 $0 91¢ $0 +$0 06-14 07:24