Bubbly-Beneficiary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.16K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.4%

Resolved

923

Trades

3,562

lifetime

Volume

$53.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 07-15 02:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 62% -$1,890

Other

14% 39% -$260

Politics

0% 0% -$4

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	6	$2.3K	1,471	1,471	+0	Yes	-$58	07-03 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3AM ET	41	$2.3K	2,104	2,038	+67	Up	+$25	04-28 07:51
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 3AM ET	25	$763	621	605	+16	Up	-$18	04-28 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$740	477	464	+13	Up	+$153	04-28 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	31	$695	721	694	+27	Down	-$9	04-28 07:49
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	2	$658	411	411	+0	Yes	+$58	07-02 01:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 06:45 UTC	32	$622	1,698	1,366	+331	Up	+$88	04-17 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$604	307	307	+0	Up	+$4	04-28 12:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 11:30 UTC	22	$593	422	422	+0	Down	-$5	07-01 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	5	$587	422	413	+8	Down	-$25	04-28 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	3	$503	527	422	+105	Down	-$97	04-28 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	22	$470	471	452	+19	Up	+$50	04-28 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	26	$469	432	420	+12	Up	-$67	04-28 08:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 10:05 UTC	2	$454	278	278	+0	Up	+$54	07-14 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	25	$446	514	495	+20	Up	-$22	04-28 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	23	$438	352	342	+10	Down	+$9	04-28 08:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 07:10 UTC	2	$428	235	235	+0	Down	+$28	07-02 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$418	245	245	+0	Down	+$18	07-02 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$415	217	217	+0	Up	+$15	04-28 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 10:10 UTC	2	$409	235	235	+0	Down	+$9	07-14 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	18	$396	301	293	+9	Up	+$40	04-28 09:09
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 2?	2	$394	204	204	+0	No	+$10	07-01 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	20	$386	418	402	+15	Up	-$17	04-28 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$382	515	499	+15	Down	-$218	04-28 09:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 06:55 UTC	2	$359	245	245	+0	Down	-$41	07-02 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	15	$339	474	118	+355	Down	-$82	04-28 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	15	$328	277	271	+6	Up	-$49	04-28 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	19	$315	293	283	+10	Down	+$2	04-28 08:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:55 UTC	6	$313	199	199	+0	Up	+$13	06-09 14:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 16:25 UTC	15	$310	456	0	+456	Down	-$98	06-08 16:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 02:05:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	67	57¢	$38	0xd2b459…
07-15 02:05:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0xfce9c0…
07-15 02:05:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	70	52¢	$36	0xe10abe…
07-15 00:49:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 00:45 UTC	Up	SELL	120	92¢	$111	0xc4605d…
07-15 00:45:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x5905e5…
07-15 00:44:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 00:40 UTC	Down	SELL	107	93¢	$100	0xfcf80e…
07-15 00:44:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x87c18b…
07-14 22:50:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xd04672…
07-14 22:50:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0x1b0a37…
07-14 19:40:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x9b8e6e…
07-14 19:40:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	78	86¢	$67	0x813140…
07-14 16:59:26	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	SELL	245	38¢	$92	0xd3fcea…
07-14 13:55:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x3e081f…
07-14 13:55:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x4560ae…
07-14 13:04:34	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	245	41¢	$100	0x5930da…
07-14 10:33:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	117	90¢	$105	0xf928d0…
07-14 10:31:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	117	85¢	$100	0xe034b0…
07-14 10:23:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	228	88¢	$200	0x4f9d00…
07-14 10:14:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 10:10 UTC	Down	SELL	235	89¢	$209	0xc0c08d…
07-14 10:14:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x3b3850…
07-14 10:09:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 10:05 UTC	Up	SELL	278	92¢	$254	0x9b4de0…
07-14 10:07:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0x45a52f…
07-14 09:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	42	81¢	$34	0xf3d9be…
07-14 09:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	55	86¢	$47	0xd1198c…
07-14 09:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xca82ce…
07-14 09:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xb6c1ec…
07-14 09:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x46ea2a…
07-14 09:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x13eb3f…
07-14 09:40:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x0081cf…
07-14 08:24:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 08:20 UTC	Down	SELL	108	98¢	$105	0xb8bc96…
07-14 08:23:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x8322c9…
07-14 06:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	116	90¢	$105	0xd5a20b…
07-14 06:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0xbc936a…
07-14 06:43:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 06:40 UTC	Up	SELL	115	91¢	$105	0xca502f…
07-14 06:42:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x0c0027…
07-14 06:33:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 06:30 UTC	Up	SELL	112	97¢	$109	0xcee2aa…
07-14 06:33:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xd5f85b…
