Babyish-Protest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$224

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

70.4%

Resolved

5,376

Trades

10,624

lifetime

Volume

$67.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$156

12 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 08-20 11:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 165 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 73% +$190

Other

11% 54% -$256

Politics

3% 16% -$78

Tech

1% 14% -$52

Sports

1% 20% -$25

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	Yes	+50	$30	70¢	$35	+$4	06-04 00:10
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	+33	$12	98¢	$33	+$21	05-17 19:13
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?	No	+38	$24	72¢	$27	+$3	05-14 02:18
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	+22	$12	96¢	$21	+$9	05-31 01:32
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	No	+50	$31	30¢	$15	-$16	06-04 00:15
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?	Yes	+38	$14	29¢	$11	-$4	05-15 10:14
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?	No	+10	$5	76¢	$8	+$2	05-20 19:06
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3	$3	94¢	$3	+$0	06-01 23:20
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?	Yes	+10	$5	24¢	$3	-$2	05-20 19:07
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	No	+23	$11	4¢	$1	-$10	05-31 01:33
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	No	+33	$23	2¢	$0	-$23	05-17 11:46
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	+3	$0	6¢	$0	$0	06-01 23:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	17	$405	605	202	+403	No	-$3	06-04 12:03
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 4?	14	$361	408	205	+204	Yes	-$4	06-04 06:58
NBA: SGA Award Parlay	12	$216	293	118	+175	No	-$24	05-31 00:23
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 in May?	7	$162	160	160	+0	Yes	-$1	05-12 17:31
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?	9	$156	303	3	+300	Yes	-$3	06-05 14:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 18:30 UTC	6	$155	96	72	+24	Up	+$9	02-04 18:41
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	6	$149	153	153	+0	No	-$2	05-15 09:19
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?	9	$131	204	81	+123	No	-$4	05-30 21:56
Will NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 75% and 76%?	6	$121	231	1	+230	Yes	-$4	05-15 10:13
spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	4	$113	91	50	+41	Up	$0	06-11 08:57
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	8	$111	219	2	+217	No	-$1	06-09 15:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?	4	$110	97	50	+47	No	-$1	06-03 06:59
Will Hyperbeat launch a token by June 30, 2027?	3	$110	172	62	+110	open	—	05-28 12:56
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	1	$110	116	0	+116	No	+$6	05-17 14:05
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 12?	4	$107	102	102	+0	No	+$3	06-12 05:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 01:30 UTC	14	$105	64	49	+14	Down	+$8	03-17 01:45
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	8	$104	203	3	+200	Yes	-$1	06-04 10:22
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in June?	5	$103	101	101	+0	No	+$0	06-01 21:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?	6	$103	199	2	+197	No	-$3	06-04 08:54
Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?	6	$101	100	100	+0	Yes	$0	06-10 14:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 14:45 UTC	20	$98	72	48	+24	Down	+$5	01-28 14:59
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of June 1 2026?	7	$94	150	50	+100	Yes	-$1	06-03 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 17:05 UTC	9	$94	52	52	+0	Down	+$5	03-24 17:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 17:00 UTC	4	$93	48	48	+0	Down	+$1	02-04 17:15
Will Mario Almici win the 2026 Legnano mayoral election?	6	$92	183	3	+180	No	-$1	06-03 22:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 16:15 UTC	7	$91	51	43	+8	Up	+$3	03-17 16:30
will yeet launch a token by december 31 2026	6	$91	123	60	+63	open	—	06-10 06:09
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?	5	$91	180	2	+178	Yes	+$1	05-17 06:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 14:30 UTC	7	$88	48	48	+0	Up	+$4	02-05 14:43
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	2	$88	73	73	+0	No	-$2	05-15 14:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-20 11:06:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2336f4…
07-19 21:34:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x18c6a6…
07-19 19:19:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0453f7…
07-19 14:18:18	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 19	India	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4bb0bb…
06-12 09:20:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x23c623…
06-12 09:19:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe2a488…
06-12 09:17:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 09:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	25¢	$3	0xc902b7…
06-12 09:16:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0xca58fc…
06-12 09:16:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x1256f3…
06-12 09:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on June 12?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xf46eaf…
06-12 09:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x08578c…
06-12 09:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0xa7a4c3…
06-12 08:07:37	morgan rogers 20260609175104695	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xa332bb…
06-12 08:05:01	morgan rogers 20260609175104695	No	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x631be4…
06-12 08:04:58	morgan rogers 20260609175104695	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x55e6bf…
06-12 08:04:55	morgan rogers 20260609175104695	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x6258ac…
06-12 05:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 12?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x81a159…
06-11 22:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	52	10¢	$5	0x61e6a9…
06-11 22:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	52	13¢	$7	0x465e96…
06-11 22:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 12?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xb2dc7c…
06-11 12:59:13	nba finals wemby to record 20 rebounds in a game	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x5bbf3d…
06-11 12:59:07	nba finals wemby to record 20 rebounds in a game	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xab6eda…
06-11 08:57:13	spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	Up	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x217f52…
06-11 08:57:09	spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x4cad32…
06-11 08:27:36	spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xb56b82…
06-11 08:27:12	spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfef3df…
06-11 03:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xae5952…
06-11 03:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	29	9¢	$3	0xe8db83…
06-11 03:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 11?	No	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0x0593fb…
