Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C or higher on May 15?
open
Total volume
$341
$1,728 in 24h
Trades
37
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$1,555
Latest YES mid
13¢
Latest NO mid
87¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 13:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $14 | $14 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $22 | $258 | $236 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $5 | $103 | $97 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $3 | $115 | $112 |
| Median | 3 | $2 | $36 | $33 |
| Below median | 5 | — | $13 | $13 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $6 | $11 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exotic-Stage 0x4453…f75d | No | +116 | $100 | $100 | 6 | 05-14 02:45 |
| Loving-Fate 0xd50c…3360 | Yes | +90 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-14 13:59 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +64 | $51 | $51 | 4 | 05-14 02:45 |
| Tidy-Washtub 0x973e…15c2 | No | +40 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-14 02:25 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +40 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 05-13 06:36 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | +23 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 20:17 |
| Cheery-Jewel 0x3334…69b0 | No | +18 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 06:06 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +17 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-13 05:58 |
| Snappy-Crusader 0x7296…69f5 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 23:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-14 01:04 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 11:14 |
| Trustworthy-Imagination 0xe49f…b083 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 13:29 |
| Bustling-Abundance 0xc553…a7bd | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 00:54 |
| Sugary-Boysenberry 0xc197…3099 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 20:18 |
| Euphoric-Spray 0xc1a0…4a06 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 22:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x483c…70f6 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 22:17 |
| Worst-Veranda 0x2c5a…9b2d | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 09:04 |
| Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 04:45 |
| Rusty-Aspect 0x68df…108e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 13:59:17 | Loving-Fate 0xd50c…3360 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 14¢ | $13 | 0x96373d… |
| 05-14 13:29:20 | Trustworthy-Imagination 0xe49f…b083 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x87ec71… |
| 05-14 12:20:49 | Minty-Object 0x2bf6…24f9 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x62ff60… |
| 05-14 11:14:33 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0xf6fe3b… |
| 05-14 05:55:49 | Flawless-Culvert 0x5833…95f5 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 15¢ | $6 | 0x29ceae… |
| 05-14 05:54:41 | Flawless-Culvert 0x5833…95f5 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x037ce8… |
| 05-14 05:46:15 | Fat-Peer 0x3be5…ae59 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x748c84… |
| 05-14 05:01:27 | Webbed-Pilot 0x3209…0508 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 16¢ | $7 | 0xa423d3… |
| 05-14 04:45:44 | Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x559a2f… |
| 05-14 02:45:48 | Exotic-Stage 0x4453…f75d | No | BUY | 25 | 85¢ | $21 | 0xd3f62b… |
| 05-14 02:45:43 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xe4975f… |
| 05-14 02:30:47 | Exotic-Stage 0x4453…f75d | No | BUY | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0xd9d0d7… |
| 05-14 02:25:06 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | SELL | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xe6b749… |
| 05-14 02:25:04 | Tidy-Washtub 0x973e…15c2 | No | BUY | 40 | 89¢ | $36 | 0x8288ed… |
| 05-14 02:16:14 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 13 | 88¢ | $12 | 0xe31d29… |
| 05-14 02:15:47 | Exotic-Stage 0x4453…f75d | No | BUY | 29 | 87¢ | $25 | 0x03faa2… |
| 05-14 02:05:44 | Exotic-Stage 0x4453…f75d | No | BUY | 19 | 86¢ | $16 | 0x4420a3… |
| 05-14 01:50:25 | Exotic-Stage 0x4453…f75d | No | BUY | 29 | 85¢ | $24 | 0xbac065… |
| 05-14 01:35:24 | Exotic-Stage 0x4453…f75d | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x0b28c1… |
| 05-14 01:04:30 | (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xbae7cc… |
| 05-14 01:04:13 | (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xf15e1b… |
| 05-14 00:58:44 | Rusty-Aspect 0x68df…108e | No | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0xc6012b… |
| 05-14 00:57:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0xc657a3… |
| 05-14 00:57:09 | Webbed-Pilot 0x3209…0508 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 18¢ | $6 | 0xfe6a48… |
| 05-14 00:54:04 | Bustling-Abundance 0xc553…a7bd | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xd8e472… |
| 05-13 23:11:45 | Snappy-Crusader 0x7296…69f5 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x0d9f88… |
| 05-13 22:44:16 | Euphoric-Spray 0xc1a0…4a06 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xa06c6c… |
| 05-13 22:17:33 | (anonymous) 0x483c…70f6 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x978f03… |
| 05-13 22:08:19 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 28 | 78¢ | $22 | 0x013af7… |
| 05-13 22:07:54 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 17 | 78¢ | $13 | 0x984c21… |
| 05-13 20:18:16 | Sugary-Boysenberry 0xc197…3099 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xa6da26… |
| 05-13 20:17:55 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 23 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x57860f… |
| 05-13 09:04:48 | Worst-Veranda 0x2c5a…9b2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x6e4323… |
| 05-13 06:36:33 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 27 | 79¢ | $21 | 0xc229c1… |
| 05-13 06:36:19 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 13 | 79¢ | $10 | 0x4ec99c… |
| 05-13 06:06:27 | Cheery-Jewel 0x3334…69b0 | No | BUY | 18 | 79¢ | $15 | 0xfd68d4… |
| 05-13 05:58:45 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 17 | 79¢ | $14 | 0x0f4c7c… |