Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$200
$1,788 in 24h
Trades
36
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$2,302
Latest YES mid
39¢
Latest NO mid
61¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 11:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $27 | $27 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $122 | $24 | +$98 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $50 | $14 | +$35 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $16 | $12 | +$3 |
| Median | 5 | $7 | $8 | $1 |
| Below median | 10 | $35 | — | +$35 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $10 | $19 | $9 |
| unranked | 2 | $5 | $3 | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | +143 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-14 00:04 |
| Dim-Tomb 0x40b2…954f | Yes | +42 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-14 06:25 |
| Hospitable-Zone 0x8ead…f333 | Yes | +39 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-13 08:39 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-14 11:20 |
| Plain-Roast 0xa336…43f1 | Yes | +28 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 01:09 |
| Squeaky-Woodwind 0xa860…18fc | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 04:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x8733…0e02 | Yes | +14 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 03:23 |
| Nonstop-Resume 0x10f4…c2ea | No | +14 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 08:14 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +12 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 17:37 |
| Uncommon-Hair 0x17f4…db67 | Yes | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 07:28 |
| Powerful-Demur 0xbe90…1101 | Yes | +11 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 17:07 |
| Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 07:59 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 17:37 |
| Jealous-Quote 0xb07e…e682 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 11:47 |
| Optimistic-Publicity 0x36ff…f2a6 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 00:20 |
| Bubbly-Beneficiary 0xcf9a…72b2 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $3 | 2 | 05-14 01:09 |
| Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 21:21 |
| Aware-Leptocephalus 0x7dfe…aef2 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 10:40 |
| Weekly-Flair 0xdd3b…a8b9 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 06:26 |
| Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 17:37 |
| Willing-Flan 0xe334…d804 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 03:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x4624…d4bf | Yes | +3 | $1 | $10 | 4 | 05-14 00:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 11:47:29 | Jealous-Quote 0xb07e…e682 | No | BUY | 8 | 62¢ | $5 | 0xc575c5… |
| 05-14 11:20:32 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 62¢ | $19 | 0x6311af… |
| 05-14 11:20:32 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0xe785fc… |
| 05-14 10:40:31 | Aware-Leptocephalus 0x7dfe…aef2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 38¢ | $2 | 0xbe6675… |
| 05-14 09:08:58 | Dimpled-Jodhpurs 0x5bbf…002f | Yes | SELL | 8 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x177323… |
| 05-14 08:14:06 | Nonstop-Resume 0x10f4…c2ea | No | BUY | 14 | 57¢ | $8 | 0x52665d… |
| 05-14 07:28:54 | Uncommon-Hair 0x17f4…db67 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 42¢ | $5 | 0xdbe18e… |
| 05-14 06:26:34 | Weekly-Flair 0xdd3b…a8b9 | No | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x20fa4d… |
| 05-14 06:25:45 | Dim-Tomb 0x40b2…954f | Yes | BUY | 42 | 38¢ | $16 | 0x705e86… |
| 05-14 03:23:10 | (anonymous) 0x8733…0e02 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 36¢ | $5 | 0x4e7373… |
| 05-14 03:10:36 | Willing-Flan 0xe334…d804 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x53638a… |
| 05-14 01:09:54 | Natural-Oak 0xf9f0…fa62 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x7cc7a3… |
| 05-14 01:09:44 | Feline-Lamb 0xdff0…5865 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x233c12… |
| 05-14 01:09:44 | Bubbly-Beneficiary 0xcf9a…72b2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 35¢ | $0 | 0x029ce2… |
| 05-14 01:09:44 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xdc65c7… |
| 05-14 01:09:42 | Plain-Roast 0xa336…43f1 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 36¢ | $10 | 0x2e4531… |
| 05-14 00:20:16 | Optimistic-Publicity 0x36ff…f2a6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x6b84ec… |
| 05-14 00:04:15 | (anonymous) 0x4624…d4bf | Yes | SELL | 11 | 33¢ | $4 | 0x2bea12… |
| 05-14 00:04:15 | Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | BUY | 143 | 35¢ | $50 | 0x87d446… |
| 05-13 23:33:23 | Forsaken-Trolley 0xbb1a…1e6d | Yes | SELL | 17 | 34¢ | $6 | 0x97bf28… |
| 05-13 23:33:23 | (anonymous) 0x4624…d4bf | Yes | BUY | 10 | 34¢ | $4 | 0xd7f3e0… |
| 05-13 22:12:57 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x423b58… |
| 05-13 21:21:44 | (anonymous) 0x4624…d4bf | Yes | SELL | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0xdbd466… |
| 05-13 21:21:40 | Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x2a30b2… |
| 05-13 19:37:42 | Normal-Address 0xd345…31c5 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x381f07… |
| 05-13 17:37:54 | Natural-Oak 0xf9f0…fa62 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x5788f6… |
| 05-13 17:37:44 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 72¢ | $6 | 0xc88e72… |
| 05-13 17:37:44 | Bubbly-Beneficiary 0xcf9a…72b2 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xb7bde9… |
| 05-13 17:37:39 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x6bb000… |
| 05-13 17:37:32 | (anonymous) 0x4624…d4bf | Yes | BUY | 7 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x08fa15… |
| 05-13 17:37:32 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 12 | 70¢ | $9 | 0x7effcc… |
| 05-13 17:07:45 | Powerful-Demur 0xbe90…1101 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x70c9a3… |
| 05-13 08:39:54 | Hospitable-Zone 0x8ead…f333 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xe26a42… |
| 05-13 07:59:35 | Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $7 | 0x433654… |
| 05-13 07:09:32 | Hospitable-Zone 0x8ead…f333 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x642719… |
| 05-13 04:58:45 | Squeaky-Woodwind 0xa860…18fc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xb8447f… |