Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$1,479
$1,713 in 24h
Trades
38
Unique wallets
35
Liquidity
$2,965
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-15 02:33
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $15 | $15 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | — | $272 | $272 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $3 | $945 | $942 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $15 | $15 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | — | $287 | $287 |
| Median | 13 | $1 | $65 | $64 |
| Below median | 8 | $1 | $52 | $51 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $1 | $807 | $806 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winged-Gathering 0xaa22…2303 | No | +806 | $802 | $802 | 1 | 05-14 00:34 |
| Quirky-Shock 0xcbce…507d | No | +234 | $232 | $232 | 1 | 05-15 02:33 |
| Dear-Gratitude 0x8697…190d | No | +230 | $227 | $227 | 1 | 05-15 01:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xf0aa…f7e3 | Yes | +89 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 22:22 |
| Every-Lottery 0xc327…d803 | Yes | +63 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 23:34 |
| Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-14 23:14 |
| Beloved-Demand 0xbf02…ee21 | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 01:48 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 11:20 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 05-15 02:30 |
| Phony-Cot 0xd628…a698 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 01:20 |
| Frilly-Listening 0xd4d0…ec39 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 23:12 |
| Live-Toga 0xf45a…e89d | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-14 23:12 |
| Separate-Solicitation 0x9c48…7dd0 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 23:12 |
| Scratchy-Linguist 0x2c6e…225c | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 23:19 |
| Dapper-Penny 0x087e…96c0 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 00:47 |
| Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 20:37 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 19:27 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 17:39 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 19:34 |
| Winding-Pack 0x4876…22e2 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 01:07 |
| Utter-Winery 0xc6a5…bc9f | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 01:20 |
| Gaseous-Maracas 0x079a…c538 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 13:24 |
| Icy-Congo 0xfe5a…705d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:57 |
| Absolute-Snake 0x3c68…daa6 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:47 |
| Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 00:02 |
| Blank-Notebook 0x99bf…9ba8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 23:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 02:33:15 | Quirky-Shock 0xcbce…507d | No | BUY | 234 | 99¢ | $232 | 0xb255cb… |
| 05-15 02:30:29 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7da6d5… |
| 05-15 02:10:19 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xb3ceb5… |
| 05-15 01:57:54 | Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x6a1517… |
| 05-15 01:48:11 | Beloved-Demand 0xbf02…ee21 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x69c498… |
| 05-15 01:40:08 | Dear-Gratitude 0x8697…190d | No | BUY | 230 | 99¢ | $227 | 0x6b7ae9… |
| 05-15 01:20:25 | Utter-Winery 0xc6a5…bc9f | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xe1f1e6… |
| 05-15 01:07:54 | Winding-Pack 0x4876…22e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcabbcd… |
| 05-15 01:02:53 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x82760e… |
| 05-15 00:47:43 | Dapper-Penny 0x087e…96c0 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x961396… |
| 05-15 00:42:44 | Grubby-Internet 0xb61b…4dc9 | Yes | SELL | 246 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x2f8261… |
| 05-15 00:02:48 | Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x724bd1… |
| 05-14 23:34:26 | Every-Lottery 0xc327…d803 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd67025… |
| 05-14 23:19:44 | Scratchy-Linguist 0x2c6e…225c | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xe17168… |
| 05-14 23:18:35 | Blank-Notebook 0x99bf…9ba8 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9e7c7d… |
| 05-14 23:14:20 | Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x715990… |
| 05-14 23:12:09 | Separate-Solicitation 0x9c48…7dd0 | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x4d34f0… |
| 05-14 23:12:07 | Live-Toga 0xf45a…e89d | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x0a4ca8… |
| 05-14 23:12:07 | Frilly-Listening 0xd4d0…ec39 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x99985c… |
| 05-14 22:22:41 | (anonymous) 0xf0aa…f7e3 | Yes | BUY | 89 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa151e2… |
| 05-14 20:37:20 | Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x587c3f… |
| 05-14 19:34:34 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xa5a0f9… |
| 05-14 19:27:11 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb153d1… |
| 05-14 18:01:14 | Passionate-Number 0xd5ee…175b | Yes | SELL | 66 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8ec79e… |
| 05-14 17:39:35 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xcc96b5… |
| 05-14 17:06:48 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe07832… |
| 05-14 13:24:03 | Gaseous-Maracas 0x079a…c538 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xe88a86… |
| 05-14 11:20:32 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda637f… |
| 05-14 11:20:32 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x217322… |
| 05-14 01:20:03 | Phony-Cot 0xd628…a698 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x4a0e7e… |
| 05-14 00:57:04 | Icy-Congo 0xfe5a…705d | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x727bc9… |
| 05-14 00:47:11 | Absolute-Snake 0x3c68…daa6 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb924df… |
| 05-14 00:34:03 | Winged-Gathering 0xaa22…2303 | No | BUY | 806 | 99¢ | $802 | 0x55190b… |
| 05-13 22:12:57 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x572463… |
| 05-13 17:37:46 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xb68200… |
| 05-13 17:37:39 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f25bd… |
| 05-13 17:37:33 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x05100a… |
| 05-13 17:37:30 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf3a425… |