Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$653

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.9%

Resolved

4,734

Trades

15,786

lifetime

Volume

$83.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 10-08 16:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 215 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 63% -$164

Other

17% 45% -$499

Sports

0% 39% +$10

Politics

0% 25% $0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 316 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 3 5pm et	184	$764	447	442	+5	Up	+$3	03-03 22:50
bitcoin up or down march 3 6pm et	199	$631	491	477	+14	Up	-$3	03-03 23:50
bitcoin up or down march 13 2pm et	97	$616	466	472	-6	Up	-$15	03-13 18:59
bitcoin up or down march 8 10pm et	76	$612	413	443	-31	Up	+$243	03-09 02:59
bitcoin up or down march 13 12pm et	104	$514	480	470	+10	Up	+$2	03-13 16:58
bitcoin up or down march 9 9pm et	75	$488	334	334	+0	Up	-$11	03-10 01:50
bitcoin up or down march 10 7pm et	64	$351	208	214	-6	Up	+$18	03-10 23:51
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 8am et	47	$340	410	397	+13	Up	+$7	03-16 12:47
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 9am et	36	$321	462	462	+0	Up	-$18	03-16 13:56
bitcoin up or down march 6 8pm et	93	$308	315	315	+0	Down	$0	03-07 01:59
bitcoin up or down march 13 10am et	68	$295	256	246	+10	Down	-$10	03-13 14:47
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 4am et	27	$281	512	510	+2	Down	-$16	03-16 08:48
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 3pm et	44	$276	226	226	+0	Up	-$1	03-16 19:54
bitcoin up or down march 13 11am et	68	$265	281	271	+10	Down	-$5	03-13 15:52
bitcoin up or down march 9 6pm et	56	$264	204	153	+51	Down	+$12	03-09 22:50
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 7am et	29	$263	503	502	+1	Down	+$18	03-16 11:46
bitcoin up or down march 9 4pm et	45	$262	216	216	+0	Down	-$23	03-09 20:57
bitcoin up or down march 9 7pm et	50	$255	238	184	+54	Down	+$12	03-09 23:52
bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	60	$251	218	218	+0	Down	-$3	03-13 17:39
bitcoin up or down march 9 6am et	46	$243	158	172	-14	Down	-$5	03-09 10:46
bitcoin up or down march 9 8pm et	43	$242	180	178	+2	Up	+$6	03-10 00:35
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 2am et	28	$240	207	207	+0	Up	-$10	03-17 06:55
bitcoin up or down march 10 4pm et	56	$235	169	168	+1	Up	+$4	03-10 20:39
bitcoin up or down march 7 8pm et	58	$233	202	202	+0	Up	-$7	03-08 01:54
bitcoin up or down march 10 6pm et	32	$231	185	185	+0	Down	-$43	03-10 22:52
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 5pm et	21	$231	177	177	+0	Up	+$1	03-16 21:48
bitcoin up or down march 7 11pm et	62	$229	200	183	+17	Down	-$3	03-08 04:50
bitcoin up or down march 11 4am et	56	$226	187	189	-3	Up	-$30	03-11 08:58
bitcoin up or down march 9 4am et	58	$224	163	162	+0	Up	+$24	03-09 08:45
bitcoin up or down march 10 12pm et	63	$223	210	210	+0	Down	-$8	03-10 16:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 16:42:15	Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xdf4b7d…
10-08 16:42:14	Jumper listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE?	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xb4283d…
10-08 16:31:38	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% in October?	Yes	SELL	43	62¢	$27	0xcaaf53…
10-08 16:27:20	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% in October?	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$2	0xda418b…
10-08 16:27:14	Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x5b780c…
10-08 16:27:12	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	40	76¢	$30	0x28ddd6…
10-08 15:51:41	Jumper listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xd3934c…
10-08 15:47:42	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xa9d068…
10-08 15:47:33	Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xa255a5…
10-08 15:33:54	Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x288638…
10-08 15:32:54	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% in October?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x6ecf31…
10-08 15:30:47	Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xca84a2…
10-08 15:23:50	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x2c75cb…
10-08 15:03:20	Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	47¢	$7	0x9650bb…
10-08 15:00:53	Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	49¢	$13	0x7722f1…
10-08 14:12:12	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xe9b5ed…
10-08 14:07:53	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x4ecab6…
10-08 14:02:42	Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by December 31?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xae5104…
10-08 13:47:20	No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0x6f0ffa…
10-08 13:47:18	No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xd45e78…
10-08 13:45:33	Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by December 31?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xbc7204…
10-08 13:33:59	ChatGPT Full Outage by November 30?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x00986e…
10-08 13:32:44	Will Noah Wyle be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	No	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x6b2dd2…
10-08 13:32:24	Will Noah Wyle be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x9607f2…
10-08 13:04:03	Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?	No	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0xc7c494…
10-08 11:58:15	No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x2db2f9…
10-08 11:58:15	No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1d83db…
10-08 11:58:09	No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x74407b…
10-08 11:46:15	Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xc36201…
10-08 11:45:15	Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xac3fed…
10-08 11:29:48	Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xb78c8e…
10-08 10:38:54	Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xa808d1…
10-08 10:38:05	Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc11d5e…
10-08 10:37:59	Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5c5b3e…
10-08 10:37:56	Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x314600…
