Idealistic-Valance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,441

lifetime

Volume

$25.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-12 19:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

52% — —

Other

44% 50% $-3

Tech

4% — —

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 360 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	313	$2.2K	2,113	1,694	+420	open	—	06-17 16:21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	58	$1.7K	2,423	584	+1,840	open	—	06-30 12:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	36	$1.7K	1,232	1,232	+0	open	—	07-23 05:04
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	15	$1.3K	770	671	+99	open	—	06-20 14:47
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	24	$1.2K	1,353	1,147	+206	open	—	07-06 03:56
us x china tariff agreement by december 31	22	$1.1K	601	601	-0	open	—	07-25 09:19
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	50	$864	758	392	+366	open	—	07-30 15:57
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	3	$770	465	423	+43	open	—	07-19 10:34
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	73	$741	900	748	+152	open	—	06-17 18:34
will trump speak to xi jinping in june	6	$675	629	115	+514	open	—	06-24 14:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	5	$670	609	292	+317	open	—	07-30 15:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	18	$566	522	138	+384	open	—	06-29 11:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	41	$560	302	271	+30	open	—	06-06 00:38
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	14	$541	405	249	+156	open	—	07-27 14:09
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	7	$517	489	194	+295	open	—	06-30 16:57
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	4	$453	263	263	+0	open	—	08-04 12:33
will zywoo reach 36 hltv mvp awards by december 31 2026	6	$419	613	0	+613	open	—	07-24 17:25
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	9	$397	208	198	+10	open	—	06-26 15:47
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	22	$381	295	233	+63	open	—	06-20 14:03
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	11	$334	307	307	+0	open	—	08-04 09:07
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	6	$309	161	161	+0	open	—	07-24 11:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	7	$305	232	232	+0	open	—	08-04 11:37
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	4	$285	204	108	+96	open	—	07-27 14:11
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	5	$257	200	175	+25	open	—	07-26 16:37
Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?	6	$250	256	0	+256	open	—	07-24 15:00
spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	3	$243	205	41	+164	open	—	06-12 19:31
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	11	$217	266	164	+102	open	—	06-21 07:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	7	$190	267	0	+267	open	—	06-30 10:32
will openais astra model be released by september 30 2026 20260801214557732	5	$183	195	114	+81	open	—	08-10 09:06
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	5	$183	164	50	+114	open	—	08-12 16:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 19:40:18	cs2 9z pain 2026 08 12	paiN	BUY	9	38¢	$4	0x57f861…
08-12 19:40:18	cs2 9z pain 2026 08 12	paiN	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x5496b3…
08-12 19:39:00	cs2 lvg mouz 2026 08 12	Lynn Vision	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x123fea…
08-12 19:35:12	cs2 lvg mouz 2026 08 12	Lynn Vision	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x4d0ba2…
08-12 19:34:18	cs2 lvg mouz 2026 08 12	Lynn Vision	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0xe9c887…
08-12 19:11:00	kimi k4 released by october 31 2026 20260722184115884	Yes	BUY	117	11¢	$13	0xf76ba6…
08-12 18:50:39	cs2 vit 100t 2026 08 12	100 Thieves	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x90f6bf…
08-12 18:45:30	cs2 vit 100t 2026 08 12	100 Thieves	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x693d72…
08-12 18:45:25	cs2 vit 100t 2026 08 12	100 Thieves	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x693b98…
08-12 16:53:45	nvda up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	37	47¢	$18	0x3a6156…
08-12 16:22:49	cs2 navi 3dmax 2026 08 12	3DMAX	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x051052…
08-12 16:02:54	Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	No	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0x298f32…
08-12 15:48:46	cs2 bb3 faze 2026 08 12	BetBoom Team	SELL	13	48¢	$6	0x3efb76…
08-12 15:33:42	cs2 bb3 faze 2026 08 12	BetBoom Team	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0x6b3309…
08-12 15:33:24	cs2 bb3 faze 2026 08 12	BetBoom Team	SELL	25	18¢	$4	0x300b6c…
08-12 15:28:30	cs2 bb3 faze 2026 08 12	BetBoom Team	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0xdfc182…
08-12 15:28:24	cs2 bb3 faze 2026 08 12	BetBoom Team	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x07b9b6…
08-12 14:22:24	cs2 fal2 k271 2026 08 12	K27	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0x700cf5…
08-12 14:11:12	cs2 fal2 k271 2026 08 12	K27	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x8f7b57…
08-12 14:10:43	cs2 fal2 k271 2026 08 12	K27	BUY	65	4¢	$3	0x015949…
08-12 14:00:09	cs2 fal2 k271 2026 08 12	K27	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x1c7d07…
08-12 13:58:09	cs2 fal2 k271 2026 08 12	K27	BUY	70	8¢	$6	0xab50c4…
08-12 12:25:01	cs2 mgc mglz 2026 08 12	TheMongolz	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x4d6100…
08-12 08:15:42	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	37	32¢	$12	0xc6228e…
08-12 05:24:54	kimi k4 released by december 31 2026 20260722184115885	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x89dd7a…
08-12 04:58:19	kimi k4 released by december 31 2026 20260722184115885	Yes	BUY	59	12¢	$7	0x48b866…
08-11 13:21:51	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	BUY	378	20¢	$76	0x1bafff…
08-11 11:48:01	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	54¢	$29	0x8a92b2…
08-11 11:11:34	kimi k4 released by december 31 2026 20260722184115885	Yes	BUY	69	15¢	$10	0x3e0b2e…
08-11 07:26:15	kimi k4 released by december 31 2026 20260722184115885	Yes	BUY	39	15¢	$6	0xd61015…
08-11 05:23:25	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	No	BUY	101	27¢	$27	0x8dbd46…
08-11 03:47:55	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	BUY	36	59¢	$21	0x5e332c…
