Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$19
Hit rate
84.3%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,088
lifetime
Volume
$14.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$938
17 positions
First seen
2026-04-30
last 07-03 07:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
70%
Other
27% 50% $-3
Tech
3%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 360 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +449 $335 78¢ $348 +$13 06-30 12:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +319 $299 100¢ $318 +$18 06-29 11:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +107 $98 82¢ $88 $-9 06-30 16:57
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +83 $58 72¢ $59 +$1 06-25 03:20
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +44 $38 93¢ $41 +$3 06-16 03:05
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +41 $36 86¢ $35 $-1 06-30 14:08
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +21 $7 100¢ $20 +$14 06-20 13:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +9 $7 88¢ $8 +$0 06-12 08:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +32 $24 24¢ $8 $-16 06-24 10:20
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 06-29 08:14
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? No -7 $-3 50¢ $-4 $-0 06-03 07:13
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No -2 $-1 50¢ $-1 $-0 06-03 07:14
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No -3 $-1 44¢ $-1 +$0 06-03 05:54
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? Yes -2 $-1 50¢ $-1 $-0 06-03 06:41
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 +$0 06-28 15:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +65 $6 $0 $-6 06-19 10:42
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +0 $0 91¢ $0 +$0 06-14 07:24