10-08 10:37:51	Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x768d89…
10-08 09:47:15	Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x114630…
10-08 09:43:35	Will Noah Wyle be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	No	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x041d54…
10-08 09:42:23	Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xcd745b…
10-08 09:27:51	ChatGPT Full Outage by November 30?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x444670…
10-08 09:21:06	Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x3c115d…
10-08 09:10:36	Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x414d17…
10-08 08:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 10?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x41ef58…
10-08 08:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 10?	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xb0efce…
10-08 07:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 10?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x0b8e43…
10-08 07:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 10?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x265f12…
10-08 07:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 10?	No	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x92546a…
10-08 07:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 10?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb9ac95…
10-08 07:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 9?	No	SELL	17	63¢	$11	0x665243…
10-08 07:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 9?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x4dc937…
10-08 07:32:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 9?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xf0b41e…
10-08 07:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xdf4e3a…
10-08 01:48:59	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x36f3fe…
10-08 00:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 9?	No	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0x155863…
10-07 23:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 9?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xd7ff63…
10-07 23:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 9?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x2609a5…
10-07 23:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 9?	No	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x614976…
10-07 21:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 9?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xaec9d0…
10-07 20:54:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 9?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x4def60…
10-07 20:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x6ac735…
10-07 20:06:05	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 9?	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x152b03…
10-07 19:47:41	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 9?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x7fc916…
10-07 19:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xb7515c…
10-07 18:07:51	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x09d06e…
10-07 18:00:01	Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xb3dad4…
10-04 15:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x7b5757…
10-04 06:09:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x169859…
10-03 21:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 3?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x5ba9e1…
10-03 18:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 3?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xb86462…
10-03 13:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x8dc83a…
10-03 12:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x30a66d…
10-02 22:17:53	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on October 2?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x2b1916…
10-02 14:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xa600d9…
10-02 13:00:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xed209b…
10-02 05:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0x4d10a0…
10-02 03:20:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x7e71e5…
09-30 19:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xf56a87…
09-30 19:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x29b3a5…
09-30 16:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x1de6cf…
09-30 13:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x6fc293…
09-30 12:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xfa756a…
09-30 06:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x106017…
09-30 04:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x4911b2…
09-30 03:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xdd7e9c…
09-29 23:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x3aa8fd…
09-29 21:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 29?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xb2ef64…
09-29 19:59:29	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 29?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbd28b9…
09-29 19:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 29?	Yes	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x7501a7…
09-29 18:00:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 29?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x0b1f20…
09-29 16:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	26	40¢	$10	0x976a45…
09-29 14:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x29ef35…
09-29 05:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x48e36b…
09-29 04:18:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x202b0c…
09-29 01:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xf4dfec…
09-28 19:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on September 28?	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x07aac8…
09-28 17:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x816691…
09-28 03:46:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xe6daeb…
09-27 19:05:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x456b39…
09-27 16:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x941b92…
09-27 14:09:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0xd75818…