Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$95
Trades
49
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$1,333
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-07
last 07-13 18:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $5 | $16 | $11 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $5 | $42 | $37 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $8 | $1 | +$7 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $2 | $14 | $12 |
| Median | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 4 | $2 | $42 | $41 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | No | +45 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 06-25 05:13 |
| Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | +45 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 06-25 05:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | +44 | $1 | $5 | 8 | 07-13 09:47 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-25 05:13 |
| Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-25 05:13 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 10 | 07-13 18:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $1 | 5 | 07-13 18:35 |
| That-Percent 0xb5c4…cb3b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-04 14:07 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 10:14 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 03:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 18:35:14 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe249fa… |
| 07-13 18:35:14 | Euphoric-Snowplow 0x7257…fc40 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe249fa… |
| 07-13 18:35:14 | (anonymous) 0x1bdf…1b74 | No | SELL | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0xe249fa… |
| 07-13 18:35:14 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe249fa… |
| 07-13 09:47:07 | (anonymous) 0x0729…c50e | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x23b9aa… |
| 07-13 09:47:07 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x23b9aa… |
| 07-04 14:07:11 | That-Percent 0xb5c4…cb3b | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x7badff… |
| 07-04 14:07:11 | (anonymous) 0x0729…c50e | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x7badff… |
| 07-01 19:21:44 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x999699… |
| 07-01 19:21:44 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x999699… |
| 07-01 19:20:55 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xaeeb22… |
| 07-01 19:20:55 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xaeeb22… |
| 07-01 19:20:55 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xaeeb22… |
| 07-01 16:54:23 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf9467d… |
| 07-01 16:54:23 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf9467d… |
| 07-01 16:54:23 | Euphoric-Snowplow 0x7257…fc40 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf9467d… |
| 07-01 16:54:23 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xf9467d… |
| 07-01 16:54:23 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf9467d… |
| 07-01 12:42:29 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc14701… |
| 07-01 12:42:29 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc14701… |
| 07-01 12:42:29 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc14701… |
| 07-01 12:42:22 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe89178… |
| 07-01 12:42:22 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe89178… |
| 07-01 12:42:04 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf8c964… |
| 07-01 12:42:04 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf8c964… |
| 07-01 12:42:04 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf8c964… |
| 06-25 05:13:26 | Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x7a36e4… |
| 06-25 05:13:26 | Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x7a36e4… |
| 06-25 05:13:26 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x7a36e4… |
| 06-25 05:13:23 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 15 | 89¢ | $13 | 0x9cfe0d… |
| 06-25 05:13:23 | Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x9cfe0d… |
| 06-25 05:13:22 | Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | No | BUY | 15 | 89¢ | $13 | 0xf86039… |
| 06-25 05:13:22 | Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xf86039… |
| 06-25 05:13:22 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xf86039… |
| 06-25 04:53:56 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x5eb2fb… |
| 06-25 04:53:56 | Euphoric-Snowplow 0x7257…fc40 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5eb2fb… |
| 06-25 04:53:56 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x5eb2fb… |
| 06-25 04:53:56 | Elastic-Banquette 0x386f…db83 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5eb2fb… |
| 06-25 02:47:43 | (anonymous) 0x4247…91c4 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x86352a… |
| 06-25 02:47:43 | Elastic-Banquette 0x386f…db83 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x86352a… |
| 06-25 02:47:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x86352a… |
| 06-15 03:41:19 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x606059… |
| 06-15 03:41:19 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x606059… |
| 06-07 10:14:19 | Elastic-Banquette 0x386f…db83 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe973cb… |
| 06-07 10:14:19 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xe973cb… |
| 06-07 10:14:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x663d3f… |
| 06-07 10:14:10 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x663d3f… |
| 06-07 10:11:36 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x013ad3… |
| 06-07 10:11:36 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x013ad3… |