08-10 10:12:24	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	116	23¢	$27	0xea7ae2…
08-10 09:38:21	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x9cc79a…
08-10 09:06:34	will openais astra model be released by september 30 2026 20260801214557732	Yes	SELL	92	66¢	$60	0x0e70f8…
08-10 09:06:04	will openais astra model be released by september 30 2026 20260801214557732	Yes	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xa3a30b…
08-10 09:06:00	will openais astra model be released by september 30 2026 20260801214557732	Yes	SELL	19	66¢	$13	0xed89a9…
08-10 07:34:34	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	105	4¢	$4	0xd63fc6…
08-10 07:03:34	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x9de1a9…
08-10 02:04:31	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xbbd243…
08-09 23:46:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x7aa3ec…
08-09 22:21:42	will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xa8c322…
08-09 22:09:33	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xbb0fa3…
08-09 21:09:52	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x469a33…
08-09 19:15:09	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	BUY	126	72¢	$91	0x1b6add…
08-09 19:04:25	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x0dd3ca…
08-09 19:04:19	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x0c0c7e…
08-09 15:35:49	will xauusd dip to 4000 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x3b921a…
08-09 15:23:18	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xaf951a…
08-09 15:17:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	150	47¢	$70	0x36a366…
08-09 13:34:57	cs2 100t bcg 2026 08 09	100 Thieves	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x608529…
08-09 01:14:40	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	81	23¢	$19	0xd18c34…
08-09 01:14:39	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc84497…
08-08 12:21:12	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x3db92a…
08-08 12:21:10	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	No	BUY	51	74¢	$38	0x0e88c1…
08-08 09:51:54	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	85	9¢	$8	0xbc9258…
08-07 15:40:54	will super troopers 3 score at least 30 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173654501	No	BUY	3	19¢	$1	0xc862f1…
08-07 15:37:49	will super troopers 3 score at least 30 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173654501	No	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x2e6701…
08-06 16:12:20	will super troopers 3 score at least 30 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173654501	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xa5aac7…
08-06 15:08:38	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	80	14¢	$12	0xf2465d…
08-06 14:57:08	will openais astra model be released by october 31 2026 20260801214557733	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xa889b6…
08-06 14:55:12	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	367	4¢	$16	0x19c659…
08-06 14:46:36	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x69859f…
08-06 14:43:11	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xe5d5f8…
08-06 14:31:36	will super troopers 3 score at least 30 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173654501	No	BUY	43	24¢	$10	0x1b80b2…
08-06 13:25:14	will one night only score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260804175420047	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8fbd98…
08-06 12:48:59	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xaeee6f…
08-05 19:08:45	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x9a8c5e…
08-05 18:32:59	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	13	65¢	$9	0x062246…
08-05 17:23:18	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x7d4b9c…
08-05 17:22:33	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xdfa3a1…
08-05 17:18:39	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	57	62¢	$35	0xa2189d…
08-05 16:38:56	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	49	13¢	$6	0x893236…
08-05 16:38:39	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x2fe6b6…
08-05 16:25:11	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0x5ed0b9…
08-05 16:21:03	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xe0a225…
08-05 16:20:24	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0xffcb4c…
08-05 16:19:35	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$2	0x9f7a2c…
08-05 16:19:32	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	21	17¢	$4	0x2e1f12…
08-05 16:19:18	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	28	16¢	$5	0x761769…
08-05 16:19:18	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2fbedb…
08-05 16:18:45	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	22	16¢	$3	0x6cc573…
08-05 16:12:18	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	14	25¢	$3	0x2dc784…
08-05 16:11:23	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x12237f…
08-05 16:07:20	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	55	22¢	$12	0x9a9544…
08-05 16:06:50	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	28	22¢	$6	0x971307…
08-05 16:02:53	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	82	31¢	$26	0x52878c…
08-05 15:57:56	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	56	15¢	$8	0x86390e…
08-05 15:55:45	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	28	15¢	$4	0x8b7374…
08-05 15:40:15	Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	No	BUY	1	58¢	$0	0x6a9fdc…
08-05 15:08:20	Benedict Wong as Wong?	No	BUY	49	39¢	$19	0xdb5515…
08-05 15:02:36	Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xc11deb…
08-05 14:31:20	Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	No	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0x6a130c…
08-05 14:31:15	Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	No	BUY	18	58¢	$11	0x7957c0…
08-04 23:26:29	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xde75f7…
08-04 22:30:00	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	35	47¢	$16	0x8f2f69…
08-04 22:18:35	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0xb50d49…
08-04 22:12:42	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xdbf2df…
08-04 18:00:35	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x25d5e0…
08-04 17:52:33	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0xfd8e63…