06-11 03:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 11?	No	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x0c21be…
06-11 02:03:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x339bdb…
06-11 02:03:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 11?	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x21ba58…
06-10 21:54:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xbbbeed…
06-10 21:53:28	will wti dip to 85 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	22	93¢	$21	0x32c04e…
06-10 21:53:13	will wti dip to 85 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x593386…
06-10 21:03:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x4b6169…
06-10 15:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 12?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x53e3da…
06-10 15:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2513f1…
06-10 14:53:48	Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x31962a…
06-10 12:37:15	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Up	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x9eb801…
06-10 12:36:54	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x264a20…
06-10 06:14:19	will mark juncosa be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212484	No	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0x9896e7…
06-10 06:14:09	will mark juncosa be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212484	No	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0xaaf6cb…
06-10 06:09:36	will yeet launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0x19d94d…
06-10 00:08:37	will yeet launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	31	73¢	$23	0x3692dc…
06-09 23:50:40	will yeet launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0x7d0638…
06-09 23:48:04	will yeet launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0x5964e0…
06-09 23:48:01	will yeet launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x2481df…
06-09 23:47:58	will yeet launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x96886b…
06-09 20:01:52	russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026 20260609011545513	No	SELL	30	58¢	$18	0xa8b3a2…
06-09 20:00:54	russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026 20260609011545513	Yes	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0xb67a8e…
06-09 20:00:52	russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026 20260609011545513	No	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xc5535b…
06-09 20:00:49	russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026 20260609011545513	Yes	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x68ddc9…
06-09 18:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x30f1ec…
06-09 17:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xe117be…
06-09 15:03:39	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	No	SELL	1	68¢	$0	0x03ef0f…
06-09 15:02:22	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	No	BUY	51	69¢	$35	0x6390a0…
06-09 15:02:21	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x2ee5e4…
06-09 14:57:48	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Up	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x91d1d5…
06-09 14:56:45	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Down	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x0bdbed…
06-09 14:50:34	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	Yes	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0xfe2ca6…
06-09 14:49:25	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	Yes	BUY	51	33¢	$17	0x4a5506…
06-09 14:49:21	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xa5aec0…
06-09 14:41:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x40b826…
06-09 14:41:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x6932ab…
06-09 13:42:16	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	Yes	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0xbc1551…
06-09 13:40:55	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xc19ac7…
06-09 13:40:40	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x128e4e…
06-09 12:25:43	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	No	BUY	51	70¢	$35	0xbbcaae…
06-09 12:25:37	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x4de621…
06-09 12:00:01	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xb6147e…
06-09 11:59:42	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	No	BUY	9	63¢	$5	0xda026d…
06-09 11:34:27	Will Claude Mythos be released on June 10?	No	BUY	51	85¢	$43	0x0b10d0…
06-09 11:34:22	Will Claude Mythos be released on June 10?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xce00c1…
06-09 10:21:33	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	No	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x810928…
06-09 10:21:27	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xd53b22…
06-09 10:15:09	will usd reach 1pt9m iranian rials by june 30	No	BUY	25	73¢	$18	0x455836…
06-09 10:14:54	will usd reach 1pt9m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xbe125a…
06-09 10:14:52	will usd reach 1pt9m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x7da804…
06-09 07:18:40	Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?	Yes	BUY	51	58¢	$29	0xc711d8…
06-09 07:18:39	Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x7713f6…
06-09 07:16:31	will spencer pratt call for 1st round recount 20260608160956723	No	SELL	18	67¢	$12	0x9b1393…
06-08 21:58:25	will spencer pratt call for 1st round recount 20260608160956723	No	SELL	32	77¢	$24	0xd2d08b…
06-08 21:58:22	will spencer pratt call for 1st round recount 20260608160956723	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x61c06c…
06-08 19:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 9?	No	SELL	4	67¢	$2	0x8b3da0…
06-08 19:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 9?	No	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0x95c5a3…
06-08 18:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 9?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x279364…
06-08 18:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x45f875…
06-08 17:33:01	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x615635…
06-08 17:31:45	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x74b5df…
06-08 17:31:31	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd18c5e…
06-08 17:31:31	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x53b7fd…
06-08 17:31:31	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2a742f…
06-08 16:22:01	will the malaysian house of representatives be dissolved by june 30 2027 20260604155615148	Yes	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x1f5471…
06-08 16:21:54	will the malaysian house of representatives be dissolved by june 30 2027 20260604155615148	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xf90961…
06-08 14:34:37	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	No	BUY	51	85¢	$43	0x5cd3d6…
06-08 14:34:34	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xbc3aae…
06-08 14:18:34	will ukraine re enter maliivka by december 31	Yes	BUY	52	32¢	$16	0xfbb06b…
06-08 14:18:22	will ukraine re enter maliivka by december 31	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x107893…
06-08 12:14:40	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0xc1f904…