Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.2%

Resolved

Trades

3,440

lifetime

Volume

$3.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-19 10:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

61% 33% $-2

Politics

33% 60% +$1

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

1% 0% $-0

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will clavicular be the top ranked chad by march 31	162	$134	150	150	+0	open	—	03-15 10:53
will global temperature increase by less than 1pt10c in march 2026	97	$100	56	55	+1	open	—	03-13 01:56
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 250M by May 1?	55	$89	45	45	+0	open	—	04-06 20:19
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	58	$83	64	64	+0	open	—	04-07 23:55
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	69	$81	48	39	+9	open	—	04-08 00:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	48	$78	42	42	+0	open	—	04-30 20:15
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	65	$77	55	55	+0	open	—	04-08 03:13
will iran strike israel on march 10	74	$67	91	73	+18	open	—	03-13 09:26
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	20	$66	398	79	+319	open	—	04-20 08:29
will m5 be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	19	$62	93	93	+0	open	—	03-05 12:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	47	$56	80	80	+0	open	—	05-01 06:48
will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be less than 8m	15	$54	74	65	+8	open	—	04-12 21:31
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	34	$48	55	55	+0	open	—	03-22 15:55
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	46	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	05-01 07:06
will february 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record	56	$44	27	27	+0	open	—	03-10 10:26
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 180m and 190m	48	$42	52	49	+3	open	—	04-06 19:33
will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 75m and 80m	26	$40	66	66	+0	open	—	03-21 06:01
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	24	$38	32	30	+2	open	—	03-25 08:08
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	38	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	05-01 07:30
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	26	$35	24	24	+0	Yes	$-1	04-07 07:09
will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be between 10m and 11m	12	$34	56	56	+0	open	—	04-10 16:13
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	24	$34	81	81	+0	open	—	04-08 11:12
will ipad be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	21	$32	65	72	-7	open	—	03-04 16:09
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	32	$31	25	24	+1	open	—	04-07 23:16
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	18	$31	24	24	+0	open	—	03-27 20:00
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	30	$31	27	22	+5	open	—	04-08 04:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	32	$31	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	05-09 04:26
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	25	$30	25	25	+0	open	—	05-01 06:55
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	26	$30	29	29	+0	open	—	04-07 22:21
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 190m and 200m	29	$29	43	34	+9	open	—	04-06 00:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 10:21:26	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xf51e27…
05-26 11:51:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd059e9…
05-26 11:51:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xee65b5…
05-26 11:35:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x16642b…
05-26 11:35:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8f82ce…
05-26 10:38:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x26e76b…
05-26 10:32:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xabc51c…
05-26 10:32:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x12524b…
05-16 22:33:53	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x22028e…
05-16 22:33:41	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xcc7546…
05-16 22:14:55	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xde5fe7…
05-16 22:12:34	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x666577…
05-16 20:14:03	Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x85db0c…
05-15 09:34:48	Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x51bee9…
05-15 09:34:27	Will United Kingdom be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x63af45…
05-15 09:34:25	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xb19654…
05-15 09:34:25	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8103a4…
05-15 09:34:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xb9d739…
05-15 09:34:21	Will Germany be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7ca7ec…
05-15 09:34:21	Will Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0d6386…
05-15 09:34:20	Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x297e8f…
05-15 09:34:20	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	81¢	$8	0x010723…
05-15 06:05:24	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0e1b57…
05-14 21:16:28	Will Latvia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb839ab…
05-14 19:52:11	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0xbf122a…
05-14 19:52:00	Will Cyprus be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb06dc6…
05-14 18:20:41	Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x98c62c…
05-14 18:17:23	Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x34e7ec…
05-14 16:12:52	Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x10cabe…
05-14 16:09:00	Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x072938…
05-14 11:30:38	Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0xc67487…
05-14 11:08:08	Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xfcb1ab…
05-14 10:42:55	Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xc71450…
05-14 09:44:43	Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x646f6c…
05-14 08:48:47	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3360e0…
05-14 08:31:48	Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x3b7e33…
05-14 07:11:55	Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xbf3dcb…
05-13 23:09:42	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xe1e103…
05-13 22:56:05	Will Azerbaijan be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x03b867…
05-13 22:32:47	Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xfe40db…
05-13 22:30:55	Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xef160b…
05-13 19:25:13	Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x6d0a67…
05-13 16:00:49	Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xae50a9…
05-13 15:37:36	Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x787568…
05-13 09:39:38	Will Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x73fb7d…
05-13 06:47:10	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x0cd6b6…
05-13 06:46:53	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xd63719…
05-13 03:38:07	Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xcfb4ee…
05-12 21:18:50	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x279b53…
05-12 21:18:43	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x722c12…
05-12 21:18:37	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xff875c…
05-12 21:16:44	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x57146f…
05-12 21:15:28	Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0xcbd711…
05-12 20:08:11	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x25f209…
05-12 19:34:30	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xff5f9e…
05-12 18:38:16	Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x30d909…
05-12 15:26:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x064e15…
05-12 14:29:23	Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x96bff4…
05-12 14:17:43	Will Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0372c8…
05-12 12:29:31	Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in May?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x0aa30a…
05-12 12:28:56	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xa14eed…
05-12 12:28:56	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$4	0x3601d8…
05-12 12:28:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x69d538…
05-12 10:44:10	Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1cbf7f…
05-12 10:37:52	Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3d3944…
05-12 09:55:48	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x5f5812…
05-12 09:42:58	Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0x60841a…
05-12 08:16:57	Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0xbaae65…
05-12 08:00:02	Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb0d937…
05-12 07:58:54	Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0xfdc16a…
05-11 18:03:48	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x518a2c…
05-11 14:51:55	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x2f5bab…
05-11 14:08:43	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xce65de…
05-10 16:00:12	Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x1c8dc3…
05-10 13:29:55	Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9d694b…
05-10 13:29:49	Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x90e80c…
05-10 13:29:44	Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x313e81…
05-10 13:29:14	Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0020d2…
05-10 12:29:46	Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x982837…
05-10 12:13:38	Will Germany be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc62461…
05-10 11:47:18	Will Germany be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4dc7c4…
05-10 11:22:57	Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7dfb5a…
05-10 08:24:44	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x66bfb2…
05-10 03:50:13	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x6cdc6b…
05-10 03:49:35	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x3272e6…
05-10 02:49:53	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xec6fc7…
05-10 02:30:43	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xcdd21e…
05-10 02:30:39	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x9b931a…
05-10 02:30:08	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x6a69c0…
05-10 02:30:04	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xa1efa9…
05-10 02:27:57	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x474225…
05-10 02:12:22	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x511521…
05-10 01:10:09	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0xaaef60…
05-09 23:03:33	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x755ded…
05-09 19:17:37	Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x760146…
05-09 19:17:25	Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2b6560…
05-09 14:04:55	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0x5edc09…
05-09 13:53:57	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x022d7a…
05-09 13:53:28	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x981d40…
05-09 12:35:04	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x06c2db…