Realized P&L
-$749
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
80.0%
Resolved
1,933
Trades
3,822
lifetime
Volume
$288.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$75
Open exposure
$161
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 16:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 264 days
Categories
Other
79% 86% -$1,688
Politics
18% 67% +$427
Sports
2% 87% +$472
Crypto
1% 64% +$32
Tech
0% 100% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +74 $62 82¢ $61 -$1 10-28 03:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +65 $50 74¢ $48 -$2 09-16 18:49
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +15 $12 89¢ $13 +$1 10-15 04:48
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +18 $16 74¢ $13 -$3 09-26 02:37
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $0 10-07 18:22
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 10-06 07:07
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 10-07 05:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 10-06 06:53
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 10-07 05:41
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 10-07 05:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 $0 10-06 06:54
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2 $2 84¢ $2 $0 10-07 06:00
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? Yes +2 $0 86¢ $2 +$2 10-06 07:12
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +2 $2 72¢ $2 $0 10-07 06:08
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 10-07 05:41
US recession by end of 2026? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 $0 10-11 18:30
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 74¢ $1 $0 10-07 05:40
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2 $1 41¢ $1 $0 10-28 03:03