Realized P&L
+$656
Unrealized P&L
-$277
Hit rate
78.7%
Resolved
170
Trades
863
lifetime
Volume
$114.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$133
Open exposure
$4.57K
14 positions
First seen
2026-02-14
last 09-21 09:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 65 days
Categories
Other
54% 80% +$1,457
Politics
38% 70% -$2,120
Tech
4% 89% +$1,187
Crypto
3% 57% +$84
Sports
1% 100% +$47
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? No -1,354 -$1,016 93¢ $-1255 -$239 05-01 14:29
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -927 -$733 94¢ $-876 -$144 05-01 14:29
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? No +600 $498 92¢ $549 +$51 09-04 13:14
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -500 -$435 97¢ $-484 -$49 05-01 15:49
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -500 -$240 68¢ $-338 -$98 05-07 19:29
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +300 $255 94¢ $280 +$25 08-06 03:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -300 -$204 80¢ $-240 -$36 05-01 14:37
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +200 $136 97¢ $194 +$58 07-25 07:29
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? No -187 -$167 94¢ $-175 -$8 05-01 14:27
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +100 $88 97¢ $97 +$9 07-27 06:32
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -578 -$93 8¢ $-43 +$49 05-01 14:35
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -300 -$111 8¢ $-25 +$86 05-01 14:35
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No -100 -$31 11¢ $-11 +$20 05-07 19:34
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? No -5 -$4 94¢ $-5 -$1 05-07 19:33