Powerful-Demur — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.9%

Resolved

Trades

125

lifetime

Volume

$170

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-30 14:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 46% $-15

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	6	$11	20	9	+11	Down	+$0	05-09 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	6	$9	53	19	+33	Down	$-5	05-09 23:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	6	$7	19	5	+14	Up	+$3	05-09 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	5	$6	9	4	+5	Down	+$0	05-09 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$5	250	0	+250	Up	$-5	05-09 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	$-5	05-09 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-09 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$5	15	0	+15	Up	$-1	05-10 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	05-10 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	3	$4	26	22	+3	Down	$-0	05-09 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	7	$4	20	20	+0	Up	$-2	05-09 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$4	6	4	+2	Down	+$0	05-09 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$4	7	4	+3	Down	$-1	05-09 20:09
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$4	1,086	0	+1,086	open	—	05-21 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$4	9	0	+9	Up	+$1	05-10 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$4	8	0	+8	Up	$-0	05-10 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$4	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	05-10 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	$-0	05-09 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$3	5	0	+5	Down	$-1	05-10 20:00
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$3	1,061	0	+1,061	open	—	05-21 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	Down	$-1	05-10 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$3	10	0	+10	Up	+$3	05-09 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$3	9	0	+9	Up	$-0	05-12 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$2	9	2	+7	Up	$-2	05-09 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-10 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$2	8	0	+8	Down	$-2	05-09 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-10 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	05-10 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-2	05-10 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-10 08:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 14:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf82226…
05-30 14:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x33c422…
05-30 14:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xabdfe2…
05-30 14:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc0facb…
05-22 16:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xcff567…
05-22 16:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x038c86…
05-22 16:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbb81a5…
05-21 21:40:55	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5f1f31…
05-21 21:39:50	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x47af9d…
05-16 20:06:34	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0x1872c0…
05-16 20:05:13	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	86	3¢	$3	0x276386…
05-12 17:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x2dcd99…
05-12 17:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x35815a…
05-10 20:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xa4a92d…
05-10 20:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xad78fb…
05-10 20:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x028a48…
05-10 20:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd4b33e…
05-10 20:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x66e6ef…
05-10 20:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa313df…
05-10 20:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x804b5b…
05-10 20:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x180f7c…
05-10 20:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9db8c8…
05-10 20:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x847e7a…
05-10 20:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x996c2c…
05-10 20:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x3f3b8e…
05-10 19:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x74e58e…
05-10 19:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x28e8a0…
05-10 19:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0800f3…
05-10 17:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x00e2c7…
05-10 17:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf8410c…
05-10 17:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xeee3d2…
05-10 16:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x46eb57…
05-10 16:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x83a4fd…
05-10 16:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8c86b1…
05-10 14:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x7f1b9a…
05-10 10:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x726f08…
05-10 08:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x466d0d…
05-10 08:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb5fc05…
05-10 08:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xaa0245…
05-10 08:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8140b6…
05-10 08:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x743c68…
05-10 08:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1e94c9…
05-10 07:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x539d4d…
05-10 07:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x65549a…
05-10 07:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x060687…
05-09 23:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x51b336…
05-09 23:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x422df6…
05-09 23:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x91dab2…
05-09 23:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x21c2eb…
05-09 23:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc22042…
05-09 23:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xc9ff43…
05-09 23:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x81c982…
05-09 23:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbd4e98…
05-09 23:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x355c45…
05-09 23:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x30581c…
05-09 23:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x2be53f…
05-09 23:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xb10a19…
05-09 23:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf446e8…
05-09 23:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xfd974a…
05-09 23:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x5c7dda…
05-09 23:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xbb4d12…
05-09 23:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2dba31…
05-09 23:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x554f03…
05-09 23:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x894005…
05-09 23:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xedae9e…
05-09 23:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc50a48…
05-09 22:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x96cff8…
05-09 22:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0836a3…
05-09 22:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x292f02…
05-09 22:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xcd4f47…
05-09 22:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x491015…
05-09 22:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x1e5a27…
05-09 22:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2fd605…
05-09 22:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfe9cd7…
05-09 22:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc507c6…
05-09 22:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb3bbc1…
05-09 22:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf9f148…
05-09 22:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0x120414…
05-09 21:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb9925f…
05-09 21:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0fb5e1…
05-09 20:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1293f5…
05-09 20:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0xf93d1c…
05-09 20:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x59319c…
05-09 20:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x064be9…
05-09 20:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x66acb3…
05-09 20:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7e5432…
05-09 20:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x77f9a0…
05-09 20:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xae4786…
05-09 20:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xdd5992…
05-09 20:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x16eb77…
05-09 20:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x794727…
05-09 20:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x0c959a…
05-09 20:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x44ccf4…
05-09 20:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x690516…
05-09 19:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x8b73be…
05-09 19:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5a1e96…
05-09 19:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1f9209…
05-09 19:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x01f9b4…
05-09 19:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x091eca…
05-09 19:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x8b9792…