Idealistic-Valance 0x191e35…c1ef6b
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
84.3%
Resolved
2
Trades
224
lifetime
Volume
$1.62K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$163
23 positions
First seen
2026-04-30
last 06-12 10:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
50% 50% $-3
Politics
33% — —
Tech
14% — —
Sports
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +30 $30 99¢ $30 +$0 06-06 00:38
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +31 $27 88¢ $28 +$0 06-11 22:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +23 $17 74¢ $17 $-0 06-07 11:21
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +17 $12 70¢ $12 +$0 06-11 22:33
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-12 13:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +12 $10 70¢ $8 $-2 06-10 11:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -11 $-7 74¢ $-8 $-1 06-08 00:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +9 $7 82¢ $7 $-0 06-12 08:24
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +15 $3 38¢ $6 +$3 06-08 09:59
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No +12 $5 44¢ $5 $-0 06-12 13:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +29 $3 16¢ $5 +$2 06-11 17:12
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +6 $5 77¢ $5 +$0 06-08 13:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +14 $3 30¢ $4 +$2 06-11 17:09
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +37 $10 12¢ $4 $-6 06-10 18:37
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? No -7 $-3 50¢ $-4 $-0 06-03 07:13
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +3 $2 89¢ $3 +$0 06-12 06:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +7 $2 26¢ $2 $-0 06-03 17:28
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +2 $1 71¢ $1 +$0 06-12 13:21
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No -3 $-1 49¢ $-1 +$0 06-03 05:54
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No -2 $-1 50¢ $-1 $-0 06-03 07:14
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? Yes -2 $-1 50¢ $-1 $-0 06-03 06:41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $1 50¢ $0 $-0 06-05 05:36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +0 $2 57¢ $0 $-2 06-07 10:02