Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$175
$1,188 in 24h
Trades
51
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$2,249
Latest YES mid
33¢
Latest NO mid
67¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 14:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $33 | $33 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $33 | $33 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $27 | $78 | $51 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $7 | $78 | $70 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $3 | $9 | $6 |
| Median | 7 | $4 | $9 | $5 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | $21 | $19 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $11 | $22 | $11 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +45 | $33 | $33 | 11 | 05-14 14:36 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | +30 | $24 | $24 | 4 | 05-14 01:35 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | +27 | $6 | $6 | 5 | 05-14 00:30 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +26 | $21 | $21 | 3 | 05-14 00:21 |
| Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | +25 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 08:23 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +23 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 05-14 14:21 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 20:47 |
| Massive-Bookend 0x2c47…79f8 | Yes | +15 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 05:34 |
| Fussy-Skylight 0xb226…4163 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 20:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x7903…57f6 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 20:07 |
| Jealous-Quote 0xb07e…e682 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 20:05 |
| Specific-Rent 0xa498…727b | Yes | +7 | $3 | $4 | 3 | 05-14 09:19 |
| Brief-Point 0xfc01…a3b6 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 10:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xac44…f420 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 13:05 |
| Normal-Address 0xd345…31c5 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:07 |
| Simple-Ozone 0x5645…e203 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 14:38 |
| Glorious-Foam 0xe54c…2c69 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 20:47 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 13:18 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 22:00 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 13:18 |
| Abandoned-Tadpole 0xe23d…22dc | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 09:34 |
| Outlandish-Evaporation 0x7747…fe40 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 23:42 |
| Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-14 00:06 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 13:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 14:38:03 | Simple-Ozone 0x5645…e203 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x9e0586… |
| 05-14 14:36:16 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $4 | 0x3f11c5… |
| 05-14 14:21:06 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 6 | 66¢ | $4 | 0x1f24b0… |
| 05-14 14:01:16 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xa3bc72… |
| 05-14 14:01:15 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 9 | 64¢ | $6 | 0x614230… |
| 05-14 13:18:10 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xd37692… |
| 05-14 13:18:08 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xd72184… |
| 05-14 13:18:08 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xa928da… |
| 05-14 13:18:08 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x3a90f8… |
| 05-14 13:05:51 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 74¢ | $1 | 0x50803f… |
| 05-14 13:05:39 | (anonymous) 0xac44…f420 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x4a3f4a… |
| 05-14 13:05:36 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xd6dcb1… |
| 05-14 10:44:20 | Brief-Point 0xfc01…a3b6 | No | BUY | 6 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xd897ed… |
| 05-14 09:19:14 | Specific-Rent 0xa498…727b | Yes | BUY | 4 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x12b7fa… |
| 05-14 08:23:56 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 31¢ | $8 | 0xa19d88… |
| 05-14 01:35:36 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0x53d7f5… |
| 05-14 00:46:18 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 79¢ | $3 | 0xc9c66e… |
| 05-14 00:44:26 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x0385a8… |
| 05-14 00:30:05 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x8e9d48… |
| 05-14 00:29:25 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 9 | 77¢ | $7 | 0x8e35c4… |
| 05-14 00:29:20 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 77¢ | $1 | 0xa6818d… |
| 05-14 00:23:26 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x819de7… |
| 05-14 00:21:15 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 8 | 76¢ | $6 | 0x9bde11… |
| 05-14 00:16:14 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 8 | 81¢ | $6 | 0x5372ed… |
| 05-14 00:10:03 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x34d911… |
| 05-14 00:07:13 | Normal-Address 0xd345…31c5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xe1b09f… |
| 05-14 00:07:03 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x5c2320… |
| 05-14 00:06:23 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xdb5405… |
| 05-14 00:01:22 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xcaff22… |
| 05-14 00:01:15 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0xf190dc… |
| 05-13 23:59:02 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x92dc52… |
| 05-13 23:57:01 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 7 | 79¢ | $6 | 0xee791b… |
| 05-13 23:57:01 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 79¢ | $6 | 0xdb27bd… |
| 05-13 23:52:02 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xb08c50… |
| 05-13 23:49:24 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 8 | 79¢ | $6 | 0x28b82b… |
| 05-13 23:49:14 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xf0a64d… |
| 05-13 23:45:47 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 8 | 74¢ | $6 | 0x94eaa4… |
| 05-13 23:42:05 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $2 | 0x84a0ee… |
| 05-13 23:42:00 | Outlandish-Evaporation 0x7747…fe40 | No | BUY | 3 | 73¢ | $2 | 0x9aeeba… |
| 05-13 22:14:31 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xa94916… |
| 05-13 22:00:52 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x1cd52d… |
| 05-13 20:56:58 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x292471… |
| 05-13 20:47:56 | Glorious-Foam 0xe54c…2c69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xce9ae2… |
| 05-13 20:47:54 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x6c1a69… |
| 05-13 20:29:00 | Fussy-Skylight 0xb226…4163 | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0xe525df… |
| 05-13 20:07:39 | (anonymous) 0x7903…57f6 | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x78268a… |
| 05-13 20:05:47 | Jealous-Quote 0xb07e…e682 | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x9fb852… |
| 05-13 19:48:13 | Specific-Rent 0xa498…727b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x10be9d… |
| 05-13 09:34:54 | Abandoned-Tadpole 0xe23d…22dc | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x46a5bd… |
| 05-13 05:34:27 | Massive-Bookend 0x2c47…79f8 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 20¢ | $3 | 0xbaf163… |
| 05-13 05:32:25 | Specific-Rent 0xa498…727b | Yes | SELL | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x5a5ea4… |