Phony-Cot — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$56

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

18 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$1.07K

$1.07K lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

$637

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-09 18:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

76% 67% $-56

Politics

15% — —

Sports

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets (3)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	-328	$-326	100¢	$-328	$-2	05-06 02:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+205	$160	78¢	$159	$-1	05-06 16:12
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	-101	$-100	99¢	$-100	$-0	05-06 16:52
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on May 10?	No	+50	$50	100¢	$50	+$0	05-08 15:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$326	0	328	-328	open	—	05-06 02:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	1	$160	205	0	+205	open	—	05-06 16:12
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on May 8?	1	$105	106	0	+106	No	+$1	05-07 06:23
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$100	0	101	-101	open	—	05-06 16:52
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	1	$50	60	0	+60	Yes	$-50	05-06 15:20
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	1	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	05-09 18:07
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on May 10?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-08 15:10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on May 7?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	05-06 17:01
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 8?	1	$26	0	30	-30	No	$-4	05-08 03:21
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	05-07 21:19
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 8?	1	$20	0	20	-20	open	—	05-09 07:14
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on May 8?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	05-07 09:41
Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	05-09 14:43
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-09 14:38
Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-09 14:38
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 34°C on May 6?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-06 15:21
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?	1	$14	14	0	+14	Yes	+$0	05-07 20:41
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?	1	$13	0	16	-16	No	$-3	05-07 19:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 18:07:46	VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xff6b9e…
05-09 14:43:59	Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xaa10b5…
05-09 14:38:54	Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xb5b76c…
05-09 14:38:26	Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xcca665…
05-09 07:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 8?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x253a3e…
05-08 15:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on May 10?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbe905b…
05-08 03:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 8?	No	SELL	30	85¢	$26	0x5cfae2…
05-07 21:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 9?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xe568f3…
05-07 20:41:29	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x84bfc3…
05-07 19:41:40	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	16	83¢	$13	0xad47b4…
05-07 09:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on May 8?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x613111…
05-07 06:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on May 8?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$105	0xefd9db…
05-06 17:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on May 7?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xddc442…
05-06 16:52:51	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xb24ab2…
05-06 16:12:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	205	78¢	$160	0x27c6c3…
05-06 15:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 34°C on May 6?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x61417d…
05-06 15:20:34	Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xe4ef9d…
05-06 02:28:46	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	SELL	328	99¢	$326	0x456a25…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	5	$810	117	05-09 17:09
(anonymous) 0xec56…1816	5	$579	31	05-09 14:02
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	4	$5.82K	33	05-09 17:40