07-14 06:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	118	95¢	$113	0xc64597…
07-14 06:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xc5c319…
07-14 06:20:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 06:15 UTC	Up	SELL	118	99¢	$117	0x8c9391…
07-14 06:19:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x9f18d4…
07-14 05:34:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	152	73¢	$111	0x207e25…
07-14 05:33:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x51e565…
07-14 05:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	148	88¢	$130	0xfaee72…
07-14 05:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	148	68¢	$100	0x59ea3c…
07-14 05:18:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:15 UTC	Down	SELL	119	97¢	$115	0x0c48aa…
07-14 05:17:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x9e1ccd…
07-14 05:15:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:10 UTC	Down	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0x2b8089…
07-14 05:13:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x6d14c3…
07-03 01:07:38	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	SELL	565	98¢	$555	0x5a429c…
07-03 00:58:41	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	565	88¢	$500	0x2c2a4b…
07-03 00:58:34	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	SELL	559	89¢	$494	0x7a5f05…
07-03 00:58:28	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	559	89¢	$500	0x4d105f…
07-03 00:42:07	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	SELL	348	26¢	$92	0x665e2c…
07-02 22:40:08	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	348	57¢	$200	0x1dbae5…
07-02 10:13:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 10:10 UTC	Up	SELL	116	98¢	$114	0x7c6fa8…
07-02 10:11:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x828a6b…
07-02 09:46:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 09:45 UTC	Down	SELL	118	88¢	$103	0x7eee21…
07-02 09:46:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xa6edfc…
07-02 07:27:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 07:25 UTC	Down	SELL	127	94¢	$119	0x4f1e7f…
07-02 07:26:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xe31023…
07-02 07:13:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 07:10 UTC	Down	SELL	235	97¢	$228	0xfc927f…
07-02 07:13:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x82d90b…
07-02 07:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	245	89¢	$218	0x31ca0f…
07-02 07:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	245	81¢	$200	0xf1d053…
07-02 06:58:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 06:55 UTC	Down	SELL	245	65¢	$159	0x8dcf2f…
07-02 06:57:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	245	82¢	$200	0x999908…
07-02 05:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 2?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x0739fe…
07-02 05:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 2?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0x198c9b…
07-02 01:12:17	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	411	87¢	$358	0xf639e2…
07-02 00:18:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x5e108e…
07-02 00:03:55	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	411	73¢	$300	0xb610ab…
07-01 23:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x923c02…
07-01 22:51:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 1?	No	SELL	58	38¢	$22	0xe3678a…
07-01 22:50:38	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 1?	No	SELL	26	65¢	$17	0x1e0102…
07-01 22:49:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 1?	No	SELL	91	35¢	$32	0x6192b3…
07-01 22:47:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 1?	No	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0x4931fc…
07-01 21:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 2?	No	SELL	204	99¢	$202	0x63ed47…
07-01 21:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 2?	No	BUY	204	94¢	$192	0x6c9502…
07-01 18:38:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on July 1?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x61da11…
07-01 18:38:29	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on July 1?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x35dff2…
07-01 18:34:17	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on July 1?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xb45ead…
07-01 18:33:59	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on July 1?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x258310…
07-01 18:33:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe14486…
07-01 18:15:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 2?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xfb0f29…
07-01 18:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 2?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xfa6f53…
07-01 18:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on July 1?	Yes	SELL	95	22¢	$21	0xf91ab1…
07-01 18:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 1?	No	SELL	78	91¢	$71	0xf37490…
07-01 18:15:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 1?	No	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0xf21324…
07-01 18:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 2?	No	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xf19076…
07-01 18:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on July 2?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xf0ce9e…
07-01 18:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	39	36¢	$14	0xe55e56…
07-01 18:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe15993…
07-01 18:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 1?	Yes	SELL	955	0¢	$1	0xdfa87d…
07-01 18:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 2?	No	SELL	33	66¢	$22	0xdd8307…
07-01 18:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 2?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xd72f79…
07-01 18:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 3?	Yes	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0xd6f654…
07-01 18:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	19	20¢	$4	0xcb0d4a…
07-01 18:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 2?	No	SELL	31	70¢	$22	0xc8a0fd…
07-01 18:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0xb74c92…